Ellington
W-L: (10- 9) PR = 81.7466Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 H Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 10-15 411 A Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 9-17 415 H Rockville ( 3-13, 76.7) 16- 6 422 A Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 8-13 424 H Canton ( 6-10, 79.6) 11- 1 429 H Granby Memorial (14- 6, 81.7) 11-13 430 H Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 12-10 506 A Rockville ( 3-13, 76.7) 12-13 507 A Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 20- 7 508 H Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 19-11 513 A Canton ( 6-10, 79.6) 8- 7 514 H Avon HS ( 1-14, 78.1) 13- 3 515 A Granby Memorial (14- 6, 81.7) 10-11 516 H South Windsor ( 3-12, 77.5) 19- 6 521 A Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 7- 8 522 A Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 13- 1 528 A Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 5-10 603 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 14- 3 606 A Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 7-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 H Suffield HS 10-15 -5 -3 - -2.11
411 A Branford 9-17 -8 -5 -0.38
415 H Rockville 16- 6 10 6 0.00
422 A Somers 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.75
424 H Canton 11- 1 10 3 + 2.08
429 H Granby Memorial 11-13 -2 1 - -2.77
430 H Farmington 12-10 2 -1 + 2.82
506 A Rockville 12-13 -1 4 -- -5.37
507 A Wolcott 20- 7 13 10 0.00
508 H Somers 19-11 8 1 + 3.80
513 A Canton 8- 7 1 1 -0.47
514 H Avon HS 13- 3 10 4 0.62
515 A Granby Memorial 10-11 -1 -1 -0.32
516 H South Windsor 19- 6 13 5 0.05
521 A Suffield HS 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.34
522 A Rocky Hill 13- 1 12 5 0.50
528 A Suffield HS 5-10 -5 -4 -0.66
603 H Waterford 14- 3 11 1 + 3.98
606 A Branford 7-16 -9 -5 -0.38
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Somers 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.75 506 A Rockville 12-13 -1 4 -- -5.37 410 H Suffield HS 10-15 -5 -3 - -2.11 429 H Granby Memorial 11-13 -2 1 - -2.77 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H Canton 11- 1 10 3 + 2.08 430 H Farmington 12-10 2 -1 + 2.82 508 H Somers 19-11 8 1 + 3.80 521 A Suffield HS 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.34 603 H Waterford 14- 3 11 1 + 3.98 |
Ellington Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Berlin | Ellington | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Ellington | |
| Bethel | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Branford | Branford | Branford | ||
| Brien McMahon | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Bristol Central | Ellington | Ellington 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ellington | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Brookfield | |
| Canton | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cheshire HS | |
| Conard | Conard | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Conard | |
| Cromwell | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Danbury | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | Ellington | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 0) | Ellington | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Enfield | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| EO Smith | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Fitch | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Foran | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Glastonbury | Ellington | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Ellington | |
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Guilford | Guilford | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Ellington | |
| Hall | Hall | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Hall | |
| Hamden | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| Immaculate Heart | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Killingly | Ellington | Ellington 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lakeview United | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ellington | |
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Lauralton Hall | |
| Ledyard | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ellington | |
| Lewis Mills | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Ellington | |
| Lyman Hall | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Montville | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Morgan School | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New London/St Bernards | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| New Milford | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Newington | Ellington | Ellington 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| North Haven | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Northwest Catholic | Ellington | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Ellington | |
| Norwalk | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Old Lyme | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ellington | |
| Old Saybrook | Ellington | Ellington 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Pomperaug | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| RHAM | Ellington | Ellington 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Ellington | Ellington 2- 3 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Rocky Hill | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Ellington | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) | Ellington | |
| Sheehan | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Shelton | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Simsbury | |
| Somers | Ellington | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 2) | Ellington | |
| South Windsor | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Southington | Ellington | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Ellington | |
| St Joseph | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | St Joseph | |
| St Paul Catholic | Ellington | Ellington 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ellington | |
| Stratford-Bunnell | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | Suffield HS | ||
| Tolland | Ellington | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Ellington | |
| Trumbull | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Valley Regional | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Waterford | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Watertown | Ellington | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| West Haven | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Westhill | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| Wheeler | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Wolcott | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Ellington | Ellington |
PowerWise = 68
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 10-15 -14.54 20.27 -0.73 0.92 -14.07
0 A Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 9-17 -14.26 20.55 0.73 0.92 -12.47
0 H Rockville ( 3-13, 76.7) 16- 6 -23.25 11.56 -0.73 0.92 9.99
0 A Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 8-13 -18.63 16.18 0.73 0.92 -16.49
0 H Canton ( 6-10, 79.6) 11- 1 -20.35 14.46 -0.73 0.92 12.66
0 H Granby Memoria (14- 6, 81.7) 11-13 -18.20 16.61 -0.73 0.92 -17.44
0 H Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 12-10 -16.60 18.20 -0.73 0.92 16.10
0 A Rockville ( 3-13, 76.7) 12-13 -23.25 11.56 0.73 0.92 -20.75
0 A Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 20- 7 -28.64 6.17 0.73 0.92 6.35
0 H Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 19-11 -18.63 16.18 -0.73 0.92 14.24
0 A Canton ( 6-10, 79.6) 8- 7 -20.35 14.46 0.73 0.92 13.99
0 H Avon HS ( 1-14, 78.1) 13- 3 -21.80 13.00 -0.73 0.92 11.31
0 A Granby Memoria (14- 6, 81.7) 10-11 -18.20 16.61 0.73 0.92 -16.10
0 H South Windsor ( 3-12, 77.5) 19- 6 -22.37 12.44 -0.73 0.92 10.79
0 A Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 7- 8 -14.54 20.27 0.73 0.92 -12.73
0 A Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 13- 1 -23.38 11.43 0.73 0.92 11.20
0 A Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 5-10 -14.54 20.27 0.73 0.92 -12.73
0 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 14- 3 -18.44 16.37 -0.73 0.92 14.41
0 A Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 7-16 -14.26 20.55 0.73 0.92 -12.47
------
-14.20
|
winning pts = 121.0370 losing points = -135.2380
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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