---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Elk River/Zimmerman 1
  
Elk River/Zimmerman   
W-L: (12- 6) PR = 90.1964

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 H Rogers ( 7- 7, 87.5) 11- 4 416 A Totino-Grace ( 8- 7, 85.5) 18- 3 421 H Monticello ( 6- 8, 82.6) 23- 3 423 A Osseo-Park Center ( 5- 9, 81.7) 19- 2 501 H Eden Prairie ( 3-12, 87.9) 15- 9 505 A Robbinsdale Armstrong/ ( 2-12, 84.2) 19- 7 507 A Blaine ( 7- 5, 86.7) 11- 8 509 H Maple Grove (15- 4, 93.2) 9-10 513 H Minnetonka (11- 5, 93.3) 8-18 515 A Champlin Park (12- 3, 91.5) 3-12 516 H St Michael-Albertville ( 9- 6, 89.2) 11-12 521 A Andover ( 5- 8, 84.9) 14- 4 522 H Centennial ( 6- 8, 85.8) 15- 4 529 H Monticello ( 6- 8, 82.6) 22- 2 603 A Buffalo (11- 4, 91.7) 14-12 605 A Moorhead (12- 4, 87.1) 5- 2 610 N Park of Cottage Grove (18- 1, 94.3) 10-18 612 N Maple Grove (15- 4, 93.2) 3-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Rogers                 11- 4       7     3           1.71
   416 A Totino-Grace           18- 3      15     4           0.87
   421 H Monticello             23- 3      20     8           0.00
   423 A Osseo-Park Center      19- 2      17     8           0.00
   501 H Eden Prairie           15- 9       6     3    +      2.08
   505 A Robbinsdale Armstrong/ 19- 7      12     5           0.00
   507 A Blaine                 11- 8       3     3           0.07
   509 H Maple Grove             9-10      -1    -2           1.43
   513 H Minnetonka              8-18     -10    -3    -     -2.45
   515 A Champlin Park           3-12      -9    -2    -     -3.11
   516 H St Michael-Albertville 11-12      -1     2    -     -2.61
   521 A Andover                14- 4      10     5           0.27
   522 H Centennial             15- 4      11     5           0.03
   529 H Monticello             22- 2      20     8           0.00
   603 A Buffalo                14-12       2    -2    ++     4.10
   605 A Moorhead                5- 2       3     2           0.53
   610 N Park of Cottage Grove  10-18      -8    -4          -0.91
   612 N Maple Grove             3-15     -12    -3          -1.98

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Minnetonka              8-18     -10    -3    -     -2.45
   515 A Champlin Park           3-12      -9    -2    -     -3.11
   516 H St Michael-Albertville 11-12      -1     2    -     -2.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   603 A Buffalo                14-12       2    -2    ++     4.10
   501 H Eden Prairie           15- 9       6     3    +      2.08

