---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:41 PDT

safe3step girls Durango 1
  
Durango               
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 82.9164

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 313 A Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 12- 1 325 H Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 15- 2 328 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 10- 9 329 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 8- 9 331 H Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 14-13 405 A Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 5- 8 411 H Fruita Monument ( 9- 8, 82.7) 10- 9 412 H Fruita Monument ( 9- 8, 82.7) 8- 6 423 A Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 8- 6 425 A Rampart ( 7- 9, 78.6) 13- 1 426 A Liberty ( 2-14, 73.6) 12- 3 503 A Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 7- 9 506 H St Marys Academy ( 5-10, 76.8) 20- 4 508 A Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 4-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Montrose               12- 1      11    11           0.00
   325 H Montrose               15- 2      13    12           0.00
   328 A Grand Junction         10- 9       1     1           0.29
   329 A Grand Junction          8- 9      -1     1          -1.71
   331 H Telluride              14-13       1     1          -0.14
   405 A Denver South            5- 8      -3    -3           0.46
   411 H Fruita Monument        10- 9       1     1           0.30
   412 H Fruita Monument         8- 6       2     1           1.30
   423 A Telluride               8- 6       2     0           1.75
   425 A Rampart                13- 1      12     4           1.12
   426 A Liberty                12- 3       9     9           0.00
   503 A Telluride               7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.25
   506 H St Marys Academy       20- 4      16     7           0.00
   508 A Aspen                   4-17     -13    -4          -1.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Telluride               7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Durango Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Air Academy
Arapahoe Arapahoe insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Arapahoe
Aspen Aspen Aspen  
Battle Mountain Battle Mountain insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Battle Mountain
Castle View Castle View tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Castle View
Chatfield Chatfield   Chatfield
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cherokee Trail
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cherry Creek
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) Cheyenne Mountain
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   Colorado Academy
Columbine Columbine   Columbine
Conifer Durango insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Durango
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge   Dakota Ridge
Denver East Denver East insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Denver East
Denver North Durango Durango   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Denver South Denver South Denver South  
Eagle Valley Durango Durango   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Eaglecrest Durango Durango   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Evergreen Evergreen Evergreen   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fairview Fairview   Fairview
Fruita Monument Durango Durango  
Golden Golden tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Golden
Grand Junction Durango insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) Durango
Grandview Durango tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Durango
Green Mountain Green Mountain insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Green Mountain
Heritage Heritage insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Heritage
Holy Family Durango tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Durango
Horizon Durango tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Durango
Kent Denver Kent Denver insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kent Denver
Legend Legend   Legend
Liberty Durango Durango  
Mead Mead insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Mead
Montrose Durango Durango  
Mullen Durango tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) Durango
Northfield Northfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northfield
Palmer Durango Durango   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Palmer Ridge Palmer Ridge tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Palmer Ridge
Pine Creek Pine Creek insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) Pine Creek
Poudre District Poudre District insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Poudre District
Pueblo West Durango Durango   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley   Ralston Valley
Rampart Durango Durango  
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit   Regis Jesuit
Roaring Fork Roaring Fork insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) Roaring Fork
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rock Canyon
St Marys Academy Durango Durango  
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Steamboat Springs
Summit Durango tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Durango
Telluride Durango Durango  
ThunderRidge ThunderRidge   ThunderRidge
Valor Christian Valor Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Valor Christian

PowerWise = 18


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Montrose        ( 2-12, 71.6)    12- 1      -28.32       2.40       0.45         1.10             3.13
   0 H Montrose        ( 2-12, 71.6)    15- 2      -28.32       2.40      -0.45         1.10             2.15
   0 A Grand Junction  ( 5-10, 81.8)    10- 9      -18.14      12.58       0.45         1.10            14.32
   0 A Grand Junction  ( 5-10, 81.8)     8- 9      -18.14      12.58       0.45         1.10           -19.44
   0 H Telluride       ( 8- 9, 82.2)    14-13      -17.68      13.05      -0.45         1.10            13.84
   0 A Denver South    ( 4-11, 85.9)     5- 8      -13.97      16.76       0.45         1.10           -14.86
   0 H Fruita Monumen  ( 9- 8, 82.7)    10- 9      -17.23      13.49      -0.45         1.10            14.33
   0 H Fruita Monumen  ( 9- 8, 82.7)     8- 6      -17.23      13.49      -0.45         1.10            14.33
   0 A Telluride       ( 8- 9, 82.2)     8- 6      -17.68      13.05       0.45         1.10            14.83
   0 A Rampart         ( 7- 9, 78.6)    13- 1      -21.32       9.41       0.45         1.10            10.83
   0 A Liberty         ( 2-14, 73.6)    12- 3      -26.30       4.42       0.45         1.10             5.35
   0 A Telluride       ( 8- 9, 82.2)     7- 9      -17.68      13.05       0.45         1.10           -18.94
   0 H St Marys Acade  ( 5-10, 76.8)    20- 4      -23.07       7.65      -0.45         1.10             7.91
   0 A Aspen           (11- 6, 86.3)     4-17      -13.56      17.16       0.45         1.10           -14.41
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        33.39

winning pts = 101.0289 losing points = -67.6434

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------