List of girl Div 17 Fairfield Ludlowe List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Norwalk                15- 4      11     4    +      2.78
   409 H Darien                  4-19     -15   -14           0.00
   411 H St Joseph              16- 1      15     6           0.52
   413 A Guilford               13- 3      10     3    +      3.16
   416 A Brien McMahon          10- 7       3     8    --    -4.00
   418 A Simsbury                5- 9      -4    -2          -1.71
   420 H Westhill               18- 8      10    15           0.00
   423 A Greenwich HS            1-15     -14    -9           0.00
   425 H Trumbull               18- 5      13    10           0.00
   427 A Masuk                   3-12      -9    -4    -     -2.42
   429 H Staples                 4-13      -9    -2    --    -4.69
   501 A Daniel Hand            10- 5       5     0    ++     4.44
   504 H Fairfield Warde        11- 5       6     6          -0.34
   509 H Stamford                8- 5       3     5    -     -2.19
   511 H Newtown                 8- 9      -1     0          -0.58
   514 A Danbury                20- 0      20    16           0.00
   516 A Wilton                  4-17     -13   -12           0.00
   528 A Newtown                12-10       2    -1    +      3.78
   531 A Darien                  1-20     -19   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Brien McMahon          10- 7       3     8    --    -4.00
   429 H Staples                 4-13      -9    -2    --    -4.69
   427 A Masuk                   3-12      -9    -4    -     -2.42
   509 H Stamford                8- 5       3     5    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Daniel Hand            10- 5       5     0    ++     4.44
   404 A Norwalk                15- 4      11     4    +      2.78
   413 A Guilford               13- 3      10     3    +      3.16
   528 A Newtown                12-10       2    -1    +      3.78



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 81.46 Power Rank.................    14
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 59.66 SOS (PR) Rank..............     7
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6991 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     6
 RPI Rating............... .5873 RPI Rank...................    19
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    27
 Selection sum ...........    45 Selection Rank ............    14
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....    0. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    16
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   -5. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    20
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   9.5 Ave Defensive Goals .......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0