---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:45 PDT

safe3step girls Duluth 1
  
Duluth                
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 71.0702

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 A Dunwoody ( 6- 8, 75.0) 5-14 219 H Parkview ( 8- 8, 79.1) 2-15 225 A Gainesville ( 5-11, 72.2) 6-15 228 A Centennial (10- 9, 81.1) 1-17 305 H Archer ( 1-11, 60.6) 21- 5 307 H Grayson ( 4-15, 71.2) 10- 9 312 A Collins Hill ( 0-17, 62.5) 16- 2 314 A Northview (11- 5, 82.1) 2-19 320 A Lanier ( 8- 9, 71.7) 6- 8 321 H Peachtree Ridge ( 8-10, 77.4) 5-15 326 A Mount Pisgah Christian ( 7-10, 72.8) 7-16 328 H Norcross ( 1-11, 65.1) 20- 2 402 H Brookwood (12- 7, 79.8) 1-16 403 A Jackson County ( 8- 7, 74.0) 6-10 425 A Dacula ( 9- 8, 76.0) 8- 7 428 A Mill Creek ( 8- 8, 89.0) 0-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Dunwoody                5-14      -9    -5          -0.37
   219 H Parkview                2-15     -13    -7           0.00
   225 A Gainesville             6-15      -9    -2    -     -3.19
   228 A Centennial              1-17     -16   -11           0.00
   305 H Archer                 21- 5      16    11           0.00
   307 H Grayson                10- 9       1     1           0.44
   312 A Collins Hill           16- 2      14     8           0.00
   314 A Northview               2-19     -17   -12           0.00
   320 A Lanier                  6- 8      -2    -1          -0.63
   321 H Peachtree Ridge         5-15     -10    -6           0.00
   326 A Mount Pisgah Christian  7-16      -9    -2    -     -2.57
   328 H Norcross               20- 2      18     7           0.00
   402 H Brookwood               1-16     -15    -8           0.00
   403 A Jackson County          6-10      -4    -4          -0.37
   425 A Dacula                  8- 7       1    -6    +++    6.00
   428 A Mill Creek              0-21     -21   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Gainesville             6-15      -9    -2    -     -3.19
   326 A Mount Pisgah Christian  7-16      -9    -2    -     -2.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Dacula                  8- 7       1    -6    +++    6.00

