---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls East Lansing 1
  
East Lansing          
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 83.7840

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 403 H Saginaw Heritage (14- 2, 87.7) 6- 7 405 H Traverse City Central (13- 3, 89.6) 5-14 410 A Okemos ( 5- 9, 85.3) 15-11 412 A Detroit Country Day (17- 0, 99.9) 2-17 414 H Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 6-16 419 N Traverse City Central (13- 3, 89.6) 3-13 419 A Grand Haven ( 5-11, 83.4) 1- 7 419 A Waterford United ( 2- 8, 77.1) 14- 6 422 H Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 13-19 424 A DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 3-11 426 A Portage Northern (12-10, 87.9) 3-14 429 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 8-10, 80.6) 10- 7 501 A Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 4-17 510 H Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 17- 2 513 A Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 15-18 515 H Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 6- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Saginaw Heritage        6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.34
   405 H Traverse City Central   5-14      -9    -5           0.00
   410 A Okemos                 15-11       4    -2    +++    6.09
   412 A Detroit Country Day     2-17     -15   -17           0.00
   414 H Grand Ledge             6-16     -10    -5           0.00
   419 N Traverse City Central   3-13     -10    -6           0.00
   419 A Grand Haven             1- 7      -6     0    --    -4.76
   419 A Waterford United       14- 6       8     6           0.00
   422 H Lansing Catholic-Waver 13-19      -6    -1    -     -3.84
   424 A DeWitt                  3-11      -8    -2    -     -3.38
   426 A Portage Northern        3-14     -11    -5          -0.22
   429 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie    10- 7       3     3           0.47
   501 A Haslett                 4-17     -13    -7           0.00
   510 H Midland                17- 2      15     5           0.39
   513 A Holt                   15-18      -3    -6    +      2.00
   515 H Swartz Creek            6- 7      -1    -1          -0.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Grand Haven             1- 7      -6     0    --    -4.76
   422 H Lansing Catholic-Waver 13-19      -6    -1    -     -3.84
   424 A DeWitt                  3-11      -8    -2    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Okemos                 15-11       4    -2    +++    6.09
   403 H Saginaw Heritage        6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.34
   513 A Holt                   15-18      -3    -6    +      2.00

East Lansing Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel East Lansing tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) East Lansing
Ann Arbor Huron East Lansing tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Lansing
Ann Arbor Pioneer East Lansing tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Lansing
Ann Arbor Skyline East Lansing tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Lansing
Avondale East Lansing East Lansing   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford East Lansing   East Lansing
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Brighton
Brighton B East Lansing   East Lansing
Byron Center Byron Center insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Caledonia
Canton East Lansing   East Lansing
Cass Tech East Lansing   East Lansing
Catholic Central Catholic Central insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley East Lansing tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Lansing
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison East Lansing tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) East Lansing
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day  
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt  
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) East Grand Rapids
Farmington East Lansing insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Lansing
Fenton-Linden Co-Op East Lansing insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) East Lansing
Flint Powers Catholic East Lansing tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) East Lansing
Flushing East Lansing tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) East Lansing
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven Grand Haven  
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Grandville Grandville insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Grandville
Grosse Pointe North East Lansing   East Lansing
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Hartland
Haslett Haslett Haslett  
Henry Ford II East Lansing   East Lansing
Holland West Ottawa East Lansing tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Lansing
Holly-Brandon Co-Op East Lansing insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) East Lansing
Holt Holt Holt  
Howell Howell insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville Hudsonville   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Jenison East Lansing insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) East Lansing
Kalamazoo Central East Lansing insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) East Lansing
Lake Fenton East Lansing tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) East Lansing
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lakeview East Lansing   East Lansing
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly  
Lapeer East Lansing insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) East Lansing
Livonia United East Lansing   East Lansing
Lowell Lowell Lowell   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Marian Marian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marian
Mattawan Mattawan Mattawan   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Mercy
Midland East Lansing East Lansing  
Mona Shores Mona Shores Mona Shores   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Northview Northview Northview   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
Okemos East Lansing East Lansing  
Oxford Oxford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Oxford
Plymouth East Lansing   East Lansing
Portage Northern Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS East Lansing tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Lansing
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Rockford Rockford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockford
Royal Oak East Lansing   East Lansing
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Salem East Lansing tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Lansing
Saline Saline insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Lyon United
Spring Lake Spring Lake Spring Lake   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Catherine of Siena East Lansing insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Lansing
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie East Lansing East Lansing  
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek Swartz Creek  
Tecumseh East Lansing insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) East Lansing
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Traverse City Central  
Troy Troy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Troy Athens
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern East Lansing insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Lansing
Warren Regina East Lansing   East Lansing
Waterford United East Lansing East Lansing  
West Bloomfield East Lansing   East Lansing
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Zeeland East East Lansing insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) East Lansing

PowerWise = 39


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Saginaw Herita  (14- 2, 87.7)     6- 7      -12.16      17.03      -0.62         1.01           -12.84
   0 H Traverse City   (13- 3, 89.6)     5-14      -10.34      18.85      -0.62         1.01           -11.02
   0 A Okemos          ( 5- 9, 85.3)    15-11      -14.64      14.55       0.62         1.01            15.25
   0 A Detroit Countr  (17- 0, 99.9)     2-17       -0.00      29.19       0.62         1.01            -0.62
   0 H Grand Ledge     (14- 4, 89.8)     6-16      -10.13      19.06      -0.62         1.01           -10.81
   0 N Traverse City   (13- 3, 89.6)     3-13      -10.34      18.85      -0.00         1.01           -10.40
   0 A Grand Haven     ( 5-11, 83.4)     1- 7      -16.50      12.69       0.62         1.01           -15.96
   0 A Waterford Unit  ( 2- 8, 77.1)    14- 6      -22.80       6.39       0.62         1.01             7.05
   0 H Lansing Cathol  (10- 8, 85.6)    13-19      -14.33      14.86      -0.62         1.01           -15.03
   0 A DeWitt          ( 7-15, 84.8)     3-11      -15.12      14.07       0.62         1.01           -14.57
   0 A Portage Northe  (12-10, 87.9)     3-14      -11.96      17.23       0.62         1.01           -11.40
   0 A St Johns/Ovid-  ( 8-10, 80.6)    10- 7      -19.27       9.92       0.62         1.01            10.60
   0 A Haslett         (12- 7, 90.6)     4-17       -9.33      19.87       0.62         1.01            -8.75
   0 H Midland         ( 4-13, 79.8)    17- 2      -20.11       9.08      -0.62         1.01             8.51
   0 A Holt            (15- 6, 89.5)    15-18      -10.43      18.76       0.62         1.01            -9.86
   0 H Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     6- 7      -14.88      14.31      -0.62         1.01           -15.58
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -95.43

winning pts = 41.4022 losing points = -136.8359

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------