Essex
W-L: (12- 6) PR = 97.2958Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 A Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 19-13 417 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 15- 5 419 A Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 15- 3 426 A St Johnsbury Academy (10- 6, 95.4) 11-10 428 A South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 5- 8 501 H Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 15- 5 503 A Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 5- 9 506 A Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 13-14 512 A Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 12- 0 515 H South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 14- 6 516 A Bellows Free Academy - ( 2-11, 91.8) 17- 3 520 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 11- 7 522 H Bellows Free Academy - ( 2-11, 91.8) 14- 7 524 H Burr & Burton Academy (12- 5, 98.5) 10- 8 527 H Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 8- 9 529 H Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 8-10 603 H Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 12- 2 607 A Burr & Burton Academy (12- 5, 98.5) 6- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
414 A Burlington 19-13 6 3 + 2.40
417 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham 15- 5 10 5 0.41
419 A Mt Mansfield Union 15- 3 12 3 1.64
426 A St Johnsbury Academy 11-10 1 1 -0.39
428 A South Burlington 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.91
501 H Harwood Union 15- 5 10 6 0.00
503 A Middlebury Union 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.28
506 A Champlain Valley Union 13-14 -1 -2 1.04
512 A Rutland 12- 0 12 6 0.00
515 H South Burlington 14- 6 8 1 ++ 4.13
516 A Bellows Free Academy - 17- 3 14 5 0.00
520 H Mt Mansfield Union 11- 7 4 4 -0.32
522 H Bellows Free Academy - 14- 7 7 6 0.00
524 H Burr & Burton Academy 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.74
527 H Middlebury Union 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.24
529 H Champlain Valley Union 8-10 -2 -1 -0.91
603 H Rutland 12- 2 10 7 0.00
607 A Burr & Burton Academy 6- 9 -3 -2 -1.30
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Middlebury Union 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.28 428 A South Burlington 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.91 527 H Middlebury Union 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 H South Burlington 14- 6 8 1 ++ 4.13 414 A Burlington 19-13 6 3 + 2.40 524 H Burr & Burton Academy 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.74 |
Essex Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy - S | Essex | Essex | ||
| Brattleboro Union | Essex | Essex 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Burlington | Essex | Essex | ||
| Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1) | Burr & Burton Academy | |
| Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | ||
| Colchester | Essex | Essex 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Green Mountain Valley | |
| Hartford | Hartford | tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) | Hartford | |
| Harwood Union | Essex | Essex | ||
| Lamoille Union | Essex | Essex 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Essex | Essex 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Milton | Essex | Essex 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 2) | Mt Anthony Union | |
| Mt Mansfield Union | Essex | Essex | ||
| Rice Memorial | Essex | insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 5- 3) | Essex | |
| Rutland | Essex | Essex | ||
| South Burlington | Essex | tied - ( 5- 3) ( 5- 2) | Essex | |
| Spaulding | Essex | Essex 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | Essex | Essex | ||
| Stowe | Essex | Essex 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Stratton Mountain School | Essex | Essex | ||
| U-32 | Essex | tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) | Essex | |
| Vergennes/Mt Abraham | Essex | Essex | ||
| Woodstock Union | Essex | Essex 4- 2 vs 2- 2 |
PowerWise = 19
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 19-13 -5.68 11.72 0.48 0.86 10.53
0 H Vergennes/Mt A ( 8- 9, 93.2) 15- 5 -6.72 10.68 -0.48 0.86 8.81
0 A Mt Mansfield U ( 4-12, 93.5) 15- 3 -6.44 10.96 0.48 0.86 9.87
0 A St Johnsbury A (10- 6, 95.4) 11-10 -4.47 12.93 0.48 0.86 11.58
0 A South Burlingt (12- 6, 96.9) 5- 8 -3.00 14.41 0.48 0.86 -2.17
0 H Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 15- 5 -8.20 9.21 -0.48 0.86 7.53
0 A Middlebury Uni (11- 4, 96.5) 5- 9 -3.36 14.04 0.48 0.86 -2.49
0 A Champlain Vall (15- 2, 98.9) 13-14 -1.04 16.36 0.48 0.86 -0.49
0 A Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 12- 0 -8.71 8.69 0.48 0.86 7.91
0 H South Burlingt (12- 6, 96.9) 14- 6 -3.00 14.41 -0.48 0.86 12.02
0 A Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 91.8) 17- 3 -8.10 9.30 0.48 0.86 8.44
0 H Mt Mansfield U ( 4-12, 93.5) 11- 7 -6.44 10.96 -0.48 0.86 9.05
0 H Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 91.8) 14- 7 -8.10 9.30 -0.48 0.86 7.62
0 H Burr & Burton (12- 5, 98.5) 10- 8 -1.38 16.02 -0.48 0.86 13.42
0 H Middlebury Uni (11- 4, 96.5) 8- 9 -3.36 14.04 -0.48 0.86 -3.32
0 H Champlain Vall (15- 2, 98.9) 8-10 -1.04 16.36 -0.48 0.86 -1.31
0 H Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 12- 2 -8.71 8.69 -0.48 0.86 7.09
0 A Burr & Burton (12- 5, 98.5) 6- 9 -1.38 16.02 0.48 0.86 -0.78
------
103.32
|
winning pts = 113.8789 losing points = -10.5623
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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