East Chapel Hill
W-L: (22- 4) PR = 94.1281Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H St Marys (10- 7, 82.6) 20- 5 227 H RJ Reynolds (13-10, 81.3) 18- 2 303 A Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 19- 6 311 H Pinecrest (17- 5, 90.0) 18- 9 312 H Riverside Durham ( 1-16, 74.7) 1- 0 313 H Broughton (14- 7, 86.8) 15- 4 317 A Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 17-11 319 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 22- 4 324 A Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 23-11 409 H Chapel Hill (21- 1, 97.3) 6-10 411 H Myers Park (14- 7, 90.0) 19-12 414 H Riverside Durham ( 1-16, 74.7) 18- 0 417 A Northwood ( 3-10, 76.1) 20- 2 421 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 19- 5 423 H Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 23-10 426 A Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 19- 4 428 H Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 22- 0 430 A Northwood ( 3-10, 76.1) 19- 0 502 A Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 12-14 505 A Chapel Hill (21- 1, 97.3) 11-17 507 A Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 17- 2 513 H Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 23-11 516 A New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 21- 4 520 A Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 16- 9 523 H Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 12-11 528 N Cardinal Gibbons (17- 0, 99.9) 10-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H St Marys 20- 5 15 12 0.00
227 H RJ Reynolds 18- 2 16 13 0.00
303 A Green Hope 19- 6 13 10 0.00
311 H Pinecrest 18- 9 9 4 0.58
313 H Broughton 15- 4 11 8 0.00
317 A Union Pines 17-11 6 4 1.41
319 A Carrboro 22- 4 18 14 0.00
324 A Seaforth 23-11 12 9 0.00
409 H Chapel Hill 6-10 -4 -3 -1.16
411 H Myers Park 19-12 7 4 0.56
414 H Riverside Durham 18- 0 18 20 0.00
417 A Northwood 20- 2 18 18 0.00
421 A Carrboro 19- 5 14 14 0.00
423 H Seaforth 23-10 13 10 0.00
426 A Ashley 19- 4 15 9 0.00
428 H Jordan 22- 0 22 17 0.00
430 A Northwood 19- 0 19 18 0.00
502 A Charlotte CDS 12-14 -2 0 -1.54
505 A Chapel Hill 11-17 -6 -3 -1.55
507 A Jordan 17- 2 15 17 0.00
513 H Green Hope 23-11 12 10 0.00
516 A New Bern 21- 4 17 8 0.00
520 A Topsail 16- 9 7 4 1.47
523 H Holly Springs 12-11 1 1 0.38
528 N Cardinal Gibbons 10-21 -11 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
East Chapel Hill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Apex Friendship | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Ardrey Kell | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Arendell Parrott Academy | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Asheville HS | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Asheville School | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Ashley | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Athens Drive | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Atkins | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Bishop McGuinness | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Broughton | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Butler | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Cannon School | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Cape Fear Academy | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Cape Fear HS | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Cary Academy | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cary HS | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Latin School | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Christ the King | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Clayton | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Cleveland | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Community School Davidso | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Corinth Holders | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Croatan | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 4- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Cuthbertson | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Davidson Day School | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Davie | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| DH Conley | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Durham Academy | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Enloe | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fayetteville Academy | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Fike | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| First Flight | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Forsyth CDS | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Fuquay-Varina | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Garner | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Glenn | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Green Hope | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Green Level | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Greensboro Day School | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Grimsley | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Havelock | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Heritage | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Hickory | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| High Point Central | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Hoggard | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 4- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Holly Springs | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Hopewell | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Hough | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Hunt | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Independence | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Jack Britt | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Jacksonville | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| JH Rose | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Jordan | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Lake Norman HS | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Laney | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Leesville Road | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Lincoln Charter | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Marvin Ridge | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Middle Creek | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 3) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Millbrook | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 4- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mooresville | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Mount Tabor | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Myers Park | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| New Bern | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| New Hanover | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| North Brunswick | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| North Davidson | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| North Lincoln | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Northern Guilford | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Northside | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Northwest Guilford | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Northwood | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Page | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Panther Creek | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Parkwood | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Patton | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Pine Forest | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Pinecrest | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Porter Ridge | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Providence | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Providence Day | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Ragsdale | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Ravenscroft School | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Riverside Durham | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| RJ Reynolds | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Rolesville | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Ronald Reagan | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Sanderson | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Seaforth | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| South Brunswick | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| South Iredell | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| South Mecklenburg | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Southeast Guilford | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Southlake Christian | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Southwest Guilford | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| St Davids School | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| St Marys | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| St Stephens | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Sun Valley | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Swansboro | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| TC Roberson | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Terry Sanford | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Topsail | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Union Pines | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Wake Forest | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Wakefield | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Watauga | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 2) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| West Forsyth | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| West Stokes | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| White Oak | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Willow Spring | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
PowerWise = 121
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H St Marys (10- 7, 82.6) 20- 5 -17.31 22.49 -0.31 0.65 14.39
0 H RJ Reynolds (13-10, 81.3) 18- 2 -18.59 21.21 -0.31 0.65 13.56
0 A Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 19- 6 -15.63 24.18 0.31 0.65 15.88
0 H Pinecrest (17- 5, 90.0) 18- 9 -9.89 29.92 -0.31 0.65 19.21
0 H Riverside Durh ( 1-16, 74.7) 1- 0 -25.23 14.58 -0.31 0.65 9.26
0 H Broughton (14- 7, 86.8) 15- 4 -13.07 26.73 -0.31 0.65 17.14
0 A Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 17-11 -9.67 30.14 0.31 0.65 19.75
0 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 22- 4 -20.33 19.47 0.31 0.65 12.83
0 A Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 23-11 -15.13 24.67 0.31 0.65 16.20
0 H Chapel Hill (21- 1, 97.3) 6-10 -2.63 37.18 -0.31 0.65 -1.90
0 H Myers Park (14- 7, 90.0) 19-12 -9.91 29.90 -0.31 0.65 19.20
0 H Riverside Durh ( 1-16, 74.7) 18- 0 -25.23 14.58 -0.31 0.65 9.26
0 A Northwood ( 3-10, 76.1) 20- 2 -23.84 15.96 0.31 0.65 10.55
0 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 19- 5 -20.33 19.47 0.31 0.65 12.83
0 H Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 23-10 -15.13 24.67 -0.31 0.65 15.81
0 A Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 19- 4 -15.57 24.23 0.31 0.65 15.92
0 H Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 22- 0 -22.94 16.87 -0.31 0.65 10.74
0 A Northwood ( 3-10, 76.1) 19- 0 -23.84 15.96 0.31 0.65 10.55
0 A Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 12-14 -5.62 34.18 0.31 0.65 -3.45
0 A Chapel Hill (21- 1, 97.3) 11-17 -2.63 37.18 0.31 0.65 -1.51
0 A Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 17- 2 -22.94 16.87 0.31 0.65 11.14
0 H Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 23-11 -15.63 24.18 -0.31 0.65 15.48
0 A New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 21- 4 -13.60 26.20 0.31 0.65 17.20
0 A Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 16- 9 -9.61 30.19 0.31 0.65 19.78
0 H Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 12-11 -6.08 33.72 -0.31 0.65 21.68
0 N Cardinal Gibbo (17- 0, 99.9) 10-21 -0.00 39.80 -0.00 0.65 -0.00
------
321.51
|
winning pts = 328.3668 losing points = -6.8593
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------