List of girl Div 152 Ephrata List of Team Values for PA Central


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Warwick                 4-18     -14     2    ---   -9.90
   319 A Palmyra                 5-16     -11     2    ---   -9.38
   321 H Garden Spot            19-13       6     2    +      3.50
   324 A Wyomissing Area         5-17     -12   -17           0.00
   325 A Penn Manor              5-15     -10    -8           0.00
   327 H Daniel Boone           20- 4      16    11           0.00
   330 A Cocalico               10-13      -3    -3           0.63
   331 A Hempfield Landisville   5-17     -12    -9           0.00
   407 H Manheim Township        0-22     -22   -19           0.00
   413 A Conestoga Valley        5- 4       1     6    --    -5.76
   417 H Cedar Crest             3-16     -13    -3    -     -3.36
   418 A Lancaster Country Day   7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.21
   421 H Penn Manor              5-15     -10    -7           0.00
   423 A Manheim Township        0-21     -21   -19           0.00
   425 A Elizabethtown          10- 6       4    -4    +++    8.94
   427 A Cedar Crest             4-18     -14    -4    -     -2.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Warwick                 4-18     -14     2    ---   -9.90
   319 A Palmyra                 5-16     -11     2    ---   -9.38
   413 A Conestoga Valley        5- 4       1     6    --    -5.76
   417 H Cedar Crest             3-16     -13    -3    -     -3.36
   418 A Lancaster Country Day   7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.21
   427 A Cedar Crest             4-18     -14    -4    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Elizabethtown          10- 6       4    -4    +++    8.94
   321 H Garden Spot            19-13       6     2    +      3.50



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 69.54 Power Rank.................    32
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 48.35 SOS (PR) Rank..............     5
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6859 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     3
 RPI Rating............... .4788 RPI Rank...................    44
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    44
 Selection sum ...........   104 Selection Rank ............    33
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -175. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    59
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -170. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    57
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   6.7 Ave Defensive Goals .......   13.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.3