List of girl Div 17 Ellington List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Simsbury                5-12      -7    -5          -1.32
   405 H Granby Memorial        21-11      10    13           0.00
   406 A Suffield HS            10-11      -1     0          -1.85
   409 H Canton                  9- 4       5     5          -0.62
   416 A Somers                 16- 3      13     8           0.00
   418 A Avon HS                 9- 8       1     3    -     -2.58
   422 H Suffield HS            12- 6       6     2    +      3.79
   423 H Rockville              19- 2      17    13           0.00
   427 H Stonington             15- 4      11     7           0.00
   430 A Granby Memorial        14- 1      13    12           0.00
   502 A Canton                 10- 6       4     4          -0.26
   504 A South Windsor           8- 7       1     2          -1.84
   506 A Rockville              16- 5      11    11           0.00
   507 H Somers                 16- 2      14     9           0.00
   513 H EO Smith               17- 0      17    18           0.00
   516 A Fitch                   8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.24
   522 N Suffield HS            10- 5       5     1    +      3.47
   528 H Ledyard                11- 6       5     4           0.14
   531 A Daniel Hand             7- 9      -2    -2           0.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Avon HS                 9- 8       1     3    -     -2.58
   516 A Fitch                   8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Suffield HS            12- 6       6     2    +      3.79
   522 N Suffield HS            10- 5       5     1    +      3.47



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 78.07 Power Rank.................    22
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 44.53 SOS (PR) Rank..............    42
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6783 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    14
 RPI Rating............... .6178 RPI Rank...................    13
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    24
 Selection sum ...........    41 Selection Rank ............    12
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -10. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    19
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   25. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    14
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  12.3 Ave Defensive Goals .......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7