Desert Vista
W-L: (11- 3) PR = 95.3372
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
224 H Corona Del Sol ( 0-12, 86.0) 17- 5
226 H Higley ( 8- 5, 94.5) 10- 8
303 A Notre Dame Prep ( 1-11, 86.9) 12- 4
306 A Chaparral (11- 2, 96.4) 7-14
312 A Salpoint Catholic ( 5- 8, 90.6) 12- 6
327 H Cactus Shadows ( 4- 8, 90.9) 14- 7
403 H Chandler (14- 0, 99.9) 8-22
408 A Corona Del Sol ( 0-12, 86.0) 19- 3
410 A Pinnacle ( 4- 9, 88.9) 19- 8
422 H Salpoint Catholic ( 5- 8, 90.6) 13- 9
424 H Xavier College Prep ( 6- 6, 94.4) 11-10
430 H Cactus Shadows ( 4- 8, 90.9) 12- 4
506 A Chaparral (11- 2, 96.4) 14-12
509 N Chandler (14- 0, 99.9) 8-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
224 H Corona Del Sol 17- 5 12 9 0.00
226 H Higley 10- 8 2 1 1.19
303 A Notre Dame Prep 12- 4 8 8 0.00
306 A Chaparral 7-14 -7 -1 - -3.95
312 A Salpoint Catholic 12- 6 6 5 0.25
327 H Cactus Shadows 14- 7 7 4 0.53
403 H Chandler 8-22 -14 -5 -0.45
408 A Corona Del Sol 19- 3 16 9 0.00
410 A Pinnacle 19- 8 11 6 0.00
422 H Salpoint Catholic 13- 9 4 5 -0.77
424 H Xavier College Prep 11-10 1 1 0.05
430 H Cactus Shadows 12- 4 8 4 0.53
506 A Chaparral 14-12 2 -1 + 3.05
509 N Chandler 8-13 -5 -5 -0.44
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Chaparral 7-14 -7 -1 - -3.95
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
506 A Chaparral 14-12 2 -1 + 3.05
|
Desert Vista Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Cactus Shadows |
Desert Vista |
Desert Vista |
 
| |
Chandler |
Chandler |
Chandler |
 
| |
Chaparral |
Chaparral |
|
tied - ( 7- 1) ( 7- 1) |
Chaparral |
Corona Del Sol |
Desert Vista |
Desert Vista |
 
| |
Higley |
Desert Vista |
Desert Vista |
 
| |
Notre Dame Prep |
Desert Vista |
Desert Vista |
 
| |
Pinnacle |
Desert Vista |
Desert Vista |
 
| |
Salpoint Catholic |
Desert Vista |
Desert Vista |
 
| |
Xavier College Prep |
Desert Vista |
Desert Vista |
 
| |
PowerWise = 7

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.80
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Corona Del Sol ( 0-12, 86.0) 17- 5 -13.93 1.00 -0.01 0.91 0.91
0 H Higley ( 8- 5, 94.5) 10- 8 -5.36 8.57 -0.01 0.91 7.82
0 A Notre Dame Pre ( 1-11, 86.9) 12- 4 -12.95 1.00 0.01 0.91 0.92
0 A Chaparral (11- 2, 96.4) 7-14 -3.52 10.41 0.01 0.91 -3.21
0 A Salpoint Catho ( 5- 8, 90.6) 12- 6 -9.32 4.61 0.01 0.91 4.22
0 H Cactus Shadows ( 4- 8, 90.9) 14- 7 -9.03 4.91 -0.01 0.91 4.48
0 H Chandler (14- 0, 99.9) 8-22 -0.00 13.93 -0.01 0.91 -0.01
0 A Corona Del Sol ( 0-12, 86.0) 19- 3 -13.93 1.00 0.01 0.91 0.92
0 A Pinnacle ( 4- 9, 88.9) 19- 8 -11.02 2.91 0.01 0.91 2.67
0 H Salpoint Catho ( 5- 8, 90.6) 13- 9 -9.32 4.61 -0.01 0.91 4.21
0 H Xavier College ( 6- 6, 94.4) 11-10 -5.50 8.43 -0.01 0.91 7.70
0 H Cactus Shadows ( 4- 8, 90.9) 12- 4 -9.03 4.91 -0.01 0.91 4.48
0 A Chaparral (11- 2, 96.4) 14-12 -3.52 10.41 0.01 0.91 9.53
0 N Chandler (14- 0, 99.9) 8-13 -0.00 13.93 -0.00 0.91 -0.00
------
44.63
|
winning pts = 47.8484 losing points = -3.2178
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------