Durham Academy
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 81.5587
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
304 H Forsyth CDS (12- 6, 85.4) 6-11
306 A Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 18- 3
325 A Greensboro Day School ( 3-11, 80.0) 8-12
328 A Charlotte Christian ( 4-11, 84.0) 7-18
329 A Providence Day (18- 1, 97.1) 3-19
401 H St Marys (10- 7, 82.6) 9-13
403 H Ravenscroft School ( 8- 8, 83.3) 12-14
408 H Cary Academy ( 3-12, 77.6) 17- 3
414 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 17- 6
416 H Fayetteville Academy (16- 0, 87.6) 8-17
422 A Ravenscroft School ( 8- 8, 83.3) 12-11
425 H Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 11-23
429 H Cary Academy ( 3-12, 77.6) 17- 7
502 A St Marys (10- 7, 82.6) 12- 9
507 A Providence Day (18- 1, 97.1) 2-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Forsyth CDS 6-11 -5 -3 -1.50
306 A Jordan 18- 3 15 4 0.71
325 A Greensboro Day School 8-12 -4 1 -- -5.24
328 A Charlotte Christian 7-18 -11 -3 - -2.25
329 A Providence Day 3-19 -16 -16 0.00
401 H St Marys 9-13 -4 -1 - -3.28
403 H Ravenscroft School 12-14 -2 -1 -0.56
408 H Cary Academy 17- 3 14 4 0.72
414 A Carrboro 17- 6 11 2 + 3.31
416 H Fayetteville Academy 8-17 -9 -6 0.00
422 A Ravenscroft School 12-11 1 -2 + 3.05
425 H Charlotte CDS 11-23 -12 -12 0.00
429 H Cary Academy 17- 7 10 4 0.72
502 A St Marys 12- 9 3 -1 ++ 4.33
507 A Providence Day 2-17 -15 -16 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
325 A Greensboro Day School 8-12 -4 1 -- -5.24
328 A Charlotte Christian 7-18 -11 -3 - -2.25
401 H St Marys 9-13 -4 -1 - -3.28
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
502 A St Marys 12- 9 3 -1 ++ 4.33
414 A Carrboro 17- 6 11 2 + 3.31
422 A Ravenscroft School 12-11 1 -2 + 3.05
|
Durham Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Apex |
Apex |
|
 
| Apex |
Apex Friendship |
Apex Friendship |
|
 
| Apex Friendship |
Ardrey Kell |
Ardrey Kell |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Ardrey Kell |
Arendell Parrott Academy |
Arendell Parrott Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) |
Arendell Parrott Academy |
Asheville HS |
Durham Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Durham Academy |
Asheville School |
Asheville School |
|
Asheville School   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Ashley |
Ashley |
|
 
| Ashley |
Athens Drive |
Athens Drive |
|
 
| Athens Drive |
Atkins |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Ballantyne Ridge |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Bishop McGuinness |
Bishop McGuinness |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Bishop McGuinness |
Broughton |
Broughton |
|
 
| Broughton |
Butler |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Cannon School |
Cannon School |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 2) |
Cannon School |
Cape Fear Academy |
Durham Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 3) |
Durham Academy |
Cape Fear HS |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Cardinal Gibbons |
Cardinal Gibbons |
|
 
| Cardinal Gibbons |
Carrboro |
Durham Academy |
Durham Academy |
 
| |
Cary Academy |
Durham Academy |
Durham Academy |
 
| |
Cary HS |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Chapel Hill |
Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Chapel Hill |
Charlotte Catholic |
Charlotte Catholic |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Charlotte Catholic |
Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte CDS |
 
| |
Charlotte Christian |
Charlotte Christian |
Charlotte Christian |
 
| |
Charlotte Latin School |
Charlotte Latin School |
|
Charlotte Latin School   4- 2 vs 2- 6 |
|
Christ the King |
Christ the King |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Christ the King |
Clayton |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Cleveland |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Community School Davidso |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Corinth Holders |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Croatan |
Croatan |
|
 
| Croatan |
Cuthbertson |
Cuthbertson |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Cuthbertson |
Davidson Day School |
Davidson Day School |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) |
Davidson Day School |
Davie |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
DH Conley |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
East Chapel Hill |
East Chapel Hill |
|
tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) |
East Chapel Hill |
East Forsyth |
Durham Academy |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Durham Academy |
Enloe |
Durham Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Durham Academy |
Fayetteville Academy |
Fayetteville Academy |
Fayetteville Academy |
 
| |
Fike |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
First Flight |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Forsyth CDS |
Forsyth CDS |
Forsyth CDS |
 
| |
Fuquay-Varina |
Fuquay-Varina |
|
 
| Fuquay-Varina |
Garner |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Glenn |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Green Hope |
Green Hope |
|
 
| Green Hope |
Green Level |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Greensboro Day School |
Greensboro Day School |
Greensboro Day School |
 
| |
Grimsley |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Havelock |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Heritage |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Hickory |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
High Point Central |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Hoggard |
Hoggard |
|
 
