Erskine Academy
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 90.0386Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 418 H Gray-New Gloucester/Po ( 3-11, 85.5) 16-12 422 A Cony (11- 4, 92.2) 9-10 425 H Houlton ( 4- 8, 85.6) 14- 5 428 H Gardiner-Hall-Dale ( 9- 6, 91.0) 6- 8 430 A Winslow/Lawrence ( 0-13, 82.2) 14- 1 502 A MCI/Nokomis ( 1-12, 81.1) 13- 1 506 A Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 18- 8 509 H Lincoln Academy (10- 4, 92.5) 8- 6 516 A Maranacook/Winthrop (11- 4, 94.7) 7-15 519 H St Dominic Academy ( 1-12, 82.8) 17- 4 523 A Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 11-16 527 H Camden Hills Regional (12- 5, 92.5) 8-17 529 H MCI/Nokomis ( 1-12, 81.1) 21- 2 603 A Lincoln Academy (10- 4, 92.5) 6- 9 613 N Wells (14- 2, 94.7) 4-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
418 H Gray-New Gloucester/Po 16-12 4 5 -1.00
422 A Cony 9-10 -1 -3 1.72
425 H Houlton 14- 5 9 5 0.09
428 H Gardiner-Hall-Dale 6- 8 -2 0 -1.53
430 A Winslow/Lawrence 14- 1 13 7 0.00
502 A MCI/Nokomis 13- 1 12 8 0.00
506 A Mount Blue 18- 8 10 1 ++ 4.01
509 H Lincoln Academy 8- 6 2 -2 + 3.96
516 A Maranacook/Winthrop 7-15 -8 -5 0.00
519 H St Dominic Academy 17- 4 13 8 0.00
523 A Morse-Boothbay 11-16 -5 -1 - -3.85
527 H Camden Hills Regional 8-17 -9 -2 - -3.01
529 H MCI/Nokomis 21- 2 19 9 0.00
603 A Lincoln Academy 6- 9 -3 -3 -0.02
613 N Wells 4-13 -9 -5 -0.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 A Morse-Boothbay 11-16 -5 -1 - -3.85 527 H Camden Hills Regional 8-17 -9 -2 - -3.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 A Mount Blue 18- 8 10 1 ++ 4.01 509 H Lincoln Academy 8- 6 2 -2 + 3.96 |
Erskine Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Erskine Academy | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) | Erskine Academy | |
| Biddeford | Erskine Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Erskine Academy | |
| Bonny Eagle | Erskine Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Erskine Academy | |
| Brewer/Hampden | Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy 5- 5 vs 2- 7 | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) | Brunswick | |
| Camden Hills Regional | Camden Hills Regional | Camden Hills Regional | ||
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cape Elizabeth | |
| Cheverus | Cheverus | Cheverus | ||
| Cony | Cony | Cony | ||
| Deering | Erskine Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Erskine Academy | |
| Edward Little | Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Falmouth | Falmouth | Falmouth | ||
| Freeport | Freeport | Freeport 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fryeburg Academy | Fryeburg Academy | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Fryeburg Academy | |
| Gardiner-Hall-Dale | Gardiner-Hall-Dale | Gardiner-Hall-Dale | ||
| Gorham | Gorham | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gorham | |
| Gray-New Gloucester/Pola | Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | ||
| Greely | Greely | Greely 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Houlton | Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | ||
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | Kennebunk | ||
| Lake Region | Erskine Academy | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Erskine Academy | |
| Lewiston | Erskine Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Erskine Academy | |
| Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy 6- 2 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop | ||
| Marshwood | Marshwood | Marshwood | ||
| Massabesic | Massabesic | Massabesic | ||
| MCI/Nokomis | Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | ||
| Messalonskee | Messalonskee | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 4) | Messalonskee | |
| Morse-Boothbay | Morse-Boothbay | Morse-Boothbay | ||
| Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 8- 0 vs 3- 6 | ||
| Mount Blue | Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | ||
| Noble | Erskine Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Erskine Academy | |
| North Yarmouth Academy | North Yarmouth Academy | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | North Yarmouth Academy | |
| Oceanside | Oceanside | Oceanside | ||
| Oxford Hills Comp | Erskine Academy | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Erskine Academy | |
| Portland | Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | ||
| Sanford | Sanford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sanford | |
| Scarborough | Scarborough | Scarborough | ||
| South Portland | Erskine Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Erskine Academy | |
| St Dominic Academy | Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | ||
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | ||
| Traip Academy | Traip Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Traip Academy | |
| Waynflete School | Waynflete School | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Waynflete School | |
| Wells | Wells | Wells | ||
| Westbrook | Erskine Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Erskine Academy | |
| Windham | Windham | Windham | ||
| Winslow/Lawrence | Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | ||
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | Yarmouth | ||
| York | York | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | York |
PowerWise = 19
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Gray-New Glouc ( 3-11, 85.5) 16-12 -14.42 4.32 -0.51 0.98 3.75
0 A Cony (11- 4, 92.2) 9-10 -7.66 11.09 0.51 0.98 -7.03
0 H Houlton ( 4- 8, 85.6) 14- 5 -14.26 4.49 -0.51 0.98 3.91
0 H Gardiner-Hall- ( 9- 6, 91.0) 6- 8 -8.87 9.87 -0.51 0.98 -9.24
0 A Winslow/Lawren ( 0-13, 82.2) 14- 1 -17.67 1.07 0.51 0.98 1.56
0 A MCI/Nokomis ( 1-12, 81.1) 13- 1 -18.75 1.00 0.51 0.98 1.49
0 A Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 18- 8 -11.36 7.38 0.51 0.98 7.77
0 H Lincoln Academ (10- 4, 92.5) 8- 6 -7.39 11.36 -0.51 0.98 10.67
0 A Maranacook/Win (11- 4, 94.7) 7-15 -5.15 13.60 0.51 0.98 -4.56
0 H St Dominic Aca ( 1-12, 82.8) 17- 4 -17.05 1.69 -0.51 0.98 1.16
0 A Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 11-16 -9.23 9.52 0.51 0.98 -8.57
0 H Camden Hills R (12- 5, 92.5) 8-17 -7.36 11.39 -0.51 0.98 -7.75
0 H MCI/Nokomis ( 1-12, 81.1) 21- 2 -18.75 1.00 -0.51 0.98 0.48
0 A Lincoln Academ (10- 4, 92.5) 6- 9 -7.39 11.36 0.51 0.98 -6.77
0 N Wells (14- 2, 94.7) 4-13 -5.15 13.60 -0.00 0.98 -5.07
------
-18.20
|
winning pts = 30.7867 losing points = -48.9885
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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