---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Farmington 1
  
Farmington            
W-L: (13- 6) PR = 83.2957

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 A Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 7- 8 422 H Northwest Catholic ( 8-11, 78.4) 16- 4 423 A Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 2-17 425 H Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 10- 6 430 A Ellington (10- 9, 81.7) 10-12 502 A Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 9- 7 503 A Granby Memorial (14- 6, 81.7) 7- 6 506 H Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 15- 6 508 A Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 1-17 512 H RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 12- 6 514 H Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 4-17 516 A Avon HS ( 1-14, 78.1) 7- 6 519 H Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 17- 3 521 H South Windsor ( 3-12, 77.5) 14- 0 523 A Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 9- 4 527 H Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 16- 5 529 H Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 13- 7 603 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 11-10 606 A Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 1-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Glastonbury             7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.15
   422 H Northwest Catholic     16- 4      12     6           0.00
   423 A Cheshire HS             2-17     -15    -8           0.00
   425 H Hall                   10- 6       4     1    +      2.89
   430 A Ellington              10-12      -2     1    -     -2.82
   502 A Southington             9- 7       2     1           1.16
   503 A Granby Memorial         7- 6       1     1           0.13
   506 H Berlin                 15- 6       9     7           0.00
   508 A Conard                  1-17     -16   -10           0.00
   512 H RHAM                   12- 6       6     7           0.00
   514 H Simsbury                4-17     -13    -7           0.00
   516 A Avon HS                 7- 6       1     4    -     -3.47
   519 H Rocky Hill             17- 3      14     8           0.00
   521 H South Windsor          14- 0      14     6           0.00
   523 A Newington               9- 4       5     5           0.20
   527 H Berlin                 16- 5      11     7           0.00
   529 H Southington            13- 7       6     2    +      2.71
   603 A Hall                   11-10       1     0           1.34
   606 A Simsbury                1-18     -17    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Glastonbury             7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.15
   430 A Ellington              10-12      -2     1    -     -2.82
   516 A Avon HS                 7- 6       1     4    -     -3.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Hall                   10- 6       4     1    +      2.89
   529 H Southington            13- 7       6     2    +      2.71

Farmington Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Amity Regional
Avon HS Farmington Farmington  
Bacon/East Hampton Farmington Farmington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Berlin Farmington Farmington  
Bethel Farmington   Farmington
Branford Branford insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Branford
Brien McMahon Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Bristol Central Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Bristol Eastern Farmington   Farmington
Brookfield Farmington   Farmington
Canton Farmington Farmington   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Conard Conard Conard  
Cromwell Farmington   Farmington
Danbury Farmington   Farmington
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic Farmington Farmington   6- 1 vs 4- 3
East Lyme East Lyme insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) East Lyme
Ellington Ellington Ellington  
Enfield Farmington   Farmington
EO Smith Farmington Farmington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fairfield Warde
Fitch Farmington   Farmington
Foran Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury  
Granby Memorial Farmington Farmington  
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Greenwich HS
Griswold-Norwich Tech Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Guilford Farmington tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Farmington
Haddam-Killingworth Farmington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Farmington
Hall Farmington Farmington  
Hamden Farmington   Farmington
Housatonic Regional Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Immaculate Heart Farmington   Farmington
Joel Barlow Farmington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Farmington
Jonathan Law Farmington   Farmington
Killingly Farmington   Farmington
Lakeview United Farmington   Farmington
Lauralton Hall Farmington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Farmington
Ledyard Farmington   Farmington
Lewis Mills Farmington Farmington   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Lyman Hall Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Masuk Masuk tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Masuk
Mercy Farmington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Farmington
Middletown-Coginchaug Farmington Farmington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Montville Farmington   Farmington
Morgan School Farmington Farmington   3- 0 vs 1- 2
New Canaan New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Fairfield
New London/St Bernards Farmington   Farmington
New Milford Farmington   Farmington
Newington Farmington Farmington  
Newtown Newtown tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Newtown
North Branford Farmington   Farmington
North Haven Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Northwest Catholic Farmington Farmington  
Norwalk Farmington   Farmington
Norwich Free Academy Farmington tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Farmington
Notre Dame Fairfield Farmington   Farmington
Old Lyme Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Old Saybrook Farmington   Farmington
Pomperaug Farmington   Farmington
RHAM Farmington Farmington  
Ridgefield Ridgefield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ridgefield
Rockville Farmington Farmington   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Rocky Hill Farmington Farmington  
Sacred Heart Academy Farmington tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Farmington
Sheehan Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Shelton Farmington   Farmington
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury  
Somers Farmington tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Farmington
South Windsor Farmington Farmington  
Southington Farmington Farmington  
St Joseph Farmington   Farmington
St Paul Catholic Farmington Farmington   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Stamford Farmington   Farmington
Staples Staples insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Staples
Stonington Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Stratford-Bunnell Farmington   Farmington
Suffield HS Suffield HS tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) Suffield HS
Tolland Farmington tied - ( 7- 3) ( 7- 3) Farmington
Trumbull Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Farmington
Valley Regional Farmington   Farmington
Waterford Farmington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Farmington
Watertown Farmington Farmington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Haven Farmington   Farmington
Westhill Farmington   Farmington
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Farmington Farmington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wheeler Farmington   Farmington
Wilton Wilton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilton
Windsor Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Wolcott Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Farmington
Woodstock Academy Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington

