Evergreen
W-L: (16- 2) PR = 95.3095Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 4-11 313 A Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 12-10 327 H Ralston Valley ( 8- 8, 89.9) 17- 8 401 A Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 15- 8 408 H Steamboat Springs (11- 5, 87.9) 17- 9 411 A Valor Christian (17- 0, 99.9) 10-14 414 A Poudre District ( 7- 9, 89.5) 16- 8 417 A Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 15- 3 422 H Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 14-10 424 H Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 10- 4 426 H Battle Mountain (13- 5, 90.0) 19- 8 428 A Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 13- 6 429 A Conifer ( 3-10, 78.4) 18- 6 501 A ThunderRidge (14- 3, 96.8) 11-10 508 H Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 19- 4 510 H Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 18- 9 514 H Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 16-10 516 H Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 19- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Fairview 4-11 -7 0 -- -4.91
313 A Kent Denver 12-10 2 3 -0.57
327 H Ralston Valley 17- 8 9 6 0.00
401 A Chatfield 15- 8 7 6 0.00
408 H Steamboat Springs 17- 9 8 8 0.00
411 A Valor Christian 10-14 -4 -5 1.00
414 A Poudre District 16- 8 8 5 0.00
417 A Dakota Ridge 15- 3 12 12 0.00
422 H Green Mountain 14-10 4 4 0.00
424 H Golden 10- 4 6 6 0.00
426 H Battle Mountain 19- 8 11 6 0.00
428 A Denver South 13- 6 7 9 0.00
429 A Conifer 18- 6 12 16 0.00
501 A ThunderRidge 11-10 1 -2 + 2.97
508 H Horizon 19- 4 15 14 0.00
510 H Aspen 18- 9 9 9 0.00
514 H Mead 16-10 6 4 0.51
516 H Green Mountain 19- 6 13 4 1.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Fairview 4-11 -7 0 -- -4.91 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A ThunderRidge 11-10 1 -2 + 2.97 |
Evergreen Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Evergreen | Evergreen 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Arapahoe | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Evergreen | |
| Aspen | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Battle Mountain | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Castle View | Evergreen | Evergreen 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Chatfield | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Evergreen | Evergreen 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Cherry Creek | Evergreen | Evergreen 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Evergreen | Evergreen 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Colorado Academy | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 3) | Evergreen | |
| Columbine | Evergreen | Evergreen 6- 2 vs 1- 7 | ||
| Conifer | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Denver East | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Evergreen | |
| Denver North | Evergreen | Evergreen 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Denver South | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Durango | Evergreen | Evergreen 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Eagle Valley | Evergreen | Evergreen 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Eaglecrest | Evergreen | Evergreen 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview | ||
| Fruita Monument | Evergreen | Evergreen 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Golden | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Grand Junction | Evergreen | Evergreen 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Grandview | Evergreen | Evergreen 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Green Mountain | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Heritage | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Evergreen | |
| Holy Family | Evergreen | Evergreen 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Horizon | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Kent Denver | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Legend | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Liberty | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Mead | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Montrose | Evergreen | Evergreen 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mullen | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Evergreen | |
| Northfield | Evergreen | Evergreen 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Palmer | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Palmer Ridge | Evergreen | Evergreen 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Pine Creek | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Evergreen | |
| Poudre District | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Pueblo West | Evergreen | Evergreen 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ralston Valley | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Rampart | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Evergreen | |
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Regis Jesuit | |
| Roaring Fork | Evergreen | Evergreen 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Rock Canyon | Evergreen | Evergreen 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| St Marys Academy | Evergreen | Evergreen 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Summit | Evergreen | Evergreen 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Telluride | Evergreen | Evergreen 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| ThunderRidge | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian |
PowerWise = 48
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 4-11 -4.05 26.67 -0.45 0.85 -3.85
0 A Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 12-10 -7.61 23.11 0.45 0.85 20.14
0 H Ralston Valley ( 8- 8, 89.9) 17- 8 -10.03 20.70 -0.45 0.85 17.31
0 A Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 15- 8 -10.84 19.88 0.45 0.85 17.37
0 H Steamboat Spri (11- 5, 87.9) 17- 9 -11.99 18.73 -0.45 0.85 15.63
0 A Valor Christia (17- 0, 99.9) 10-14 -0.00 30.72 0.45 0.85 -0.38
0 A Poudre Distric ( 7- 9, 89.5) 16- 8 -10.41 20.31 0.45 0.85 17.74
0 A Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 15- 3 -16.59 14.13 0.45 0.85 12.46
0 H Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 14-10 -8.14 22.58 -0.45 0.85 18.92
0 H Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 10- 4 -10.20 20.52 -0.45 0.85 17.16
0 H Battle Mountai (13- 5, 90.0) 19- 8 -9.94 20.78 -0.45 0.85 17.38
0 A Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 13- 6 -13.97 16.76 0.45 0.85 14.70
0 A Conifer ( 3-10, 78.4) 18- 6 -21.49 9.24 0.45 0.85 8.28
0 A ThunderRidge (14- 3, 96.8) 11-10 -3.07 27.66 0.45 0.85 24.02
0 H Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 19- 4 -17.97 12.76 -0.45 0.85 10.52
0 H Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 18- 9 -13.56 17.16 -0.45 0.85 14.29
0 H Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 16-10 -8.63 22.09 -0.45 0.85 18.50
0 H Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 19- 6 -8.14 22.58 -0.45 0.85 18.92
------
259.10
|
winning pts = 263.3339 losing points = -4.2294
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------