East Lyme
W-L: (17- 4) PR = 85.1971Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 12-11 408 A Norwich Free Academy (12- 6, 80.0) 11- 5 410 H Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 17- 2 412 H New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 5-13 415 H Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 11- 4 421 A Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 16- 3 424 H Woodstock Academy ( 3-13, 72.3) 17- 1 429 A Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 17- 2 501 A Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 11-12 503 A Daniel Hand (13- 9, 86.3) 8- 7 506 H Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 13- 6 508 A Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 9-19 513 A Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 9- 8 515 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 16- 3 517 A Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 10- 7 520 H Norwich Free Academy (12- 6, 80.0) 17- 3 523 H Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 10- 4 527 H Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 18- 2 529 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 15- 2 603 H Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 15- 4 606 A Amity Regional (15- 6, 89.2) 5-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Branford 12-11 1 0 0.72
408 A Norwich Free Academy 11- 5 6 4 0.52
410 H Fitch 17- 2 15 18 0.00
412 H New Fairfield 5-13 -8 -5 0.00
415 H Glastonbury 11- 4 7 5 0.50
421 A Ledyard 16- 3 13 6 0.00
424 H Woodstock Academy 17- 1 16 14 0.00
429 A Fitch 17- 2 15 17 0.00
501 A Waterford 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.01
503 A Daniel Hand 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.83
506 H Stonington 13- 6 7 6 0.00
508 A Cheshire HS 9-19 -10 -6 0.00
513 A Guilford 9- 8 1 2 -0.57
515 H Waterford 16- 3 13 4 0.53
517 A Pomperaug 10- 7 3 4 -0.95
520 H Norwich Free Academy 17- 3 14 6 0.00
523 H Ledyard 10- 4 6 7 0.00
527 H Wheeler 18- 2 16 8 0.00
529 H Waterford 15- 2 13 4 0.53
603 H Bethel 15- 4 11 5 0.21
606 A Amity Regional 5-18 -13 -5 -0.31
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Waterford 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Daniel Hand 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.83 |
East Lyme Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Berlin | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Bethel | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Branford | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Brien McMahon | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Bristol Central | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Bristol Eastern | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Brookfield | East Lyme | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Canton | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 1) | Conard | |
| Cromwell | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Danbury | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Daniel Hand | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Enfield | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| EO Smith | East Lyme | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Fairfield Ludlowe | |
| Fairfield Warde | East Lyme | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Farmington | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Fitch | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Foran | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Glastonbury | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Granby Memorial | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Greenwich HS | |
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | East Lyme | East Lyme 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Guilford | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Hall | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Hamden | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 3) | East Lyme | |
| Housatonic Regional | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Immaculate Heart | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Joel Barlow | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Jonathan Law | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Killingly | East Lyme | East Lyme 7- 1 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Lakeview United | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Lauralton Hall | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Ledyard | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Lewis Mills | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Lyman Hall | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Masuk | Masuk | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 1) | Masuk | |
| Mercy | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Montville | East Lyme | East Lyme 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Morgan School | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New London/St Bernards | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | East Lyme | |
| New Milford | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Newington | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| North Haven | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Northwest Catholic | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Norwalk | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Norwich Free Academy | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Old Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Old Saybrook | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Pomperaug | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| RHAM | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Rockville | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Rocky Hill | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Sheehan | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Shelton | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Simsbury | |
| Somers | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| South Windsor | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Southington | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | East Lyme | |
| St Joseph | East Lyme | East Lyme 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| St Paul Catholic | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Stamford | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Staples | Staples | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Staples | |
| Stonington | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Trumbull | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Valley Regional | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Waterford | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Watertown | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| West Haven | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Westhill | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Weston | East Lyme | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Wethersfield | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Wheeler | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton 3- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Windsor | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Wolcott | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Woodstock Academy | East Lyme | East Lyme |
PowerWise = 81
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 12-11 -14.26 20.55 -0.73 0.83 16.52
0 A Norwich Free A (12- 6, 80.0) 11- 5 -19.91 14.90 0.73 0.83 13.03
0 H Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 17- 2 -32.17 2.64 -0.73 0.83 1.59
0 H New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 5-13 -8.80 26.01 -0.73 0.83 -7.94
0 H Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 11- 4 -18.48 16.33 -0.73 0.83 13.01
0 A Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 16- 3 -21.24 13.56 0.73 0.83 11.91
0 H Woodstock Acad ( 3-13, 72.3) 17- 1 -27.57 7.24 -0.73 0.83 5.43
0 A Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 17- 2 -32.17 2.64 0.73 0.83 2.80
0 A Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 11-12 -18.44 16.37 0.73 0.83 -14.77
0 A Daniel Hand (13- 9, 86.3) 8- 7 -13.60 21.21 0.73 0.83 18.29
0 H Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 13- 6 -20.01 14.80 -0.73 0.83 11.73
0 A Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 9-19 -9.73 25.08 0.73 0.83 -7.51
0 A Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 9- 8 -17.00 17.81 0.73 0.83 15.45
0 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 16- 3 -18.44 16.37 -0.73 0.83 13.04
0 A Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 10- 7 -19.38 15.43 0.73 0.83 13.47
0 H Norwich Free A (12- 6, 80.0) 17- 3 -19.91 14.90 -0.73 0.83 11.82
0 H Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 10- 4 -21.24 13.56 -0.73 0.83 10.70
0 H Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 18- 2 -22.07 12.74 -0.73 0.83 10.01
0 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 15- 2 -18.44 16.37 -0.73 0.83 13.04
0 H Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 15- 4 -18.77 16.04 -0.73 0.83 12.77
0 A Amity Regional (15- 6, 89.2) 5-18 -10.74 24.07 0.73 0.83 -8.35
------
156.05
|
winning pts = 194.6126 losing points = -38.5614
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------