---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls East Forsyth 1
  
East Forsyth          
W-L: ( 4-14) PR = 74.8341

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Forsyth CDS (12- 6, 85.4) 2-18 228 H Southeast Guilford (15- 5, 80.8) 4- 8 318 A Ronald Reagan (17- 7, 81.5) 0-14 321 H Davie (10-10, 75.8) 9-10 325 A Mount Tabor ( 3-13, 70.5) 11- 6 327 H Bishop McGuinness (20- 4, 86.2) 2-15 401 A RJ Reynolds (13-10, 81.3) 2-17 404 A Glenn ( 0-19, 60.1) 13- 2 408 H West Forsyth (21- 6, 84.7) 2-17 415 A Davie (10-10, 75.8) 8- 9 417 H Mount Tabor ( 3-13, 70.5) 9- 5 423 H Ronald Reagan (17- 7, 81.5) 0-17 425 H RJ Reynolds (13-10, 81.3) 2-13 428 H Glenn ( 0-19, 60.1) 22- 2 429 A Atkins (12- 8, 78.2) 6-13 502 A West Forsyth (21- 6, 84.7) 3-16 505 A Davie (10-10, 75.8) 8-10 514 A Myers Park (14- 7, 90.0) 4-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Forsyth CDS             2-18     -16   -11           0.00
   228 H Southeast Guilford      4- 8      -4    -6           1.00
   318 A Ronald Reagan           0-14     -14    -7           0.00
   321 H Davie                   9-10      -1    -1          -0.38
   325 A Mount Tabor            11- 6       5     4           1.01
   327 H Bishop McGuinness       2-15     -13   -11           0.00
   401 A RJ Reynolds             2-17     -15    -7           0.00
   404 A Glenn                  13- 2      11    14           0.00
   408 H West Forsyth            2-17     -15   -10           0.00
   415 A Davie                   8- 9      -1    -1           0.23
   417 H Mount Tabor             9- 5       4     5          -0.60
   423 H Ronald Reagan           0-17     -17    -6           0.00
   425 H RJ Reynolds             2-13     -11    -6           0.00
   428 H Glenn                  22- 2      20    15           0.00
   429 A Atkins                  6-13      -7    -4          -1.28
   502 A West Forsyth            3-16     -13   -10           0.00
   505 A Davie                   8-10      -2    -1          -0.77
   514 A Myers Park              4-19     -15   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

East Forsyth Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS Asheville HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Asheville School Asheville School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins Atkins  
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness  
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler East Forsyth tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) East Forsyth
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cary Academy
Cary HS East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Cleveland East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Community School Davidso
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Davidson Day School
Davie Davie Davie  
DH Conley East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Durham Academy Durham Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Enloe East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS  
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Glenn East Forsyth East Forsyth  
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Greensboro Day School
Grimsley Grimsley Grimsley   2- 4 vs 0- 6
Havelock East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hickory
High Point Central East Forsyth tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) East Forsyth
Hoggard Hoggard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Independence East Forsyth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Forsyth
Jack Britt East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Jacksonville East Forsyth   East Forsyth
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter East Forsyth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Forsyth
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mooresville
Mount Tabor East Forsyth East Forsyth  
Myers Park Myers Park Myers Park  
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick North Brunswick   North Brunswick
North Davidson East Forsyth tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) East Forsyth
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Pine Forest East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Porter Ridge   Porter Ridge
Providence Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale East Forsyth tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) East Forsyth
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham East Forsyth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Forsyth
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds  
Rolesville East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan  
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell South Iredell tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) South Iredell
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford  
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Stephens St Stephens tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Stephens
Sun Valley East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford   Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wakefield
Watauga East Forsyth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Forsyth
Weddington Weddington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth  
West Stokes East Forsyth insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) East Forsyth
White Oak East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 27


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Forsyth CDS     (12- 6, 85.4)     2-18      -14.54      25.27       0.31         0.94           -13.34
   0 H Southeast Guil  (15- 5, 80.8)     4- 8      -19.08      20.72      -0.31         0.94           -18.16
   0 A Ronald Reagan   (17- 7, 81.5)     0-14      -18.40      21.41       0.31         0.94           -16.95
   0 H Davie           (10-10, 75.8)     9-10      -24.14      15.66      -0.31         0.94           -22.91
   0 A Mount Tabor     ( 3-13, 70.5)    11- 6      -29.36      10.45       0.31         0.94            10.07
   0 H Bishop McGuinn  (20- 4, 86.2)     2-15      -13.71      26.09      -0.31         0.94           -13.13
   0 A RJ Reynolds     (13-10, 81.3)     2-17      -18.59      21.21       0.31         0.94           -17.13
   0 A Glenn           ( 0-19, 60.1)    13- 2      -39.80       1.00       0.31         0.94             1.22
   0 H West Forsyth    (21- 6, 84.7)     2-17      -15.17      24.64      -0.31         0.94           -14.50
   0 A Davie           (10-10, 75.8)     8- 9      -24.14      15.66       0.31         0.94           -22.33
   0 H Mount Tabor     ( 3-13, 70.5)     9- 5      -29.36      10.45      -0.31         0.94             9.50
   0 H Ronald Reagan   (17- 7, 81.5)     0-17      -18.40      21.41      -0.31         0.94           -17.52
   0 H RJ Reynolds     (13-10, 81.3)     2-13      -18.59      21.21      -0.31         0.94           -17.70
   0 H Glenn           ( 0-19, 60.1)    22- 2      -39.80       1.00      -0.31         0.94             0.65
   0 A Atkins          (12- 8, 78.2)     6-13      -21.65      18.15       0.31         0.94           -20.00
   0 A West Forsyth    (21- 6, 84.7)     3-16      -15.17      24.64       0.31         0.94           -13.93
   0 A Davie           (10-10, 75.8)     8-10      -24.14      15.66       0.31         0.94           -22.33
   0 A Myers Park      (14- 7, 90.0)     4-19       -9.91      29.90       0.31         0.94            -9.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -217.49

winning pts = 21.4501 losing points = -238.9416

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------