Estero
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 72.7960Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Aubrey Rogers ( 5-13, 71.5) 9-12 218 H Venice ( 6-10, 73.3) 8- 4 220 A Riverdale ( 0-10, 60.1) 13- 0 225 A Cypress Lake ( 2-11, 64.6) 13- 2 227 H Fort Myers (12- 2, 75.1) 9-12 303 H Gulf Coast (14- 4, 82.9) 7-17 305 H Cape Coral ( 6- 6, 68.1) 7- 2 307 A Marco Island Academy ( 4- 3, 71.9) 7-11 311 H Gateway ( 6- 9, 68.7) 19- 8 313 A Fort Myers (12- 2, 75.1) 10- 7 325 H Cypress Lake ( 2-11, 64.6) 16- 0 327 H Riverdale ( 0-10, 60.1) 16- 0 401 A Aubrey Rogers ( 5-13, 71.5) 15-11 403 A Canterbury School (12- 3, 79.4) 4-14 409 H Riverdale ( 0-10, 60.1) 10- 0 414 H Fort Myers (12- 2, 75.1) 6-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Aubrey Rogers 9-12 -3 2 -- -4.74
218 H Venice 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.06
220 A Riverdale 13- 0 13 12 0.00
225 A Cypress Lake 13- 2 11 8 0.00
227 H Fort Myers 9-12 -3 -2 -1.10
303 H Gulf Coast 7-17 -10 -10 0.00
305 H Cape Coral 7- 2 5 5 0.00
307 A Marco Island Academy 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.47
311 H Gateway 19- 8 11 5 0.43
313 A Fort Myers 10- 7 3 -3 ++ 5.81
325 H Cypress Lake 16- 0 16 9 0.00
327 H Riverdale 16- 0 16 13 0.00
401 A Aubrey Rogers 15-11 4 1 + 3.17
403 A Canterbury School 4-14 -10 -7 0.00
409 H Riverdale 10- 0 10 13 0.00
414 H Fort Myers 6-13 -7 -2 - -3.10
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Aubrey Rogers 9-12 -3 2 -- -4.74 307 A Marco Island Academy 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.47 414 H Fort Myers 6-13 -7 -2 - -3.10 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Venice 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.06 313 A Fort Myers 10- 7 3 -3 ++ 5.81 401 A Aubrey Rogers 15-11 4 1 + 3.17 |
Estero Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | ||
| Alonso | Alonso | Alonso | ||
| American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | ||
| American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | ||
| Angeline Academy | Estero | Estero | ||
| Apopka | Apopka | Apopka | ||
| Archbishop McCarthy | Archbishop McCarthy | Archbishop McCarthy | ||
| Atlantic Coast | Estero | Estero | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beach | Atlantic-Delray Beach | Atlantic-Delray Beach | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | Estero | Estero 3- 4 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Barron Collier | Barron Collier | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2) | Barron Collier | |
| Bartow | Bartow | Bartow | ||
| Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | ||
| Beachside | Beachside | Beachside | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | ||
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | ||
| Bishop Verot | Bishop Verot | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2) | Bishop Verot | |
| Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | ||
| Boca Ciega | Estero | Estero | ||
| Boca Raton | Boca Raton | Boca Raton | ||
| Bolles School | Bolles School | Bolles School | ||
| Boone | Boone | Boone | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Bradenton Christian | |
| Buchholz | Buchholz | Buchholz | ||
| Calvary Christian Academ | Calvary Christian Academ | Calvary Christian Academ | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Calvary Christian HS | |
| Canterbury School | Canterbury School | Canterbury School | ||
| Cape Coral | Estero | Estero | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cardinal Mooney | |
| Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | ||
| Celebration | Estero | Estero | ||
| Clearwater Central Catho | Clearwater Central Catho | Clearwater Central Catho | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Estero | Estero | ||
| Colonial | Estero | Estero | ||
| Community School Naples | Community School Naples | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Community School Naples | |
| Cooper City | Estero | Estero | ||
| Coral Glades | Estero | Estero | ||
| Coral Reef | Coral Reef | Coral Reef | ||
| Coral Shores | Estero | Estero | ||
| Coral Springs | Coral Springs | Coral Springs | ||
| Countryside | Estero | Estero | ||
| Creekside | Creekside | Creekside | ||
| Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | ||
| Cypress Creek Orlando | Estero | Estero | ||
| Cypress Creek Wesley | Cypress Creek Wesley | Cypress Creek Wesley | ||
| Cypress Lake | Estero | Estero | ||
| Discovery | Discovery | Discovery | ||
| Dr Joaquin Garcia | Estero | Estero | ||
| Durant | Estero | Estero | ||
| Dwyer | Dwyer | Dwyer | ||
| East Lake | East Lake | East Lake | ||
| East Ridge | East Ridge | East Ridge | ||
| East River | Estero | Estero | ||
| Eastside | Estero | Estero | ||
| Edgewater | Edgewater | Edgewater | ||
| Edgewood | Edgewood | Edgewood | ||