PowerWise = 74


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Glastonbury     ( 9- 9, 81.4)     7- 8      -18.48      16.33       0.73         0.92           -16.36
   0 H Northwest Cath  ( 8-11, 78.4)    16- 4      -21.50      13.31      -0.73         0.92            11.60
   0 A Cheshire HS     (16- 4, 90.2)     2-17       -9.73      25.08       0.73         0.92            -8.30
   0 H Hall            (11- 5, 82.9)    10- 6      -16.99      17.82      -0.73         0.92            15.75
   0 A Ellington       (10- 9, 81.7)    10-12      -18.15      16.66       0.73         0.92           -16.06
   0 A Southington     ( 9- 9, 81.7)     9- 7      -18.17      16.64       0.73         0.92            16.00
   0 A Granby Memoria  (14- 6, 81.7)     7- 6      -18.20      16.61       0.73         0.92            15.97
   0 H Berlin          ( 9-10, 77.0)    15- 6      -22.91      11.90      -0.73         0.92            10.29
   0 A Conard          (18- 2, 92.3)     1-17       -7.57      27.24       0.73         0.92            -6.30
   0 H RHAM            ( 6-10, 77.0)    12- 6      -22.90      11.91      -0.73         0.92            10.30
   0 H Simsbury        (17- 2, 91.0)     4-17       -8.92      25.89      -0.73         0.92            -8.89
   0 A Avon HS         ( 1-14, 78.1)     7- 6      -21.80      13.00       0.73         0.92            12.65
   0 H Rocky Hill      ( 5-11, 76.5)    17- 3      -23.38      11.43      -0.73         0.92             9.86
   0 H South Windsor   ( 3-12, 77.5)    14- 0      -22.37      12.44      -0.73         0.92            10.79
   0 A Newington       ( 7-11, 77.8)     9- 4      -22.13      12.68       0.73         0.92            12.35
   0 H Berlin          ( 9-10, 77.0)    16- 5      -22.91      11.90      -0.73         0.92            10.29
   0 H Southington     ( 9- 9, 81.7)    13- 7      -18.17      16.64      -0.73         0.92            14.67
   0 A Hall            (11- 5, 82.9)    11-10      -16.99      17.82       0.73         0.92            17.08
   0 A Simsbury        (17- 2, 91.0)     1-18       -8.92      25.89       0.73         0.92            -7.55
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       104.15

winning pts = 167.6050 losing points = -63.4507

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------