---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Dexter 1
  
Dexter                
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 84.5663

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Salem ( 5-15, 81.5) 7- 8 403 H Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 4- 8 409 H Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 4- 6 411 A Walled Lake Northern ( 0- 8, 74.0) 12- 4 414 A Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 3- 5 416 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 5-15 421 H Ann Arbor Pioneer ( 6- 9, 82.3) 9- 8 423 H Plymouth ( 5-12, 82.3) 9- 4 428 H Ann Arbor Skyline ( 5- 6, 82.6) 9- 2 430 A Ann Arbor Huron ( 4-10, 80.0) 14- 6 501 H Canton ( 3-13, 81.6) 12- 2 505 H Bedford ( 0- 9, 76.8) 15- 4 507 A Tecumseh ( 5-11, 79.6) 12- 2 512 A Ann Arbor Father Gabri ( 3-15, 83.2) 12- 3 516 H Divine Child ( 6- 7, 84.3) 15-10 521 A Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 4-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Salem                   7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.46
   403 H Howell                  4- 8      -4     1    --    -4.96
   409 H Fenton-Linden Co-Op     4- 6      -2     3    --    -4.63
   411 A Walled Lake Northern   12- 4       8    10           0.00
   414 A Swartz Creek            3- 5      -2    -1          -0.92
   416 H Saline                  5-15     -10    -7           0.00
   421 H Ann Arbor Pioneer       9- 8       1     3          -1.94
   423 H Plymouth                9- 4       5     3    +      2.08
   428 H Ann Arbor Skyline       9- 2       7     3    +      2.41
   430 A Ann Arbor Huron        14- 6       8     4           1.02
   501 H Canton                 12- 2      10     4           1.38
   505 H Bedford                15- 4      11     8           0.00
   507 A Tecumseh               12- 2      10     4           0.67
   512 A Ann Arbor Father Gabri 12- 3       9     1    ++     4.26
   516 H Divine Child           15-10       5     1    ++     4.09
   521 A Saline                  4-14     -10    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Howell                  4- 8      -4     1    --    -4.96
   409 H Fenton-Linden Co-Op     4- 6      -2     3    --    -4.63
   401 A Salem                   7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Ann Arbor Father Gabri 12- 3       9     1    ++     4.26
   516 H Divine Child           15-10       5     1    ++     4.09
   423 H Plymouth                9- 4       5     3    +      2.08
   428 H Ann Arbor Skyline       9- 2       7     3    +      2.41

Dexter Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Dexter Dexter  
Ann Arbor Huron Dexter Dexter  
Ann Arbor Pioneer Dexter Dexter  
Ann Arbor Skyline Dexter Dexter  
Avondale Dexter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dexter
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Dexter Dexter  
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B Brighton B   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Dexter Dexter  
Cass Tech Dexter Dexter   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Catholic Central Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Dexter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Dexter
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Dexter tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Dexter
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Divine Child Dexter Dexter  
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Lansing Dexter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dexter
Farmington Dexter tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Dexter
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op  
Flint Powers Catholic Dexter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dexter
Flushing Dexter tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Dexter
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea   Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Dexter tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Dexter
Grand Haven Dexter   Dexter
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grand Rapids Christian
Grandville Grandville   Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Dexter insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Dexter
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland Hartland   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Haslett Haslett tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Haslett
Henry Ford II Dexter   Dexter
Holland West Ottawa Dexter   Dexter
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Dexter tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Dexter
Holt Holt insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Holt
Howell Howell Howell  
Hudsonville Hudsonville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hudsonville
Jenison Dexter   Dexter
Kalamazoo Central Dexter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dexter
Lake Fenton Dexter insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Dexter
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lakeview Dexter   Dexter
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Lansing Catholic-Waverly
Lapeer Dexter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dexter
Livonia United Dexter insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Dexter
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marian Marian tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marian
Mattawan Mattawan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Mattawan
Mercy Mercy tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Mercy
Midland Dexter   Dexter
Mona Shores Mona Shores insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville Northville   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Notre Dame Prep Dexter tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Dexter
Novi Novi Novi   6- 0 vs 4- 2
Okemos Okemos insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Okemos
Oxford Dexter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dexter
Plymouth Dexter Dexter  
Portage Northern Portage Northern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Dexter   Dexter
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rochester Stoney Creek
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Royal Oak Dexter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Dexter
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Saginaw Heritage
Salem Salem Salem  
Saline Saline Saline  
South Lyon United South Lyon United South Lyon United   6- 0 vs 4- 2
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Dexter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Dexter
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Dexter tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Dexter
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek Swartz Creek  
Tecumseh Dexter Dexter  
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Traverse City Central
Troy Troy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Troy Athens
University Liggett University Liggett tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern Dexter Dexter  
Warren Regina Dexter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Dexter
Waterford United Dexter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Dexter
West Bloomfield Dexter insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Dexter
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Zeeland East Dexter   Dexter

PowerWise = 41


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Salem           ( 5-15, 81.5)     7- 8      -18.41      10.78       0.62         1.01           -17.88
   0 H Howell          ( 9-11, 84.2)     4- 8      -15.68      13.51      -0.62         1.01           -16.38
   0 H Fenton-Linden   (11- 9, 82.6)     4- 6      -17.34      11.85      -0.62         1.01           -18.06
   0 A Walled Lake No  ( 0- 8, 74.0)    12- 4      -25.88       3.31       0.62         1.01             3.95
   0 A Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     3- 5      -14.88      14.31       0.62         1.01           -14.33
   0 H Saline          (16- 3, 92.7)     5-15       -7.25      21.94      -0.62         1.01            -7.91
   0 H Ann Arbor Pion  ( 6- 9, 82.3)     9- 8      -17.65      11.54      -0.62         1.01            10.98
   0 H Plymouth        ( 5-12, 82.3)     9- 4      -17.64      11.55      -0.62         1.01            10.99
   0 H Ann Arbor Skyl  ( 5- 6, 82.6)     9- 2      -17.30      11.89      -0.62         1.01            11.33
   0 A Ann Arbor Huro  ( 4-10, 80.0)    14- 6      -19.93       9.26       0.62         1.01             9.93
   0 H Canton          ( 3-13, 81.6)    12- 2      -18.34      10.86      -0.62         1.01            10.29
   0 H Bedford         ( 0- 9, 76.8)    15- 4      -23.08       6.11      -0.62         1.01             5.52
   0 A Tecumseh        ( 5-11, 79.6)    12- 2      -20.28       8.91       0.62         1.01             9.58
   0 A Ann Arbor Fath  ( 3-15, 83.2)    12- 3      -16.70      12.50       0.62         1.01            13.18
   0 H Divine Child    ( 6- 7, 84.3)    15-10      -15.62      13.57      -0.62         1.01            13.02
   0 A Saline          (16- 3, 92.7)     4-14       -7.25      21.94       0.62         1.01            -6.66
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        17.55

winning pts = 98.7708 losing points = -81.2235

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------