---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Farmington 1
  
Farmington            
W-L: ( 5-10) PR = 82.7810

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 409 H Rochester Adams (14- 4, 88.0) 6-17 411 A Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 9-10 412 A Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 1-17 412 A Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 7- 6 412 A Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 7- 5 414 A Rochester HS ( 9- 8, 82.1) 6- 9 421 H Grosse Pointe North ( 8- 7, 82.6) 13- 6 423 A West Bloomfield ( 7- 8, 81.1) 8- 9 430 A Royal Oak ( 2-16, 79.2) 12- 2 501 A Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 8-13 505 A Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 6-12 507 A Livonia United ( 5-11, 83.0) 5- 6 508 H St Catherine of Siena ( 4- 7, 77.1) 17- 9 512 H Rochester Stoney Creek ( 9- 8, 86.8) 5-11 516 H Ann Arbor Pioneer ( 6- 9, 82.3) 7-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Rochester Adams         6-17     -11    -5          -0.39
   411 A Troy Athens             9-10      -1    -4    +      3.50
   412 A Mattawan                1-17     -16   -10           0.00
   412 A Swartz Creek            7- 6       1    -3    +      3.86
   412 A Swartz Creek            7- 5       2    -3    ++     4.86
   414 A Rochester HS            6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.01
   421 H Grosse Pointe North    13- 6       7     1    ++     4.15
   423 A West Bloomfield         8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.03
   430 A Royal Oak              12- 2      10     3           2.00
   501 A Oxford                  8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.81
   505 A Clarkston               6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.17
   507 A Livonia United          5- 6      -1    -1          -0.18
   508 H St Catherine of Siena  17- 9       8     6           0.00
   512 H Rochester Stoney Creek  5-11      -6    -3          -1.63
   516 H Ann Arbor Pioneer       7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Ann Arbor Pioneer       7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.15
   414 A Rochester HS            6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.01
   423 A West Bloomfield         8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.03
   501 A Oxford                  8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.81
   505 A Clarkston               6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Swartz Creek            7- 5       2    -3    ++     4.86
   421 H Grosse Pointe North    13- 6       7     1    ++     4.15
   411 A Troy Athens             9-10      -1    -4    +      3.50
   412 A Swartz Creek            7- 6       1    -3    +      3.86

Farmington Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Ann Arbor Father Gabriel tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ann Arbor Father Gabriel
Ann Arbor Huron Farmington tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Farmington
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer  
Ann Arbor Skyline Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmington
Avondale Farmington Farmington   3- 5 vs 0- 8
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Farmington
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Caledonia
Canton Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Cass Tech Farmington Farmington   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Catholic Central Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) Farmington
Clarkston Clarkston Clarkston  
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Davison Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Farmington
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) DeWitt
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child Divine Child   3- 1 vs 0- 4
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Grand Rapids
East Lansing East Lansing insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Lansing
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Farmington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Farmington
Flint Powers Catholic Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Flushing Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Farmington
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea   Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Rapids Christian
Grandville Grandville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Farmington Farmington  
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hartland
Haslett Haslett   Haslett
Henry Ford II Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Farmington
Holland West Ottawa Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Farmington
Holt Holt insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Holt
Howell Howell insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hudsonville
Jenison Farmington   Farmington
Kalamazoo Central Farmington   Farmington
Lake Fenton Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Lakeview Farmington Farmington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly   Lansing Catholic-Waverly
Lapeer Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Farmington
Livonia United Livonia United Livonia United  
Lowell Lowell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lowell
Marian Marian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marian
Mattawan Mattawan Mattawan  
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mercy
Midland Farmington   Farmington
Mona Shores Mona Shores insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mona Shores
Northview Northview insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northview
Northville Northville Northville   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Novi Novi Novi   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Okemos Okemos tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Okemos
Oxford Oxford Oxford  
Plymouth Farmington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Farmington
Portage Northern Portage Northern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Rochester HS Rochester HS Rochester HS  
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Royal Oak Farmington Farmington  
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Saginaw Heritage
Salem Farmington tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Farmington
Saline Saline insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United South Lyon United   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Farmington Farmington  
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Farmington   Farmington
Swartz Creek Farmington Farmington  
Tecumseh Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Traverse City Central
Troy Troy Troy   4- 3 vs 1- 6
Troy Athens Troy Athens Troy Athens  
University Liggett University Liggett insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern Farmington   Farmington
Warren Regina Farmington tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Farmington
Waterford United Farmington tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Farmington
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield West Bloomfield  
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Farmington   Farmington

PowerWise = 32


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Rochester Adam  (14- 4, 88.0)     6-17      -11.89      17.31      -0.62         1.07           -13.41
   0 A Troy Athens     (14- 7, 86.7)     9-10      -13.24      15.95       0.62         1.07           -13.53
   0 A Mattawan        (19- 4, 92.1)     1-17       -7.84      21.35       0.62         1.07            -7.74
   0 A Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     7- 6      -14.88      14.31       0.62         1.07            16.01
   0 A Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     7- 5      -14.88      14.31       0.62         1.07            16.01
   0 A Rochester HS    ( 9- 8, 82.1)     6- 9      -17.75      11.44       0.62         1.07           -18.37
   0 H Grosse Pointe   ( 8- 7, 82.6)    13- 6      -17.35      11.85      -0.62         1.07            12.04
   0 A West Bloomfiel  ( 7- 8, 81.1)     8- 9      -18.77      10.42       0.62         1.07           -19.46
   0 A Royal Oak       ( 2-16, 79.2)    12- 2      -20.74       8.45       0.62         1.07             9.72
   0 A Oxford          (12-10, 84.4)     8-13      -15.55      13.65       0.62         1.07           -16.00
   0 A Clarkston       ( 7- 7, 85.0)     6-12      -14.91      14.28       0.62         1.07           -15.32
   0 A Livonia United  ( 5-11, 83.0)     5- 6      -16.92      12.27       0.62         1.07           -17.48
   0 H St Catherine o  ( 4- 7, 77.1)    17- 9      -22.78       6.41      -0.62         1.07             6.21
   0 H Rochester Ston  ( 9- 8, 86.8)     5-11      -13.13      16.06      -0.62         1.07           -14.74
   0 H Ann Arbor Pion  ( 6- 9, 82.3)     7-12      -17.65      11.54      -0.62         1.07           -19.59
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -95.64

winning pts = 59.9952 losing points = -155.6391

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------