Elk River/Zimmerman Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Anoka Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   7- 1 vs 1- 7
Apple Valley Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Becker Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Blaine Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Blake School Elk River/Zimmerman insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Elk River/Zimmerman
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson   Bloomington Jefferson
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn Elk River/Zimmerman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
Brainerd Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Breck School Elk River/Zimmerman insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
Buffalo Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Centennial Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Champlin Park Champlin Park Champlin Park  
Chanhassen Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Elk River/Zimmerman
Chaska Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Elk River/Zimmerman
Chisago Lakes Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
Columbia Heights Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Elk River/Zimmerman
Duluth Co-Op Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Duluth Marshall Elk River/Zimmerman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
East Ridge East Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Ridge
Eastview/Eagan Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Eden Prairie Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Edina Edina insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Edina
Farmington Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Forest Lake Elk River/Zimmerman insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Elk River/Zimmerman
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Elk River/Zimmerman
Grand Rapids-Greenway Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Hastings Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
Hermantown-Proctor Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Hill-Murray Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Holy Angels Academy Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Holy Family Catholic Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Hopkins Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   5- 3 vs 3- 5
Hutchinson Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Irondale Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
Lakeville North Elk River/Zimmerman insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Elk River/Zimmerman
Lakeville South Lakeville South tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Elk River/Zimmerman
Mankato Co-Op Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Maple Grove Maple Grove Maple Grove  
Minneapolis Co-Op Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Minnetonka Minnetonka Minnetonka  
Monticello Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Moorhead Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Mound Westonka Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
Mounds View Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   2- 1 vs 0- 3
New Prague Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Northfield Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Orono Orono Orono   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Osseo-Park Center Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Owatonna Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove  
Prior Lake Prior Lake Prior Lake   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Rochester Century Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Rochester JM/Lourdes Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Rochester Mayo Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Rocori Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rogers Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Rosemount Rosemount insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Rosemount
Roseville Roseville tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Roseville
Sartell-Sauk Rapids Elk River/Zimmerman insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Elk River/Zimmerman
Shakopee Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Simley Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Elk River/Zimmerman
Southwest Christian Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Elk River/Zimmerman
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   5- 1 vs 0- 6
St Cloud Area Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   3- 1 vs 0- 4
St Croix Prep Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
St Louis Park Elk River/Zimmerman insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville  
St Paul Academy Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
St Paul/Two Rivers Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
Stillwater Stillwater insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Stillwater
Tartan/North St Paul Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Totino-Grace Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Visitation Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Waconia Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Wayzata Wayzata Wayzata   6- 1 vs 4- 3
White Bear Lake Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
Woodbury Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman

PowerWise = 66


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Rogers          ( 7- 7, 87.5)    11- 4      -12.40      20.66      -0.59         0.82            16.37
   0 A Totino-Grace    ( 8- 7, 85.5)    18- 3      -14.42      18.63       0.59         0.82            15.68
   0 H Monticello      ( 6- 8, 82.6)    23- 3      -17.26      15.80      -0.59         0.82            12.41
   0 A Osseo-Park Cen  ( 5- 9, 81.7)    19- 2      -18.16      14.90       0.59         0.82            12.64
   0 H Eden Prairie    ( 3-12, 87.9)    15- 9      -12.03      21.03      -0.59         0.82            16.67
   0 A Robbinsdale Ar  ( 2-12, 84.2)    19- 7      -15.73      17.33       0.59         0.82            14.62
   0 A Blaine          ( 7- 5, 86.7)    11- 8      -13.22      19.84       0.59         0.82            16.66
   0 H Maple Grove     (15- 4, 93.2)     9-10       -6.68      26.38      -0.59         0.82            -5.93
   0 H Minnetonka      (11- 5, 93.3)     8-18       -6.56      26.50      -0.59         0.82            -5.84
   0 A Champlin Park   (12- 3, 91.5)     3-12       -8.41      24.65       0.59         0.82            -6.37
   0 H St Michael-Alb  ( 9- 6, 89.2)    11-12      -10.72      22.34      -0.59         0.82            -9.23
   0 A Andover         ( 5- 8, 84.9)    14- 4      -15.02      18.04       0.59         0.82            15.20
   0 H Centennial      ( 6- 8, 85.8)    15- 4      -14.08      18.98      -0.59         0.82            15.00
   0 H Monticello      ( 6- 8, 82.6)    22- 2      -17.26      15.80      -0.59         0.82            12.41
   0 A Buffalo         (11- 4, 91.7)    14-12       -8.20      24.86       0.59         0.82            20.76
   0 A Moorhead        (12- 4, 87.1)     5- 2      -12.76      20.30       0.59         0.82            17.04
   0 N Park of Cottag  (18- 1, 94.3)    10-18       -5.62      27.44      -0.00         0.82            -4.58
   0 N Maple Grove     (15- 4, 93.2)     3-15       -6.68      26.38      -0.00         0.82            -5.45
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       148.04

winning pts = 185.4440 losing points = -37.4077

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------