safe3step girls St Francis DeSales 1

  
St Francis DeSales    
W-L: (21- 1)  PR =    97.0780
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 322 H Turpin                               ( 8-10, 88.8)    16- 4   
 325 A Pickerington North                   (13- 7, 87.9)    18- 5   
 328 H Upper Arlington                      (17- 2, 97.5)     6- 8   
 401 H New Albany                           (11- 7, 92.4)    19- 4   
 404 H Indian Hill                          (15- 4, 94.6)    13- 5   
 408 H Bexley                               (14- 5, 88.1)    22- 7   
 411 A Rocky River                          (13- 7, 90.0)    14- 5   
 412 A Bay                                  (10-12, 89.0)    18- 7   
 415 H Bishop Hartley                       (10-10, 82.7)    19- 2   
 422 A Big Walnut                           ( 8- 9, 85.2)    22- 4   
 426 A Columbus Academy                     (12- 8, 93.0)    10- 9   
 429 H Bishop Watterson                     ( 8-12, 90.0)    14- 9   
 503 A Mariemont                            (14- 3, 94.2)    11- 8   
 506 A Granville                            ( 7-10, 82.3)    21- 5   
 508 H Thomas Worthington                   (10- 7, 94.5)    14-13   
 510 A Worthington Kilbourne                (16- 5, 92.9)    15- 7   
 513 A Dublin Jerome                        (11- 9, 91.7)    23-13   
 522 H Granville                            ( 7-10, 82.3)    16- 1   
 528 H Bexley                               (14- 5, 88.1)    18- 3   
 530 A Columbus Academy                     (12- 8, 93.0)    14- 5   
 604 N Cincinnati Hills Chris               (15- 2, 94.8)    16- 9   
 607 N Hathaway Brown                       (22- 2, 93.0)    15- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Turpin                 16- 4      12     9           0.00
   325 A Pickerington North     18- 5      13     9           0.00
   328 H Upper Arlington         6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.20
   401 H New Albany             19- 4      15     5           0.00
   404 H Indian Hill            13- 5       8     3           1.86
   408 H Bexley                 22- 7      15    10           0.00
   411 A Rocky River            14- 5       9     6           0.00
   412 A Bay                    18- 7      11     7           0.00
   415 H Bishop Hartley         19- 2      17    15           0.00
   422 A Big Walnut             22- 4      18    11           0.00
   426 A Columbus Academy       10- 9       1     3    -     -2.45
   429 H Bishop Watterson       14- 9       5     8           0.00
   503 A Mariemont              11- 8       3     2           0.82
   506 A Granville              21- 5      16    14           0.00
   508 H Thomas Worthington     14-13       1     3    -     -2.20
   510 A Worthington Kilbourne  15- 7       8     4           1.45
   513 A Dublin Jerome          23-13      10     5           0.29
   522 H Granville              16- 1      15    15           0.00
   528 H Bexley                 18- 3      15    10           0.00
   530 A Columbus Academy       14- 5       9     3           1.55
   604 N Cincinnati Hills Chris 16- 9       7     2    +      2.68
   607 N Hathaway Brown         15- 9       6     4           0.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Upper Arlington         6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.20
   426 A Columbus Academy       10- 9       1     3    -     -2.45
   508 H Thomas Worthington     14-13       1     3    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   604 N Cincinnati Hills Chris 16- 9       7     2    +      2.68

