---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Durham Academy 1
  
Durham Academy        
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 81.5587

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Forsyth CDS (12- 6, 85.4) 6-11 306 A Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 18- 3 325 A Greensboro Day School ( 3-11, 80.0) 8-12 328 A Charlotte Christian ( 4-11, 84.0) 7-18 329 A Providence Day (18- 1, 97.1) 3-19 401 H St Marys (10- 7, 82.6) 9-13 403 H Ravenscroft School ( 8- 8, 83.3) 12-14 408 H Cary Academy ( 3-12, 77.6) 17- 3 414 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 17- 6 416 H Fayetteville Academy (16- 0, 87.6) 8-17 422 A Ravenscroft School ( 8- 8, 83.3) 12-11 425 H Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 11-23 429 H Cary Academy ( 3-12, 77.6) 17- 7 502 A St Marys (10- 7, 82.6) 12- 9 507 A Providence Day (18- 1, 97.1) 2-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Forsyth CDS             6-11      -5    -3          -1.50
   306 A Jordan                 18- 3      15     4           0.71
   325 A Greensboro Day School   8-12      -4     1    --    -5.24
   328 A Charlotte Christian     7-18     -11    -3    -     -2.25
   329 A Providence Day          3-19     -16   -16           0.00
   401 H St Marys                9-13      -4    -1    -     -3.28
   403 H Ravenscroft School     12-14      -2    -1          -0.56
   408 H Cary Academy           17- 3      14     4           0.72
   414 A Carrboro               17- 6      11     2    +      3.31
   416 H Fayetteville Academy    8-17      -9    -6           0.00
   422 A Ravenscroft School     12-11       1    -2    +      3.05
   425 H Charlotte CDS          11-23     -12   -12           0.00
   429 H Cary Academy           17- 7      10     4           0.72
   502 A St Marys               12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.33
   507 A Providence Day          2-17     -15   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Greensboro Day School   8-12      -4     1    --    -5.24
   328 A Charlotte Christian     7-18     -11    -3    -     -2.25
   401 H St Marys                9-13      -4    -1    -     -3.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A St Marys               12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.33
   414 A Carrboro               17- 6      11     2    +      3.31
   422 A Ravenscroft School     12-11       1    -2    +      3.05

Durham Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Durham Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Durham Academy
Asheville School Asheville School Asheville School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Ballantyne Ridge Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Cannon School Cannon School insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 2) Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 3) Durham Academy
Cape Fear HS Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Cary Academy Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Cary HS Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS  
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian  
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   4- 2 vs 2- 6
Christ the King Christ the King tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Christ the King
Clayton Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Cleveland Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Community School Davidso Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Corinth Holders Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Davidson Day School
Davie Durham Academy   Durham Academy
DH Conley Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth Durham Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Enloe Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy  
Fike Durham Academy   Durham Academy
First Flight Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS  
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Glenn Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School  
Grimsley Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Havelock Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Heritage Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Hickory Durham Academy   Durham Academy
High Point Central Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hopewell Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Independence Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Jack Britt Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Jacksonville Durham Academy   Durham Academy
JH Rose JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Jordan Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Mount Tabor Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Myers Park Myers Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick Durham Academy   Durham Academy
North Davidson Durham Academy   Durham Academy
North Lincoln Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Northern Guilford Durham Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Northside Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Durham Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Durham Academy
Page Durham Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Durham Academy
Panther Creek Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Parkwood Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Patton Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Pine Forest Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Pine Lake Prep Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Providence Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Providence Day Providence Day Providence Day  
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Ragsdale Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 3) Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Durham Academy Durham Academy   3- 1 vs 0- 3
RJ Reynolds Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Rolesville Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Ronald Reagan Durham Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Sanderson Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Durham Academy
Seaforth Seaforth tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell Durham Academy   Durham Academy
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Southlake Christian Durham Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Southwest Guilford Durham Academy   Durham Academy
St Davids School Durham Academy insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 3) Durham Academy
St Marys St Marys tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) St Marys
St Stephens Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Sun Valley Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Terry Sanford Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Watauga Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Weddington Weddington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Weddington
West Brunswick Durham Academy   Durham Academy
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Durham Academy   Durham Academy
White Oak Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 70


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Forsyth CDS     (12- 6, 85.4)     6-11      -14.54      25.27      -0.31         1.12           -16.69
   0 A Jordan          ( 3-12, 77.0)    18- 3      -22.94      16.87       0.31         1.12            19.31
   0 A Greensboro Day  ( 3-11, 80.0)     8-12      -19.89      19.92       0.31         1.12           -22.02
   0 A Charlotte Chri  ( 4-11, 84.0)     7-18      -15.90      23.91       0.31         1.12           -17.53
   0 A Providence Day  (18- 1, 97.1)     3-19       -2.80      37.01       0.31         1.12            -2.80
   0 H St Marys        (10- 7, 82.6)     9-13      -17.31      22.49      -0.31         1.12           -19.81
   0 H Ravenscroft Sc  ( 8- 8, 83.3)    12-14      -16.60      23.21      -0.31         1.12           -19.01
   0 H Cary Academy    ( 3-12, 77.6)    17- 3      -22.32      17.49      -0.31         1.12            19.32
   0 A Carrboro        (10-10, 79.6)    17- 6      -20.33      19.47       0.31         1.12            22.24
   0 H Fayetteville A  (16- 0, 87.6)     8-17      -12.33      27.47      -0.31         1.12           -14.21
   0 A Ravenscroft Sc  ( 8- 8, 83.3)    12-11      -16.60      23.21       0.31         1.12            26.44
   0 H Charlotte CDS   (15- 5, 94.3)    11-23       -5.62      34.18      -0.31         1.12            -6.66
   0 H Cary Academy    ( 3-12, 77.6)    17- 7      -22.32      17.49      -0.31         1.12            19.32
   0 A St Marys        (10- 7, 82.6)    12- 9      -17.31      22.49       0.31         1.12            25.63
   0 A Providence Day  (18- 1, 97.1)     2-17       -2.80      37.01       0.31         1.12            -2.80
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        10.73

winning pts = 132.2560 losing points = -121.5292

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------