---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:00 PDT

safe3step girls Ensworth 1
  
Ensworth              
W-L: (12- 4) PR = 95.7381

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 H Pope John Paul II ( 1-14, 84.1) 19- 5 304 H Page ( 9- 7, 91.6) 6- 7 306 A Girls Preparatory Scho ( 3- 7, 88.1) 15- 1 318 A Franklin ( 9- 2, 97.8) 4-15 321 A Hutchison School (10- 6, 93.8) 8- 3 322 A St Agnes Academy ( 2- 9, 82.6) 22- 0 328 H Collierville ( 9- 8, 90.4) 15- 4 401 A Father Ryan (13- 4, 94.0) 13-12 404 H Briarcrest Christian (11- 3, 94.4) 10- 7 408 A Harpeth Hall (12- 3, 98.0) 7- 6 411 H St Marys Episcopal ( 9- 5, 95.4) 7- 6 415 H Hillsboro ( 1- 7, 77.6) 19- 1 424 H Ravenwood ( 9- 1, 99.9) 8-15 429 A Brentwood (15- 3, 98.5) 9- 8 502 H Girls Preparatory Scho ( 3- 7, 88.1) 20- 0 510 H Father Ryan (13- 4, 94.0) 6- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Pope John Paul II      19- 5      14    12           0.00
   304 H Page                    6- 7      -1     5    --    -5.67
   306 A Girls Preparatory Scho 15- 1      14     7           0.00
   318 A Franklin                4-15     -11    -3    -     -2.41
   321 A Hutchison School        8- 3       5     1    +      3.64
   322 A St Agnes Academy       22- 0      22    13           0.00
   328 H Collierville           15- 4      11     6           0.00
   401 A Father Ryan            13-12       1     1          -0.17
   404 H Briarcrest Christian   10- 7       3     2           1.11
   408 A Harpeth Hall            7- 6       1    -3    +      3.82
   411 H St Marys Episcopal      7- 6       1     1           0.13
   415 H Hillsboro              19- 1      18    19           0.00
   424 H Ravenwood               8-15      -7    -4          -1.40
   429 A Brentwood               9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.31
   502 H Girls Preparatory Scho 20- 0      20     8           0.00
   510 H Father Ryan             6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Page                    6- 7      -1     5    --    -5.67
   318 A Franklin                4-15     -11    -3    -     -2.41
   510 H Father Ryan             6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Brentwood               9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.31
   321 A Hutchison School        8- 3       5     1    +      3.64
   408 A Harpeth Hall            7- 6       1    -3    +      3.82

Ensworth Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Arlington Ensworth Ensworth   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Bartlett Ensworth Ensworth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Baylor School Ensworth Ensworth   5- 1 vs 2- 3
Bearden Ensworth insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Ensworth
Bradley Central Ensworth   Ensworth
Brentwood Ensworth Ensworth  
Briarcrest Christian Ensworth Ensworth  
Centennial Ensworth tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Ensworth
Christ Presbyterian Acad Ensworth insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Ensworth
Christian Academy Knoxvi Ensworth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ensworth
Collierville Ensworth Ensworth  
Cookeville Ensworth Ensworth   4- 3 vs 2- 4
Dobyns Bennett Ensworth   Ensworth
Evangelical Christian Ensworth Ensworth   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Farragut Ensworth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ensworth
Father Ryan Ensworth insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) Ensworth
Franklin Franklin Franklin  
Franklin Road Academy Ensworth Ensworth   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Gatlinburg Pittman Ensworth   Ensworth
Girls Preparatory School Ensworth Ensworth  
Green Hill Ensworth insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ensworth
Harpeth Hall Ensworth Ensworth  
Heritage Ensworth   Ensworth
Hillsboro Ensworth Ensworth  
Houston Ensworth Ensworth   5- 3 vs 3- 5
Hunters Lane Ensworth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ensworth
Hutchison School Ensworth Ensworth  
Independence Ensworth Ensworth   5- 3 vs 2- 5
Knoxville Catholic Ensworth Ensworth   4- 1 vs 1- 3
Lausanne Collegiate Ensworth Ensworth   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Maryville Ensworth   Ensworth
Ooltewah Ensworth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ensworth
Page Page Page  
Pigeon Forge Ensworth   Ensworth
Pope John Paul II Ensworth Ensworth  
Ravenwood Ravenwood Ravenwood  
Science Hill Ensworth   Ensworth
Sevier County Ensworth   Ensworth
Seymour Ensworth Ensworth   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Signal Mountain Ensworth insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ensworth
Soddy Daisy Ensworth   Ensworth
St Agnes Academy Ensworth Ensworth  
St Benedict Ensworth Ensworth   4- 0 vs 0- 4
St Cecilia Academy Ensworth Ensworth   2- 1 vs 0- 2
St Georges Ensworth insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Ensworth
St Marys Episcopal Ensworth Ensworth  
Summit Ensworth insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Ensworth
University School Nashvi Ensworth insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) Ensworth
Upperman Ensworth   Ensworth
Walker Valley Ensworth   Ensworth
Webb School Bell Buckle Ensworth   Ensworth
Webb School Knoxville Ensworth   Ensworth
West Ensworth insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ensworth
White Station Ensworth Ensworth   4- 0 vs 0- 4
William Blount Ensworth   Ensworth
Wilson Central Ensworth   Ensworth

PowerWise = 53


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.88

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Pope John Paul  ( 1-14, 84.1)    19- 5      -15.83      10.99      -0.56         0.80             8.39
   0 H Page            ( 9- 7, 91.6)     6- 7       -8.27      18.55      -0.56         0.80            -7.11
   0 A Girls Preparat  ( 3- 7, 88.1)    15- 1      -11.83      14.99       0.56         0.80            12.52
   0 A Franklin        ( 9- 2, 97.8)     4-15       -2.14      24.68       0.56         0.80            -1.27
   0 A Hutchison Scho  (10- 6, 93.8)     8- 3       -6.08      20.74       0.56         0.80            17.14
   0 A St Agnes Acade  ( 2- 9, 82.6)    22- 0      -17.35       9.48       0.56         0.80             8.08
   0 H Collierville    ( 9- 8, 90.4)    15- 4       -9.55      17.27      -0.56         0.80            13.45
   0 A Father Ryan     (13- 4, 94.0)    13-12       -5.90      20.92       0.56         0.80            17.29
   0 H Briarcrest Chr  (11- 3, 94.4)    10- 7       -5.49      21.33      -0.56         0.80            16.71
   0 A Harpeth Hall    (12- 3, 98.0)     7- 6       -1.91      24.91       0.56         0.80            20.50
   0 H St Marys Episc  ( 9- 5, 95.4)     7- 6       -4.47      22.35      -0.56         0.80            17.54
   0 H Hillsboro       ( 1- 7, 77.6)    19- 1      -22.32       4.50      -0.56         0.80             3.17
   0 H Ravenwood       ( 9- 1, 99.9)     8-15       -0.00      26.82      -0.56         0.80            -0.45
   0 A Brentwood       (15- 3, 98.5)     9- 8       -1.42      25.40       0.56         0.80            20.90
   0 H Girls Preparat  ( 3- 7, 88.1)    20- 0      -11.83      14.99      -0.56         0.80            11.62
   0 H Father Ryan     (13- 4, 94.0)     6- 7       -5.90      20.92      -0.56         0.80            -5.20
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       153.28

winning pts = 167.3119 losing points = -14.0295

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------