---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:38 PDT

safe3step girls Desert Vista 1
  
Desert Vista          
W-L: (11- 3) PR = 95.3372

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Corona Del Sol ( 0-12, 86.0) 17- 5 226 H Higley ( 8- 5, 94.5) 10- 8 303 A Notre Dame Prep ( 1-11, 86.9) 12- 4 306 A Chaparral (11- 2, 96.4) 7-14 312 A Salpoint Catholic ( 5- 8, 90.6) 12- 6 327 H Cactus Shadows ( 4- 8, 90.9) 14- 7 403 H Chandler (14- 0, 99.9) 8-22 408 A Corona Del Sol ( 0-12, 86.0) 19- 3 410 A Pinnacle ( 4- 9, 88.9) 19- 8 422 H Salpoint Catholic ( 5- 8, 90.6) 13- 9 424 H Xavier College Prep ( 6- 6, 94.4) 11-10 430 H Cactus Shadows ( 4- 8, 90.9) 12- 4 506 A Chaparral (11- 2, 96.4) 14-12 509 N Chandler (14- 0, 99.9) 8-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Corona Del Sol         17- 5      12     9           0.00
   226 H Higley                 10- 8       2     1           1.19
   303 A Notre Dame Prep        12- 4       8     8           0.00
   306 A Chaparral               7-14      -7    -1    -     -3.95
   312 A Salpoint Catholic      12- 6       6     5           0.25
   327 H Cactus Shadows         14- 7       7     4           0.53
   403 H Chandler                8-22     -14    -5          -0.45
   408 A Corona Del Sol         19- 3      16     9           0.00
   410 A Pinnacle               19- 8      11     6           0.00
   422 H Salpoint Catholic      13- 9       4     5          -0.77
   424 H Xavier College Prep    11-10       1     1           0.05
   430 H Cactus Shadows         12- 4       8     4           0.53
   506 A Chaparral              14-12       2    -1    +      3.05
   509 N Chandler                8-13      -5    -5          -0.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Chaparral               7-14      -7    -1    -     -3.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Chaparral              14-12       2    -1    +      3.05

Desert Vista Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Cactus Shadows Desert Vista Desert Vista  
Chandler Chandler Chandler  
Chaparral Chaparral tied - ( 7- 1) ( 7- 1) Chaparral
Corona Del Sol Desert Vista Desert Vista  
Higley Desert Vista Desert Vista  
Notre Dame Prep Desert Vista Desert Vista  
Pinnacle Desert Vista Desert Vista  
Salpoint Catholic Desert Vista Desert Vista  
Xavier College Prep Desert Vista Desert Vista  

PowerWise = 7


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.80

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Corona Del Sol  ( 0-12, 86.0)    17- 5      -13.93       1.00      -0.01         0.91             0.91
   0 H Higley          ( 8- 5, 94.5)    10- 8       -5.36       8.57      -0.01         0.91             7.82
   0 A Notre Dame Pre  ( 1-11, 86.9)    12- 4      -12.95       1.00       0.01         0.91             0.92
   0 A Chaparral       (11- 2, 96.4)     7-14       -3.52      10.41       0.01         0.91            -3.21
   0 A Salpoint Catho  ( 5- 8, 90.6)    12- 6       -9.32       4.61       0.01         0.91             4.22
   0 H Cactus Shadows  ( 4- 8, 90.9)    14- 7       -9.03       4.91      -0.01         0.91             4.48
   0 H Chandler        (14- 0, 99.9)     8-22       -0.00      13.93      -0.01         0.91            -0.01
   0 A Corona Del Sol  ( 0-12, 86.0)    19- 3      -13.93       1.00       0.01         0.91             0.92
   0 A Pinnacle        ( 4- 9, 88.9)    19- 8      -11.02       2.91       0.01         0.91             2.67
   0 H Salpoint Catho  ( 5- 8, 90.6)    13- 9       -9.32       4.61      -0.01         0.91             4.21
   0 H Xavier College  ( 6- 6, 94.4)    11-10       -5.50       8.43      -0.01         0.91             7.70
   0 H Cactus Shadows  ( 4- 8, 90.9)    12- 4       -9.03       4.91      -0.01         0.91             4.48
   0 A Chaparral       (11- 2, 96.4)    14-12       -3.52      10.41       0.01         0.91             9.53
   0 N Chandler        (14- 0, 99.9)     8-13       -0.00      13.93      -0.00         0.91            -0.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        44.63

winning pts = 47.8484 losing points = -3.2178

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------