East Catholic
W-L: (11- 8) PR = 78.9710Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Notre Dame Fairfield ( 2-14, 68.6) 16- 3 407 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 7-17 411 H Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 12- 7 422 A Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 14- 3 424 H St Paul Catholic ( 0-16, 65.1) 17- 1 428 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 10-15 429 A RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 15- 6 501 H Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 3-14 506 H Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 7-11 507 A Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 16- 9 509 A Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 19- 8 512 H Northwest Catholic ( 8-11, 78.4) 6- 8 515 A Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 22-10 517 H Rockville ( 3-13, 76.7) 11- 8 520 A Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 2-14 523 H South Windsor ( 3-12, 77.5) 11- 8 527 A Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 10-13 603 A Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 15-14 606 A Lauralton Hall (14- 7, 82.7) 9-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A Notre Dame Fairfield 16- 3 13 10 0.00
407 A Hall 7-17 -10 -5 -0.34
411 H Rocky Hill 12- 7 5 3 1.82
422 A Wolcott 14- 3 11 7 0.00
424 H St Paul Catholic 17- 1 16 15 0.00
428 H Brien McMahon 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.61
429 A RHAM 15- 6 9 1 + 3.76
501 H Hall 3-14 -11 -3 -1.79
506 H Tolland 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.50
507 A Berlin 16- 9 7 1 + 3.74
509 A Rocky Hill 19- 8 11 2 + 3.27
512 H Northwest Catholic 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.29
515 A Fitch 22-10 12 11 0.00
517 H Rockville 11- 8 3 3 -0.04
520 A Glastonbury 2-14 -12 -3 -1.82
523 H South Windsor 11- 8 3 2 0.83
527 A Tolland 10-13 -3 -3 -0.05
603 A Wheeler 15-14 1 0 0.58
606 A Lauralton Hall 9-18 -9 -4 -0.58
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 H Brien McMahon 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.61 506 H Tolland 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.50 512 H Northwest Catholic 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.29 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 A RHAM 15- 6 9 1 + 3.76 507 A Berlin 16- 9 7 1 + 3.74 509 A Rocky Hill 19- 8 11 2 + 3.27 |
East Catholic Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | East Catholic | East Catholic 3- 4 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | East Catholic | East Catholic 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Berlin | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bethel | |
| Branford | Branford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | East Catholic | East Catholic 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Bristol Eastern | East Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Catholic | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Brookfield | |
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Canton | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Cromwell | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Danbury | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | Ellington | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| EO Smith | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Catholic | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield Ludlowe | |
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington 6- 1 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Fitch | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Foran | Foran | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | East Catholic | East Catholic 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Catholic | |
| Housatonic Regional | East Catholic | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Immaculate Heart | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Jonathan Law | East Catholic | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Killingly | East Catholic | East Catholic 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Lakeview United | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | ||
| Ledyard | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Masuk | |
| Mercy | East Catholic | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | East Catholic | East Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Montville | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Morgan School | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | East Catholic | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New London/St Bernards | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| New Milford | East Catholic | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Newington | East Catholic | East Catholic 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| North Haven | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Norwalk | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Notre Dame Fairfield | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Old Lyme | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Old Saybrook | East Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Catholic | |
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Pomperaug | |
| RHAM | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ridgefield | |
| Rockville | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Rocky Hill | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Shelton | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Somers | Somers | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Southington | Southington | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Southington | |
| St Joseph | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | St Joseph | |
| St Paul Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Stamford | |
| Staples | Staples | Staples 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Stonington | |
| Stratford-Bunnell | East Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Catholic | |
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Tolland | Tolland | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Waterford | |
| Watertown | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | East Catholic | |
| West Haven | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Westhill | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | East Catholic | |
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | East Catholic | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Wheeler | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Catholic | |
| Wolcott | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Woodstock Academy | East Catholic | East Catholic 3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
PowerWise = 49
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Notre Dame Fai ( 2-14, 68.6) 16- 3 -31.25 3.55 0.73 0.92 3.94
0 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 7-17 -16.99 17.82 0.73 0.92 -14.99
0 H Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 12- 7 -23.38 11.43 -0.73 0.92 9.86
0 A Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 14- 3 -28.64 6.17 0.73 0.92 6.35
0 H St Paul Cathol ( 0-16, 65.1) 17- 1 -34.81 1.00 -0.73 0.92 0.25
0 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 10-15 -18.81 16.00 -0.73 0.92 -18.00
0 A RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 15- 6 -22.90 11.91 0.73 0.92 11.64
0 H Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 3-14 -16.99 17.82 -0.73 0.92 -16.32
0 H Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 7-11 -18.71 16.10 -0.73 0.92 -17.90
0 A Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 16- 9 -22.91 11.90 0.73 0.92 11.63
0 A Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 19- 8 -23.38 11.43 0.73 0.92 11.20
0 H Northwest Cath ( 8-11, 78.4) 6- 8 -21.50 13.31 -0.73 0.92 -20.47
0 A Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 22-10 -32.17 2.64 0.73 0.92 3.10
0 H Rockville ( 3-13, 76.7) 11- 8 -23.25 11.56 -0.73 0.92 9.99
0 A Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 2-14 -18.48 16.33 0.73 0.92 -16.36
0 H South Windsor ( 3-12, 77.5) 11- 8 -22.37 12.44 -0.73 0.92 10.79
0 A Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 10-13 -18.71 16.10 0.73 0.92 -16.56
0 A Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 15-14 -22.07 12.74 0.73 0.92 12.41
0 A Lauralton Hall (14- 7, 82.7) 9-18 -17.23 17.58 0.73 0.92 -15.21
------
-44.66
|
winning pts = 91.1549 losing points = -135.8157
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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