Duluth Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allatoona Allatoona   Allatoona
Alpharetta Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Archer Duluth Duluth  
Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bremen Bremen   Bremen
Brookwood Brookwood Brookwood  
Buford Buford Buford   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Calvary Day Duluth   Duluth
Cambridge Cambridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cambridge
Campbell Campbell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Campbell
Carrollton Carrollton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Carrollton
Centennial Centennial Centennial  
Chamblee Chamblee Chamblee   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Chattahoochee Chattahoochee Chattahoochee   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cherokee Cherokee   Cherokee
Collins Hill Duluth Duluth  
Columbus Columbus tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Columbus
Creekview Creekview   Creekview
Dacula Duluth Duluth  
Dalton Dalton   Dalton
Darlington Duluth tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Duluth
Decatur Decatur Decatur   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Denmark Denmark Denmark   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Druid Hills Duluth   Duluth
Dunwoody Dunwoody Dunwoody  
Dutchtown Duluth   Duluth
Eagles Landing Eagles Landing   Eagles Landing
Eagles Landing Christian Eagles Landing Christian   Eagles Landing Christian
East Coweta East Coweta East Coweta   3- 0 vs 0- 3
East Forsyth East Forsyth insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) East Forsyth
East Paulding East Paulding tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Paulding
Effingham County Effingham County   Effingham County
Etowah Etowah   Etowah
Evans Evans   Evans
Fayette County Duluth   Duluth
Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Forsyth Central Forsyth Central tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forsyth Central
Gainesville Gainesville Gainesville  
George Walton Academy George Walton Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) George Walton Academy
Grayson Duluth Duluth  
Greater Atlanta Christia Greater Atlanta Christia Greater Atlanta Christia   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Greenbrier Greenbrier   Greenbrier
Grovetown Duluth insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Duluth
Hampton Hampton   Hampton
Harrison Harrison   Harrison
Hebron Christian Duluth tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) Duluth
Hillgrove Hillgrove   Hillgrove
Holy Innocents Holy Innocents Holy Innocents   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Jackson County Jackson County Jackson County  
Johns Creek Johns Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Johns Creek
Kell Kell   Kell
Kennesaw Mountain Kennesaw Mountain   Kennesaw Mountain
Kings Ridge Christian Kings Ridge Christian Kings Ridge Christian   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Lakeside DeKalb Lakeside DeKalb tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Lakeside DeKalb
Lakeside Evans Lakeside Evans   Lakeside Evans
Lambert Lambert insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lambert
Lanier Lanier Lanier  
Lassiter Lassiter insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lassiter
Lovett Lovett   Lovett
Marietta Marietta insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marietta
Marist Marist insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Marist
Maynard Jackson Duluth   Duluth
McDonough Duluth   Duluth
McEachern McEachern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) McEachern
McIntosh McIntosh   McIntosh
Midtown Midtown Midtown   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mill Creek Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Milton Milton   Milton
Mount Bethel Christian Mount Bethel Christian   Mount Bethel Christian
Mount Paran Christian Mount Paran Christian   Mount Paran Christian
Mount Pisgah Christian Mount Pisgah Christian Mount Pisgah Christian  
Mountain View Mountain View Mountain View   6- 1 vs 2- 5
Newnan Newnan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Newnan
Norcross Duluth Duluth  
North Atlanta North Atlanta insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) North Atlanta
North Cobb North Cobb   North Cobb
North Cobb Christian North Cobb Christian tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) North Cobb Christian
North Forsyth North Forsyth   North Forsyth
North Gwinnett North Gwinnett North Gwinnett   4- 0 vs 2- 2
North Oconee North Oconee North Oconee   6- 0 vs 1- 5
North Paulding North Paulding tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Paulding
North Springs Duluth tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Duluth
Northgate Northgate   Northgate
Northview Northview Northview  
Oconee County Oconee County Oconee County   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Ola Ola   Ola
Pace Academy Pace Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace Academy
Parkview Parkview Parkview  
Peachtree Ridge Peachtree Ridge Peachtree Ridge  
Pinecrest Academy Pinecrest Academy Pinecrest Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Pope Pope   Pope
Richmond Hill Richmond Hill   Richmond Hill
River Ridge River Ridge   River Ridge
Riverwood Riverwood Riverwood   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Roswell Roswell   Roswell
Savannah Christian Duluth   Duluth
Seckinger Seckinger Seckinger   5- 4 vs 3- 6
Sequoyah Sequoyah   Sequoyah
South Effingham South Effingham   South Effingham
South Forsyth South Forsyth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Forsyth
Southwest DeKalb Duluth   Duluth
Sprayberry Duluth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duluth
St Pius X St Pius X St Pius X   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Vincents Duluth   Duluth
Starrs Mill Starrs Mill   Starrs Mill
Stratford Academy Duluth insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duluth
Strong Rock Christian Duluth   Duluth
Trinity Christian Duluth   Duluth
Union Grove Duluth insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Duluth
Walker School Duluth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duluth
Walton Walton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Walton
Wesleyan School Wesleyan School Wesleyan School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Forsyth West Forsyth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Forsyth
Westminster School Westminster School   Westminster School
Wheeler Wheeler   Wheeler
Whitewater Whitewater   Whitewater
Woodland Woodland   Woodland
Woodstock Woodstock   Woodstock
Woodward Academy Duluth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duluth

PowerWise = 25


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Dunwoody        ( 6- 8, 75.0)     5-14      -24.92      19.49       0.72         0.92           -22.31
   0 H Parkview        ( 8- 8, 79.1)     2-15      -20.84      23.57      -0.72         0.92           -19.88
   0 A Gainesville     ( 5-11, 72.2)     6-15      -27.75      16.66       0.72         0.92           -24.91
   0 A Centennial      (10- 9, 81.1)     1-17      -18.80      25.61       0.72         0.92           -16.66
   0 H Archer          ( 1-11, 60.6)    21- 5      -39.33       5.08      -0.72         0.92             4.02
   0 H Grayson         ( 4-15, 71.2)    10- 9      -28.67      15.74      -0.72         0.92            13.84
   0 A Collins Hill    ( 0-17, 62.5)    16- 2      -37.40       7.01       0.72         0.92             7.13
   0 A Northview       (11- 5, 82.1)     2-19      -17.77      26.65       0.72         0.92           -15.71
   0 A Lanier          ( 8- 9, 71.7)     6- 8      -28.18      16.23       0.72         0.92           -25.31
   0 H Peachtree Ridg  ( 8-10, 77.4)     5-15      -22.47      21.94      -0.72         0.92           -21.38
   0 A Mount Pisgah C  ( 7-10, 72.8)     7-16      -27.12      17.29       0.72         0.92           -24.34
   0 H Norcross        ( 1-11, 65.1)    20- 2      -34.76       9.65      -0.72         0.92             8.23
   0 H Brookwood       (12- 7, 79.8)     1-16      -20.07      24.34      -0.72         0.92           -19.17
   0 A Jackson County  ( 8- 7, 74.0)     6-10      -25.92      18.49       0.72         0.92           -23.23
   0 A Dacula          ( 9- 8, 76.0)     8- 7      -23.89      20.52       0.72         0.92            19.58
   0 A Mill Creek      ( 8- 8, 89.0)     0-21      -10.90      33.51       0.72         0.92            -9.38
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -169.49

winning pts = 52.8003 losing points = -222.2859

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------