---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Davie 1
  
Davie                 
W-L: (10-10) PR = 75.7600

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Southwest Guilford ( 8-13, 76.4) 12-11 310 H Grimsley (11- 7, 80.7) 4-16 318 H RJ Reynolds (13-10, 81.3) 1-13 321 A East Forsyth ( 4-14, 74.8) 10- 9 325 H Ronald Reagan (17- 7, 81.5) 7-22 327 H North Davidson ( 7- 9, 73.9) 9- 7 328 H Mount Tabor ( 3-13, 70.5) 12- 5 331 A Southwest Guilford ( 8-13, 76.4) 8-10 401 A West Forsyth (21- 6, 84.7) 8-19 404 A Mooresville ( 5-12, 75.0) 10- 8 408 H Glenn ( 0-19, 60.1) 18- 1 415 H East Forsyth ( 4-14, 74.8) 9- 8 417 A RJ Reynolds (13-10, 81.3) 4-18 418 A Ronald Reagan (17- 7, 81.5) 3-23 430 A Mount Tabor ( 3-13, 70.5) 9- 6 501 H West Forsyth (21- 6, 84.7) 6-22 502 A Glenn ( 0-19, 60.1) 20- 3 505 H East Forsyth ( 4-14, 74.8) 10- 8 506 H West Forsyth (21- 6, 84.7) 8-21 513 H Ballantyne Ridge (10- 6, 80.6) 7-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Southwest Guilford     12-11       1     0           1.38
   310 H Grimsley                4-16     -12    -5          -0.39
   318 H RJ Reynolds             1-13     -12    -5           0.00
   321 A East Forsyth           10- 9       1     1           0.38
   325 H Ronald Reagan           7-22     -15    -5           0.00
   327 H North Davidson          9- 7       2     2          -0.19
   328 H Mount Tabor            12- 5       7     6           0.00
   331 A Southwest Guilford      8-10      -2    -1          -1.01
   401 A West Forsyth            8-19     -11    -9           0.00
   404 A Mooresville            10- 8       2     0           1.54
   408 H Glenn                  18- 1      17    16           0.00
   415 H East Forsyth            9- 8       1     1          -0.23
   417 A RJ Reynolds             4-18     -14    -6           0.00
   418 A Ronald Reagan           3-23     -20    -6           0.00
   430 A Mount Tabor             9- 6       3     5          -1.91
   501 H West Forsyth            6-22     -16    -9           0.00
   502 A Glenn                  20- 3      17    15           0.00
   505 H East Forsyth           10- 8       2     1           0.77
   506 H West Forsyth            8-21     -13    -9           0.00
   513 H Ballantyne Ridge        7-19     -12    -5          -0.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Davie Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy   Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 5- 2) Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge  
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Davie insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Davie
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Davie   Davie
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary HS Davie   Davie
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton Davie   Davie
Cleveland Davie   Davie
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Community School Davidso
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School   Davidson Day School
DH Conley Davie   Davie
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth Davie Davie  
Enloe Davie   Davie
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Davie   Davie
Glenn Davie Davie  
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School   Greensboro Day School
Grimsley Grimsley Grimsley  
Havelock Davie   Davie
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hickory
High Point Central Davie Davie   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hough
Hunt Davie   Davie
Independence Davie insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Davie
Jack Britt Davie   Davie
Jacksonville Davie   Davie
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Davie insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Davie
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Davie Davie  
Mount Tabor Davie Davie  
Myers Park Myers Park Myers Park   3- 0 vs 1- 2
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick Davie   Davie
North Davidson Davie Davie  
North Lincoln Davie   Davie
Northern Guilford Davie insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 5) Davie
Northside Davie   Davie
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   7- 0 vs 2- 6
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 3) Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Parkwood
Patton Davie   Davie
Pine Forest Davie   Davie
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Porter Ridge tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Porter Ridge
Providence Providence tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Davie Davie   3- 2 vs 1- 3
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Davie   Davie
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds  
Rolesville Davie   Davie
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan  
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell South Iredell insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) South Iredell
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 1) Southeast Guilford
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Stephens Davie tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Davie
Sun Valley Davie   Davie
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Davie   Davie
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Watauga Davie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Davie
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth  
West Stokes Davie Davie   2- 0 vs 0- 2
White Oak Davie   Davie
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 35


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Southwest Guil  ( 8-13, 76.4)    12-11      -23.45      16.35      -0.31         0.84            13.53
   0 H Grimsley        (11- 7, 80.7)     4-16      -19.22      20.58      -0.31         0.84           -16.47
   0 H RJ Reynolds     (13-10, 81.3)     1-13      -18.59      21.21      -0.31         0.84           -15.93
   0 A East Forsyth    ( 4-14, 74.8)    10- 9      -25.07      14.74       0.31         0.84            12.69
   0 H Ronald Reagan   (17- 7, 81.5)     7-22      -18.40      21.41      -0.31         0.84           -15.77
   0 H North Davidson  ( 7- 9, 73.9)     9- 7      -26.03      13.78      -0.31         0.84            11.36
   0 H Mount Tabor     ( 3-13, 70.5)    12- 5      -29.36      10.45      -0.31         0.84             8.55
   0 A Southwest Guil  ( 8-13, 76.4)     8-10      -23.45      16.35       0.31         0.84           -19.52
   0 A West Forsyth    (21- 6, 84.7)     8-19      -15.17      24.64       0.31         0.84           -12.53
   0 A Mooresville     ( 5-12, 75.0)    10- 8      -24.90      14.90       0.31         0.84            12.82
   0 H Glenn           ( 0-19, 60.1)    18- 1      -39.80       1.00      -0.31         0.84             0.59
   0 H East Forsyth    ( 4-14, 74.8)     9- 8      -25.07      14.74      -0.31         0.84            12.17
   0 A RJ Reynolds     (13-10, 81.3)     4-18      -18.59      21.21       0.31         0.84           -15.42
   0 A Ronald Reagan   (17- 7, 81.5)     3-23      -18.40      21.41       0.31         0.84           -15.26
   0 A Mount Tabor     ( 3-13, 70.5)     9- 6      -29.36      10.45       0.31         0.84             9.07
   0 H West Forsyth    (21- 6, 84.7)     6-22      -15.17      24.64      -0.31         0.84           -13.05
   0 A Glenn           ( 0-19, 60.1)    20- 3      -39.80       1.00       0.31         0.84             1.10
   0 H East Forsyth    ( 4-14, 74.8)    10- 8      -25.07      14.74      -0.31         0.84            12.17
   0 H West Forsyth    (21- 6, 84.7)     8-21      -15.17      24.64      -0.31         0.84           -13.05
   0 H Ballantyne Rid  (10- 6, 80.6)     7-19      -19.27      20.53      -0.31         0.84           -16.51
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -59.46

winning pts = 94.0512 losing points = -153.5094

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------