| Episcopal School | Episcopal School | Episcopal School | ||
| Evans | Estero | Estero | ||
| First Academy | First Academy | First Academy | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | Estero | Estero | ||
| Fleming Island | Fleming Island | Fleming Island | ||
| Fletcher | Fletcher | Fletcher | ||
| Forest | Forest | Forest | ||
| Fort Myers | Fort Myers | Fort Myers | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Estero | Estero | ||
| Freedom Orlando | Freedom Orlando | Freedom Orlando | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Estero | Estero | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gateway | Estero | Estero | ||
| George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | ||
| Golden Gate | Golden Gate | Golden Gate | ||
| Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Estero | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Estero | |
| Hagerty | Hagerty | Hagerty | ||
| Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | ||
| Holy Trinity Episcopal | Holy Trinity Episcopal | Holy Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Horizon | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| IMG Academy | IMG Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | IMG Academy | |
| IMG National | IMG National | IMG National | ||
| Immokalee | Estero | Estero 3- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Innovation | Estero | Estero | ||
| Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | Jupiter | ||
| Jupiter Christian | Estero | Estero | ||
| Key West | Key West | Key West | ||
| Keys Gate | Estero | Estero | ||
| Kings Academy | Kings Academy | Kings Academy | ||
| Lake Brantley | Lake Brantley | Lake Brantley | ||
| Lake Buena Vista | Estero | Estero | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | ||
| Lake Howell | Lake Howell | Lake Howell | ||
| Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS | ||
| Lake Minneola | Lake Minneola | Lake Minneola | ||
| Lake Nona | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Lake Wales | Estero | Estero | ||
| Lakeland | Estero | Estero | ||
| Lakeland Christian | Estero | Estero | ||
| Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lakewood Ranch | |
| Land O Lakes | Estero | Estero | ||
| Largo | Estero | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Estero | |
| Leesburg | Leesburg | Leesburg | ||
| Lely | Estero | Estero 2- 4 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lourdes Academy | Lourdes Academy | Lourdes Academy | ||
| Lyman | Estero | Estero | ||
| Maclay | Maclay | Maclay | ||
| Manatee | Manatee | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Manatee | |
| Mandarin | Mandarin | Mandarin | ||
| Marco Island Academy | Marco Island Academy | Marco Island Academy | ||
| Martin County | Martin County | Martin County | ||
| Matanzas | Estero | Estero | ||
| Melbourne | Melbourne | Melbourne | ||
| Menendez | Menendez | Menendez | ||
| Merritt Island | Estero | Estero | ||
| Miami Country Day | Miami Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Miami Country Day | |
| Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | ||
| Milton | Estero | Estero | ||
| Mitchell | Mitchell | Mitchell | ||
| Naples | Naples | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Naples | |
| Navarre | Navarre | Navarre | ||
| Nease | Nease | Nease | ||
| Newberry | Estero | Estero | ||
| Newsome | Newsome | Newsome | ||
| Niceville | Niceville | Niceville | ||
| North Bay Haven | North Bay Haven | North Bay Haven | ||
| North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | ||
| Northeast Oakland Park | Estero | Estero | ||
| Northeast St Petersburg | Northeast St Petersburg | Northeast St Petersburg | ||
| Northside Christian | Estero | Estero | ||
| NSU University School | NSU University School | NSU University School | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | Oak Hall | ||
| Ocoee | Estero | Estero | ||
| Okeechobee | Estero | Estero | ||
| Olympia | Estero | Estero | ||
| Olympic Heights | Estero | Estero | ||
| Orangewood Christian | Orangewood Christian | Orangewood Christian | ||
| Osceola | Estero | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Estero | |
| Out-of-Door Academy | Out-of-Door Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Out-of-Door Academy | |
| Oviedo | Oviedo | Oviedo | ||
| Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Estero | Estero | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Estero | Estero | ||
| Palm Harbor University | Palm Harbor University | Palm Harbor University | ||
| Palmer Trinity | Palmer Trinity | Palmer Trinity | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Estero | Estero 5- 4 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Park Vista | Park Vista | Park Vista | ||
| Parrish Community | Parrish Community | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Parrish Community | |
