---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Catoctin 1
  
Catoctin              
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 80.7432

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 A Gov Thomas Johnson ( 6- 7, 79.1) 12- 7 327 A North Hagerstown ( 0-10, 64.0) 18- 7 403 A Brunswick ( 3-11, 73.1) 15- 2 408 H Boonsboro (10- 4, 80.7) 10- 9 410 H Smithsburg ( 1-11, 69.4) 16- 5 416 A St James School ( 6- 4, 80.8) 10-12 417 A Walkersville ( 2-10, 75.6) 8- 4 422 A Middletown (12- 5, 85.1) 10-15 424 A Francis Scott Key ( 3-11, 78.1) 10- 9 429 H Tuscarora ( 6- 5, 82.7) 10-12 501 H South Carroll (16- 3, 92.1) 2-16 509 A Middletown (12- 5, 85.1) 5-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Gov Thomas Johnson     12- 7       5     1    +      3.82
   327 A North Hagerstown       18- 7      11    16           0.00
   403 A Brunswick              15- 2      13     7           0.00
   408 H Boonsboro              10- 9       1     0           0.53
   410 H Smithsburg             16- 5      11    12           0.00
   416 A St James School        10-12      -2    -1          -1.45
   417 A Walkersville            8- 4       4     5          -0.74
   422 A Middletown             10-15      -5    -5          -0.17
   424 A Francis Scott Key      10- 9       1     2          -1.16
   429 H Tuscarora              10-12      -2    -2          -0.48
   501 H South Carroll           2-16     -14   -11           0.00
   509 A Middletown              5-15     -10    -5          -0.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Gov Thomas Johnson     12- 7       5     1    +      3.82

