---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:00 PDT

safe3step girls Father Ryan 1
  
Father Ryan           
W-L: (13- 4) PR = 94.0034

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H University School Nash (11- 7, 88.0) 15- 6 321 A Franklin Road Academy ( 5- 6, 87.0) 15- 5 325 A Christ Presbyterian Ac ( 5- 7, 85.9) 16- 6 328 H Knoxville Catholic (11- 3, 88.2) 20- 7 329 H Collierville ( 9- 8, 90.4) 12-13 401 H Ensworth (12- 4, 95.7) 12-13 408 A St Cecilia Academy ( 2- 7, 81.8) 18- 5 410 H Independence ( 8- 8, 89.2) 16- 5 411 A Girls Preparatory Scho ( 3- 7, 88.1) 16- 7 414 H Harpeth Hall (12- 3, 98.0) 8-14 416 A Baylor School ( 5- 5, 90.0) 13- 7 422 H Pope John Paul II ( 1-14, 84.1) 19- 6 424 A Page ( 9- 7, 91.6) 10- 7 430 H Cookeville (12- 6, 92.9) 10- 7 502 H Hutchison School (10- 6, 93.8) 5- 4 510 A Ensworth (12- 4, 95.7) 7- 6 516 N Harpeth Hall (12- 3, 98.0) 1-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H University School Nash 15- 6       9     7           0.00
   321 A Franklin Road Academy  15- 5      10     6           0.00
   325 A Christ Presbyterian Ac 16- 6      10     8           0.00
   328 H Knoxville Catholic     20- 7      13     6           0.00
   329 H Collierville           12-13      -1     4    --    -5.21
   401 H Ensworth               12-13      -1    -1           0.17
   408 A St Cecilia Academy     18- 5      13    12           0.00
   410 H Independence           16- 5      11     5           0.00
   411 A Girls Preparatory Scho 16- 7       9     5           0.00
   414 H Harpeth Hall            8-14      -6    -3          -1.57
   416 A Baylor School          13- 7       6     3           1.57
   422 H Pope John Paul II      19- 6      13    10           0.00
   424 A Page                   10- 7       3     2           1.19
   430 H Cookeville             10- 7       3     2           1.36
   502 H Hutchison School        5- 4       1     1           0.25
   510 A Ensworth                7- 6       1    -2    +      3.30
   516 N Harpeth Hall            1-15     -14    -4          -1.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Collierville           12-13      -1     4    --    -5.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Ensworth                7- 6       1    -2    +      3.30

Father Ryan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Arlington Father Ryan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Father Ryan
Bartlett Father Ryan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Father Ryan
Baylor School Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Bearden Father Ryan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Father Ryan
Bradley Central Father Ryan Father Ryan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Brentwood Brentwood insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 6- 1) Brentwood
Briarcrest Christian Briarcrest Christian tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 2) Briarcrest Christian
Centennial Father Ryan Father Ryan   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Christ Presbyterian Acad Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Christian Academy Knoxvi Father Ryan Father Ryan   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Collierville Collierville Collierville  
Cookeville Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Dobyns Bennett Father Ryan   Father Ryan
Ensworth Ensworth insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) Ensworth
Evangelical Christian Father Ryan tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) Father Ryan
Farragut Father Ryan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Father Ryan
Franklin Franklin tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 0) Franklin
Franklin Road Academy Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Gatlinburg Pittman Father Ryan   Father Ryan
Girls Preparatory School Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Green Hill Father Ryan Father Ryan   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Harpeth Hall Harpeth Hall Harpeth Hall  
Heritage Father Ryan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Father Ryan
Hillsboro Father Ryan Father Ryan   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Houston Father Ryan tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Father Ryan
Hunters Lane Father Ryan Father Ryan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hutchison School Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Independence Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Knoxville Catholic Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Lausanne Collegiate Father Ryan Father Ryan   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Maryville Father Ryan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Father Ryan
Ooltewah Father Ryan Father Ryan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Page Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Pigeon Forge Father Ryan   Father Ryan
Pope John Paul II Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Ravenwood Ravenwood insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) Ravenwood
Science Hill Father Ryan   Father Ryan
Sevier County Father Ryan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Father Ryan
Seymour Father Ryan Father Ryan   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Signal Mountain Father Ryan Father Ryan   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Soddy Daisy Father Ryan Father Ryan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Agnes Academy Father Ryan Father Ryan   2- 2 vs 0- 3
St Benedict Father Ryan Father Ryan   3- 1 vs 0- 4
St Cecilia Academy Father Ryan Father Ryan  
St Georges Father Ryan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Father Ryan
St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 3) St Marys Episcopal
Summit Father Ryan Father Ryan   3- 0 vs 1- 2
University School Nashvi Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Upperman Father Ryan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Father Ryan
Walker Valley Father Ryan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Father Ryan
Webb School Bell Buckle Father Ryan   Father Ryan
Webb School Knoxville Father Ryan Father Ryan   5- 0 vs 1- 4
West Father Ryan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Father Ryan
White Station Father Ryan Father Ryan   2- 1 vs 0- 3
William Blount Father Ryan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Father Ryan
Wilson Central Father Ryan   Father Ryan

PowerWise = 48


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.88

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H University Sch  (11- 7, 88.0)    15- 6      -11.88      14.94      -0.56         0.76            10.89
   0 A Franklin Road   ( 5- 6, 87.0)    15- 5      -12.92      13.91       0.56         0.76            10.96
   0 A Christ Presbyt  ( 5- 7, 85.9)    16- 6      -14.03      12.79       0.56         0.76            10.11
   0 H Knoxville Cath  (11- 3, 88.2)    20- 7      -11.73      15.09      -0.56         0.76            11.00
   0 H Collierville    ( 9- 8, 90.4)    12-13       -9.55      17.27      -0.56         0.76            -7.66
   0 H Ensworth        (12- 4, 95.7)    12-13       -4.16      22.66      -0.56         0.76            -3.58
   0 A St Cecilia Aca  ( 2- 7, 81.8)    18- 5      -18.09       8.73       0.56         0.76             7.04
   0 H Independence    ( 8- 8, 89.2)    16- 5      -10.74      16.08      -0.56         0.76            11.76
   0 A Girls Preparat  ( 3- 7, 88.1)    16- 7      -11.83      14.99       0.56         0.76            11.78
   0 H Harpeth Hall    (12- 3, 98.0)     8-14       -1.91      24.91      -0.56         0.76            -1.87
   0 A Baylor School   ( 5- 5, 90.0)    13- 7       -9.89      16.93       0.56         0.76            13.25
   0 H Pope John Paul  ( 1-14, 84.1)    19- 6      -15.83      10.99      -0.56         0.76             7.90
   0 A Page            ( 9- 7, 91.6)    10- 7       -8.27      18.55       0.56         0.76            14.48
   0 H Cookeville      (12- 6, 92.9)    10- 7       -6.97      19.85      -0.56         0.76            14.61
   0 H Hutchison Scho  (10- 6, 93.8)     5- 4       -6.08      20.74      -0.56         0.76            15.28
   0 A Ensworth        (12- 4, 95.7)     7- 6       -4.16      22.66       0.56         0.76            17.59
   0 N Harpeth Hall    (12- 3, 98.0)     1-15       -1.91      24.91      -0.00         0.76            -1.45
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       142.10

winning pts = 156.6518 losing points = -14.5542

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------