---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Falmouth 1
  
Falmouth              
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 95.8634

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 418 A Thornton Academy ( 9- 7, 95.7) 10- 9 422 A Yarmouth ( 9- 7, 95.0) 8-11 424 H Scarborough ( 7- 8, 93.2) 8- 5 430 H York ( 6-10, 93.5) 8- 7 502 A Gorham (10- 5, 95.0) 3-10 506 A Greely ( 9- 8, 95.2) 5- 3 508 H Cheverus (12- 5, 95.0) 9-11 515 A Massabesic ( 8- 7, 93.9) 4- 3 520 A Biddeford ( 4-10, 89.5) 20- 4 522 H Kennebunk (16- 0, 99.9) 8-10 524 H Oxford Hills Comp ( 5-11, 89.2) 20- 6 527 A Marshwood (11- 5, 96.3) 16-13 530 H Windham (15- 3, 97.3) 6-13 603 H Portland ( 3-11, 87.9) 21- 4 611 H Sanford ( 8- 7, 92.5) 13- 5 614 A Marshwood (11- 5, 96.3) 10- 6 618 A Windham (15- 3, 97.3) 10- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Thornton Academy       10- 9       1     0           1.39
   422 A Yarmouth                8-11      -3     0    -     -3.38
   424 H Scarborough             8- 5       3     3          -0.21
   430 H York                    8- 7       1     3          -1.87
   502 A Gorham                  3-10      -7     0    --    -5.35
   506 A Greely                  5- 3       2     0           1.86
   508 H Cheverus                9-11      -2     1    -     -3.38
   515 A Massabesic              4- 3       1     1          -0.42
   520 A Biddeford              20- 4      16     6           0.00
   522 H Kennebunk               8-10      -2    -4           1.52
   524 H Oxford Hills Comp      20- 6      14     7           0.00
   527 A Marshwood              16-13       3    -1    +      3.91
   530 H Windham                 6-13      -7    -1    --    -4.10
   603 H Portland               21- 4      17     8           0.00
   611 H Sanford                13- 5       8     4           1.17
   614 A Marshwood              10- 6       4    -1    ++     4.91
   618 A Windham                10- 8       2    -2    +      3.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Gorham                  3-10      -7     0    --    -5.35
   530 H Windham                 6-13      -7    -1    --    -4.10
   422 A Yarmouth                8-11      -3     0    -     -3.38
   508 H Cheverus                9-11      -2     1    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   614 A Marshwood              10- 6       4    -1    ++     4.91
   527 A Marshwood              16-13       3    -1    +      3.91
   618 A Windham                10- 8       2    -2    +      3.93

Falmouth Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Falmouth tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Falmouth
Biddeford Falmouth Falmouth  
Bonny Eagle Falmouth Falmouth   5- 2 vs 0- 6
Brewer/Hampden Falmouth insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Falmouth
Brunswick Falmouth Falmouth   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Camden Hills Regional Falmouth   Falmouth
Cape Elizabeth Falmouth insuffient: ( 6- 4)( 5- 5) Falmouth
Cheverus Cheverus Cheverus  
Cony Falmouth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Falmouth
Deering Falmouth Falmouth   4- 2 vs 0- 5
Edward Little Falmouth Falmouth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Erskine Academy Falmouth   Falmouth
Freeport Freeport tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Freeport
Fryeburg Academy Falmouth insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Falmouth
Gardiner-Hall-Dale Falmouth Falmouth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Gorham Gorham Gorham  
Gray-New Gloucester/Pola Falmouth Falmouth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Greely Falmouth Falmouth  
Houlton Falmouth   Falmouth
Kennebunk Kennebunk Kennebunk  
Lake Region Falmouth insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Falmouth
Lewiston Falmouth Falmouth   4- 1 vs 0- 4
Lincoln Academy Falmouth   Falmouth
Maranacook/Winthrop Falmouth insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Falmouth
Marshwood Falmouth Falmouth  
Massabesic Falmouth Falmouth  
MCI/Nokomis Falmouth   Falmouth
Messalonskee Falmouth Falmouth   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Morse-Boothbay Falmouth   Falmouth
Mount Ararat Mount Ararat tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mount Ararat
Mount Blue Falmouth insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Falmouth
Noble Falmouth Falmouth   3- 1 vs 0- 4
North Yarmouth Academy Falmouth insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Falmouth
Oceanside Falmouth   Falmouth
Oxford Hills Comp Falmouth Falmouth  
Portland Falmouth Falmouth  
Sanford Falmouth Falmouth  
Scarborough Falmouth Falmouth  
South Portland Falmouth Falmouth   6- 1 vs 2- 5
St Dominic Academy Falmouth   Falmouth
Thornton Academy Falmouth Falmouth  
Traip Academy Falmouth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Falmouth
Waynflete School Falmouth Falmouth   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Wells Falmouth tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Falmouth
Westbrook Falmouth Falmouth   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Windham Windham Windham   9- 1 vs 6- 4
Winslow/Lawrence Falmouth   Falmouth
Yarmouth Yarmouth Yarmouth  
York Falmouth Falmouth  

PowerWise = 42


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Thornton Acade  ( 9- 7, 95.7)    10- 9       -4.16      14.59       0.51         0.92            13.93
   0 A Yarmouth        ( 9- 7, 95.0)     8-11       -4.93      13.82       0.51         0.92            -4.07
   0 H Scarborough     ( 7- 8, 93.2)     8- 5       -6.73      12.02      -0.51         0.92            10.61
   0 H York            ( 6-10, 93.5)     8- 7       -6.39      12.36      -0.51         0.92            10.93
   0 A Gorham          (10- 5, 95.0)     3-10       -4.90      13.85       0.51         0.92            -4.05
   0 A Greely          ( 9- 8, 95.2)     5- 3       -4.69      14.06       0.51         0.92            13.45
   0 H Cheverus        (12- 5, 95.0)     9-11       -4.90      13.84      -0.51         0.92            -5.00
   0 A Massabesic      ( 8- 7, 93.9)     4- 3       -5.97      12.78       0.51         0.92            12.26
   0 A Biddeford       ( 4-10, 89.5)    20- 4      -10.39       8.36       0.51         0.92             8.18
   0 H Kennebunk       (16- 0, 99.9)     8-10       -0.00      18.75      -0.51         0.92            -0.47
   0 H Oxford Hills C  ( 5-11, 89.2)    20- 6      -10.72       8.02      -0.51         0.92             6.93
   0 A Marshwood       (11- 5, 96.3)    16-13       -3.64      15.11       0.51         0.92            14.41
   0 H Windham         (15- 3, 97.3)     6-13       -2.62      16.13      -0.51         0.92            -2.89
   0 H Portland        ( 3-11, 87.9)    21- 4      -11.97       6.78      -0.51         0.92             5.78
   0 H Sanford         ( 8- 7, 92.5)    13- 5       -7.35      11.39      -0.51         0.92            10.04
   0 A Marshwood       (11- 5, 96.3)    10- 6       -3.64      15.11       0.51         0.92            14.41
   0 A Windham         (15- 3, 97.3)    10- 8       -2.62      16.13       0.51         0.92            15.35
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       119.79

winning pts = 136.2765 losing points = -16.4862

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------