St Francis DeSales Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Anderson	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Anthony Wayne	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Archbishop Alter	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Archbishop Hoban	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Archbishop McNicholas	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Aurora	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Avon	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Avon Lake	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bay	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Beaumont School	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Beavercreek	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Bellbrook	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Bexley	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Big Walnut	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Bishop Fenwick	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Bishop Hartley	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Bishop Watterson	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Boardman	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Brecksville-Broadview	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Brunswick	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Buckeye Valley	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Canfield	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Cardinal Mooney	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Carroll	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Centerville	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Chagrin Falls	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Chaminade-Julienne	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chardon	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Chillicothe	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Cincinnati CDS	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Cincinnati Hills Christi	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Clay	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Cleveland Heights	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Columbus Academy	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Columbus SG	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 6- 0 vs 3- 4
Copley	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Cuyahoga Valley Christia	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Delaware Hayes	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Dublin Coffman	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 8- 1)( 7- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Dublin Jerome	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Dublin Scioto	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 4- 0 vs 1- 3
Edgewood	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Fairfield	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Fairmont	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Findlay	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Gahanna Lincoln	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Gilmour Academy	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
GlenOak	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Granville	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Green	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Grove City	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Hathaway Brown	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Hathaway Brown B	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Hawken School	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Highland	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Hilliard Bradley	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hilliard Darby	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 4- 1 vs 0- 5
Hilliard Davidson	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Holy Name	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Hoover North Canton	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Hudson	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	St Francis DeSales
Indian Hill	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Jackson Massillon	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Jonathan Alder	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Kenston	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Kent Roosevelt	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Kings	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lake	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	St Francis DeSales
Lake Catholic	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Lakewood	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Lakota East	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Lakota West	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Laurel School	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Lebanon	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	St Francis DeSales
Lima	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Little Miami	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Louisville	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Loveland	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Madeira	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Magnificat	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Mariemont	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Marysville	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mason	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Maumee Valley CDS	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Medina	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Mentor	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Mercy McAuley	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Miami Valley School	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Miamisburg	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Milford	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Mt Notre Dame	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
New Albany	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Newark	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Northmont	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Notre Dame Academy	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Notre Dame-Cathedral Lat	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Oak Hills	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Oakwood	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Olentangy	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 5- 0 vs 3- 2
Olentangy Berlin	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 5- 0 vs 2- 3
Olentangy Liberty	Olentangy Liberty		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0)	Olentangy Liberty
Olentangy Orange	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 1 vs 1- 3
Olmsted Falls	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Orange	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Ottawa Hills	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Padua Franciscan	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Perrysburg	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Pickerington Central	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 6- 1 vs 3- 4
Pickerington North	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Poland Seminary	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Princeton	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Revere	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Riverside	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Rocky River	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Roger Bacon	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Seton School	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Seven Hills School	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 0- 4
Shaker Heights	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Solon	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Southeast	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Springboro	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
St Joseph Academy	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 2)	St Francis DeSales
St Ursula Cincinnati	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
St Ursula Toledo	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
St Vincent-St Mary	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Stow-Munroe Falls	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Strongsville	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Summit CDS	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Sycamore	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 2- 1 vs 0- 2
Sylvania Northview	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Sylvania Southview	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Thomas Worthington	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Tippecanoe	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Toledo Central Catholic	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Turpin	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Upper Arlington	Upper Arlington	Upper Arlington
Ursuline Academy	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Wadsworth	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Walnut Hills	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	St Francis DeSales
Walsh Jesuit	St Francis DeSales		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2)	St Francis DeSales
Waynesville	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Wellington School	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 0- 3
West Geauga	St Francis DeSales			St Francis DeSales
Western Reserve Academy	St Francis DeSales		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	St Francis DeSales
Westerville Central	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Westerville North	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Westerville South	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 5- 0 vs 0- 5
Westlake	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wooster	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Worthington Kilbourne	St Francis DeSales	St Francis DeSales
Wyoming	St Francis DeSales		St Francis DeSales 3- 0 vs 0- 3

PowerWise = 149

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.74

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Turpin          ( 8-10, 88.8)    16- 4      -11.10      20.59      -0.66         0.76            15.16
   0 A Pickerington N  (13- 7, 87.9)    18- 5      -11.99      19.69       0.66         0.76            15.48
   0 H Upper Arlingto  (17- 2, 97.5)     6- 8       -2.36      29.33      -0.66         0.76            -2.30
   0 H New Albany      (11- 7, 92.4)    19- 4       -7.46      24.22      -0.66         0.76            17.92
   0 H Indian Hill     (15- 4, 94.6)    13- 5       -5.29      26.39      -0.66         0.76            19.57
   0 H Bexley          (14- 5, 88.1)    22- 7      -11.78      19.90      -0.66         0.76            14.64
   0 A Rocky River     (13- 7, 90.0)    14- 5       -9.89      21.80       0.66         0.76            17.09
   0 A Bay             (10-12, 89.0)    18- 7      -10.91      20.78       0.66         0.76            16.31
   0 H Bishop Hartley  (10-10, 82.7)    19- 2      -17.18      14.51      -0.66         0.76            10.53
   0 A Big Walnut      ( 8- 9, 85.2)    22- 4      -14.70      16.98       0.66         0.76            13.43
   0 A Columbus Acade  (12- 8, 93.0)    10- 9       -6.94      24.75       0.66         0.76            19.33
   0 H Bishop Watters  ( 8-12, 90.0)    14- 9       -9.90      21.79      -0.66         0.76            16.07
   0 A Mariemont       (14- 3, 94.2)    11- 8       -5.66      26.02       0.66         0.76            20.30
   0 A Granville       ( 7-10, 82.3)    21- 5      -17.55      14.13       0.66         0.76            11.25
   0 H Thomas Worthin  (10- 7, 94.5)    14-13       -5.36      26.32      -0.66         0.76            19.52
   0 A Worthington Ki  (16- 5, 92.9)    15- 7       -7.04      24.65       0.66         0.76            19.25
   0 A Dublin Jerome   (11- 9, 91.7)    23-13       -8.19      23.49       0.66         0.76            18.38
   0 H Granville       ( 7-10, 82.3)    16- 1      -17.55      14.13      -0.66         0.76            10.25
   0 H Bexley          (14- 5, 88.1)    18- 3      -11.78      19.90      -0.66         0.76            14.64
   0 A Columbus Acade  (12- 8, 93.0)    14- 5       -6.94      24.75       0.66         0.76            19.33
   0 N Cincinnati Hil  (15- 2, 94.8)    16- 9       -5.15      26.54      -0.00         0.76            20.19
   0 N Hathaway Brown  (22- 2, 93.0)    15- 9       -6.87      24.82      -0.00         0.76            18.88
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       345.23

winning pts = 347.5256 losing points = -2.2984

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------