| Hoggard |
Holly Springs |
Holly Springs |
|
 
| Holly Springs |
Hopewell |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Hough |
Hough |
|
 
| Hough |
Hunt |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Independence |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Jack Britt |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Jacksonville |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
JH Rose |
JH Rose |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
JH Rose |
Jordan |
Durham Academy |
Durham Academy |
 
| |
Lake Norman Charter |
Lake Norman Charter |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Lake Norman Charter |
Lake Norman HS |
Lake Norman HS |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Lake Norman HS |
Laney |
Laney |
|
 
| Laney |
Leesville Road |
Leesville Road |
|
 
| Leesville Road |
Lincoln Charter |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Marvin Ridge |
Marvin Ridge |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Marvin Ridge |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
Millbrook |
Millbrook |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) |
Millbrook |
Mooresville |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Mount Tabor |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Myers Park |
Myers Park |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Myers Park |
New Bern |
New Bern |
|
 
| New Bern |
New Hanover |
New Hanover |
|
 
| New Hanover |
North Brunswick |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
North Davidson |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
North Lincoln |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Northern Guilford |
Durham Academy |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Durham Academy |
Northside |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Northwest Guilford |
Northwest Guilford |
|
 
| Northwest Guilford |
Northwood |
Durham Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Durham Academy |
Page |
Durham Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Durham Academy |
Panther Creek |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Parkwood |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Patton |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Pine Forest |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Pine Lake Prep |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Pinecrest |
Pinecrest |
|
 
| Pinecrest |
Porter Ridge |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Providence |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Providence Day |
Providence Day |
Providence Day |
 
| |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Ragsdale |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Ravenscroft School |
Ravenscroft School |
|
tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 3) |
Ravenscroft School |
Riverside Durham |
Durham Academy |
|
Durham Academy   3- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
RJ Reynolds |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Rolesville |
Durham Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Durham Academy |
Ronald Reagan |
Durham Academy |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Durham Academy |
Sanderson |
Durham Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Durham Academy |
Seaforth |
Seaforth |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Seaforth |
South Brunswick |
South Brunswick |
|
 
| South Brunswick |
South Iredell |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
South Mecklenburg |
South Mecklenburg |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
South Mecklenburg |
Southeast Guilford |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Southlake Christian |
Durham Academy |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Durham Academy |
Southwest Guilford |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
St Davids School |
Durham Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 3) |
Durham Academy |
St Marys |
St Marys |
|
tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) |
St Marys |
St Stephens |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Sun Valley |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Swansboro |
Swansboro |
|
 
| Swansboro |
TC Roberson |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Terry Sanford |
Durham Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Durham Academy |
Topsail |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
Union Pines |
Union Pines |
|
 
| Union Pines |
Wake Forest |
Wake Forest |
|
 
| Wake Forest |
Wakefield |
Wakefield |
|
 
| Wakefield |
Watauga |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Weddington |
Weddington |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Weddington |
West Brunswick |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
West Forsyth |
West Forsyth |
|
 
| West Forsyth |
West Stokes |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
White Oak |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
Willow Spring |
Willow Spring |
|
 
| Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 70

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Forsyth CDS (12- 6, 85.4) 6-11 -14.54 25.27 -0.31 1.12 -16.69
0 A Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 18- 3 -22.94 16.87 0.31 1.12 19.31
0 A Greensboro Day ( 3-11, 80.0) 8-12 -19.89 19.92 0.31 1.12 -22.02
0 A Charlotte Chri ( 4-11, 84.0) 7-18 -15.90 23.91 0.31 1.12 -17.53
0 A Providence Day (18- 1, 97.1) 3-19 -2.80 37.01 0.31 1.12 -2.80
0 H St Marys (10- 7, 82.6) 9-13 -17.31 22.49 -0.31 1.12 -19.81
0 H Ravenscroft Sc ( 8- 8, 83.3) 12-14 -16.60 23.21 -0.31 1.12 -19.01
0 H Cary Academy ( 3-12, 77.6) 17- 3 -22.32 17.49 -0.31 1.12 19.32
0 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 17- 6 -20.33 19.47 0.31 1.12 22.24
0 H Fayetteville A (16- 0, 87.6) 8-17 -12.33 27.47 -0.31 1.12 -14.21
0 A Ravenscroft Sc ( 8- 8, 83.3) 12-11 -16.60 23.21 0.31 1.12 26.44
0 H Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 11-23 -5.62 34.18 -0.31 1.12 -6.66
0 H Cary Academy ( 3-12, 77.6) 17- 7 -22.32 17.49 -0.31 1.12 19.32
0 A St Marys (10- 7, 82.6) 12- 9 -17.31 22.49 0.31 1.12 25.63
0 A Providence Day (18- 1, 97.1) 2-17 -2.80 37.01 0.31 1.12 -2.80
------
10.73
|
winning pts = 132.2560 losing points = -121.5292
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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