List of girl Div 161 Essex List of Team Values for VT Div 1


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H South Burlington        9-10      -1     1    -     -2.86
   418 H Mt Mansfield Union     11- 3       8     6           0.62
   422 H Champlain Valley Union  7-11      -4     0    -     -3.81
   425 A Burr & Burton Academy   4-12      -8    -1    --    -5.53
   429 A Bellows Free Academy - 11- 6       5     8    -     -2.00
   502 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham   10-10       0     5          n/a  
   505 A Rice Memorial           4-11      -7     2    ---   -9.24
   508 A Mt Mansfield Union     10- 9       1     5    --    -4.34
   512 H Hartford                9- 8       1     0          n/a  
   516 A South Burlington        9- 5       4     0    +      3.18
   519 H U-32                    9- 7       2     4          n/a  
   522 A Champlain Valley Union  4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.77
   526 H Middlebury Union       10-13      -3     2    --    -5.07
   528 H Bellows Free Academy - 12- 8       4     9    -     -3.00
   602 N Mt Anthony Union       12- 4       8    -3    +++   10.46
   605 A Rice Memorial           7-14      -7     2    ---   -9.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Rice Memorial           4-11      -7     2    ---   -9.24
   605 A Rice Memorial           7-14      -7     2    ---   -9.24
   425 A Burr & Burton Academy   4-12      -8    -1    --    -5.53
   502 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham   10-10       0     5    --         
   508 A Mt Mansfield Union     10- 9       1     5    --    -4.34
   526 H Middlebury Union       10-13      -3     2    --    -5.07
   415 H South Burlington        9-10      -1     1    -     -2.86
   422 H Champlain Valley Union  7-11      -4     0    -     -3.81
   429 A Bellows Free Academy - 11- 6       5     8    -     -2.00
   519 H U-32                    9- 7       2     4    -          
   522 A Champlain Valley Union  4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.77
   528 H Bellows Free Academy - 12- 8       4     9    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   602 N Mt Anthony Union       12- 4       8    -3    +++   10.46
   516 A South Burlington        9- 5       4     0    +      3.18



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 68.36 Power Rank.................     4
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 35.16 SOS (PR) Rank..............     4
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5178 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     4
 RPI Rating............... .5170 RPI Rank...................     7
 Champ. Probability ......   4.4 Championship Rank .........     4
 Selection sum ...........    17 Selection Rank ............     7
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....   80. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     6
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     6
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   8.6 Ave Defensive Goals .......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7