| Pasco | Estero | Estero | ||
| Paxon Institute | Estero | Estero | ||
| Pensacola | Estero | Estero | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | ||
| Pine Crest | Pine Crest | Pine Crest | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant | ||
| Pompano Beach | Estero | Estero | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | ||
| Providence School | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | ||
| River Ridge | River Ridge | River Ridge | ||
| Riverdale | Estero | Estero | ||
| Riverside | Estero | Estero | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Riverview Sarasota | |
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rockledge | Rockledge | Rockledge | ||
| Sandalwood | Estero | Estero | ||
| Santa Fe | Estero | Estero | ||
| Sarasota | Sarasota | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Sarasota | |
| Satellite | Satellite | Satellite | ||
| Seacoast Collegiate | Seacoast Collegiate | Seacoast Collegiate | ||
| Sebastian River | Estero | Estero | ||
| Seminole | Seminole | Seminole | ||
| Seminole Ridge | Seminole Ridge | Seminole Ridge | ||
| Shorecrest Prep | Estero | Estero | ||
| Sickles | Sickles | Sickles | ||
| South Fork | Estero | Estero | ||
| South Lake | Estero | Estero | ||
| South Plantation | Estero | Estero | ||
| South Walton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Spanish River | Spanish River | Spanish River | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | St Andrews | ||
| St Augustine | St Augustine | St Augustine | ||
| St Brendan | Estero | Estero | ||
| St Cloud | St Cloud | St Cloud | ||
| St Edwards | St Edwards | St Edwards | ||
| St John Paul II | St John Paul II | St John Paul II | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Estero | Estero | ||
| St Petersburg | Estero | Estero | ||
| St Petersburg Catholic | St Petersburg Catholic | St Petersburg Catholic | ||
| St Stephens Episcopal | St Stephens Episcopal | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | St Stephens Episcopal | |
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | Estero | Estero | ||
| Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | ||
| Suncoast | Estero | Estero | ||
| Sunlake | Sunlake | Sunlake | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | ||
| Tate | Estero | Estero | ||
| Timber Creek | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Tohopekaliga | Estero | Estero | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Estero | Estero | ||
| Trinity Prep | Trinity Prep | Trinity Prep | ||
| Venice | Estero | Estero | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | Vero Beach | ||
| Viera | Viera | Viera | ||
| Village School | Estero | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Estero | |
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wekiva | Wekiva | Wekiva | ||
| Wellington | Wellington | Wellington | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Estero | Estero | ||
| West Boca Raton | Estero | Estero | ||
| West Broward | Estero | Estero | ||
| West Florida | Estero | Estero | ||
| West Orange | West Orange | West Orange | ||
| Western | Western | Western | ||
| Westminster Christian | Westminster Christian | Westminster Christian | ||
| Wharton | Estero | Estero | ||
| Windermere HS | Windermere HS | Windermere HS | ||
| Windermere Prep | Windermere Prep | Windermere Prep | ||
| Winter Haven | Estero | Estero | ||
| Winter Park | Winter Park | Winter Park | ||
| Winter Springs | Winter Springs | Winter Springs | ||
| Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch | ||
| Wolfson | Estero | Estero |
PowerWise = 80
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Aubrey Rogers ( 5-13, 71.5) 9-12 -28.38 13.72 -0.45 0.90 -25.84
0 H Venice ( 6-10, 73.3) 8- 4 -26.59 15.51 -0.45 0.90 13.49
0 A Riverdale ( 0-10, 60.1) 13- 0 -39.79 2.31 0.45 0.90 2.48
0 A Cypress Lake ( 2-11, 64.6) 13- 2 -35.32 6.78 0.45 0.90 6.48
0 H Fort Myers (12- 2, 75.1) 9-12 -24.75 17.35 -0.45 0.90 -22.59
0 H Gulf Coast (14- 4, 82.9) 7-17 -17.03 25.07 -0.45 0.90 -15.67
0 H Cape Coral ( 6- 6, 68.1) 7- 2 -31.80 10.30 -0.45 0.90 8.82
0 A Marco Island A ( 4- 3, 71.9) 7-11 -28.03 14.08 0.45 0.90 -24.71
0 H Gateway ( 6- 9, 68.7) 19- 8 -31.22 10.88 -0.45 0.90 9.34
0 A Fort Myers (12- 2, 75.1) 10- 7 -24.75 17.35 0.45 0.90 15.95
0 H Cypress Lake ( 2-11, 64.6) 16- 0 -35.32 6.78 -0.45 0.90 5.67
0 H Riverdale ( 0-10, 60.1) 16- 0 -39.79 2.31 -0.45 0.90 1.67
0 A Aubrey Rogers ( 5-13, 71.5) 15-11 -28.38 13.72 0.45 0.90 12.70
0 A Canterbury Sch (12- 3, 79.4) 4-14 -20.50 21.60 0.45 0.90 -17.96
0 H Riverdale ( 0-10, 60.1) 10- 0 -39.79 2.31 -0.45 0.90 1.67
0 H Fort Myers (12- 2, 75.1) 6-13 -24.75 17.35 -0.45 0.90 -22.59
------
-51.08
|
winning pts = 78.2746 losing points = -129.3540
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------