Catoctin Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Catoctin   Catoctin
Anne Arundel County Catoctin   Catoctin
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Catoctin   Catoctin
Bishop McNamara Catoctin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catoctin
Brookewood SG Catoctin   Catoctin
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Catoctin   Catoctin
Catholic High Baltimore Catoctin   Catoctin
Chapelgate Christian Catoctin   Catoctin
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Catoctin   Catoctin
DC International Catoctin   Catoctin
EL Haynes Charter Catoctin   Catoctin
Elizabeth Seton Catoctin   Catoctin
FCA Catoctin   Catoctin
Field School Catoctin   Catoctin
Friends School Catoctin   Catoctin
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Catoctin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catoctin
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Catoctin   Catoctin
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Catoctin   Catoctin
Jackson-Reed Catoctin   Catoctin
Jemicy Catoctin   Catoctin
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Catoctin   Catoctin
KIPP College Prep Catoctin   Catoctin
Maret School Catoctin   Catoctin
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Catoctin   Catoctin
Park School Park School   Park School
Rockbridge Academy Catoctin   Catoctin
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Catoctin   Catoctin
Sandy Spring Friends Catoctin   Catoctin
School Without Walls Catoctin   Catoctin
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Andrews Episcopal
St James School St James School St James School  
St Johns Catholic Prep Catoctin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catoctin
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Catoctin   Catoctin
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Catoctin   Catoctin
Washington Latin Catoctin   Catoctin
Worcester Prep Catoctin   Catoctin
Aberdeen Catoctin   Catoctin
Academy for College & Ca Catoctin   Catoctin
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Catoctin   Catoctin
Baltimore Polytechnic Catoctin   Catoctin
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Catoctin   Catoctin
Blair Catoctin   Catoctin
Blake Catoctin   Catoctin
Bohemia Manor Catoctin   Catoctin
Boonsboro Catoctin Catoctin  
Bowie Catoctin   Catoctin
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Catoctin Catoctin  
Calvert Catoctin   Catoctin
Cambridge SD Catoctin   Catoctin
Carver A&T Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Central PG Catoctin   Catoctin
Century Century insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Century
CH Flowers Catoctin   Catoctin
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Catoctin   Catoctin
Chopticon Catoctin   Catoctin
City College Catoctin   Catoctin
Clarksburg Catoctin   Catoctin
CM Wright CM Wright tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) CM Wright
CMIT North Catoctin   Catoctin
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Dr Henry Wise Catoctin   Catoctin
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dundalk Catoctin   Catoctin
DuVal Catoctin   Catoctin
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Catoctin   Catoctin
Einstein Catoctin   Catoctin
Eleanor Roosevelt Catoctin   Catoctin
Elkton Catoctin   Catoctin
Fairmont Heights Catoctin   Catoctin
Fallston Fallston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fallston
Francis Scott Key Catoctin Catoctin  
Franklin Catoctin   Catoctin
Frederick Catoctin Catoctin   5- 3 vs 3- 5
Frederick Douglass PG Catoctin   Catoctin
Gaithersburg Catoctin   Catoctin
Glen Burnie Catoctin   Catoctin
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Catoctin Catoctin  
Great Mills Catoctin   Catoctin
Guilford Park Catoctin   Catoctin
Gwynn Park Catoctin   Catoctin
Hammond Catoctin   Catoctin
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   Havre De Grace
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Kennedy Catoctin   Catoctin
Kent County Catoctin   Catoctin
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Catoctin   Catoctin
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Catoctin   Catoctin
Lansdowne Catoctin   Catoctin
Laurel Catoctin   Catoctin
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Liberty
Linganore Linganore Linganore   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Loch Raven Catoctin   Catoctin
Long Reach Catoctin   Catoctin
Magruder Catoctin   Catoctin
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Catoctin   Catoctin
Middletown Middletown Middletown  
Milford Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
MJ McDonough Catoctin   Catoctin
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mount Hebron
New Town Catoctin   Catoctin
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Catoctin   Catoctin
North East Cecil Catoctin   Catoctin
North Hagerstown Catoctin Catoctin  
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Catoctin   Catoctin
Northeast Catoctin   Catoctin
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Catoctin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catoctin
Northwestern PG Catoctin   Catoctin
Northwood Catoctin   Catoctin
Oakdale Oakdale Oakdale   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Oakland Mills Catoctin   Catoctin
Old Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
Overlea Catoctin   Catoctin
Owings Mills Catoctin   Catoctin
Oxon Hill Catoctin   Catoctin
Paint Branch Catoctin   Catoctin
Parkdale Catoctin   Catoctin
Parkside Catoctin   Catoctin
Parkville Catoctin   Catoctin
Patapsco Catoctin   Catoctin
Patterson Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
Patuxent Catoctin   Catoctin
Perry Hall Catoctin   Catoctin
Perryville Catoctin   Catoctin
Pikesville Catoctin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catoctin
Poolesville Catoctin   Catoctin
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Catoctin   Catoctin
Randallstown Catoctin   Catoctin
Reservoir Catoctin   Catoctin
Richard Montgomery Catoctin   Catoctin
Rising Sun Catoctin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catoctin
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Catoctin   Catoctin
Seneca Valley Catoctin   Catoctin
Severn Run Catoctin   Catoctin
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Catoctin Catoctin  
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll  
South Hagerstown Catoctin   Catoctin
South River South River   South River
Southern Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Sparrows Point Catoctin   Catoctin
Springbrook Catoctin   Catoctin
St Charles Catoctin   Catoctin
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Catoctin   Catoctin
Thomas Stone Catoctin   Catoctin
Towson Towson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Towson
Tuscarora Tuscarora Tuscarora  
Urbana Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Walkersville Catoctin Catoctin  
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Catoctin   Catoctin
Western Baltimore Catoctin   Catoctin
Western STES Catoctin   Catoctin
Westlake Catoctin   Catoctin
Westminster Westminster tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Westminster
Wheaton Catoctin   Catoctin
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Wicomico Catoctin   Catoctin
Wilde Lake Catoctin   Catoctin
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Winters Mill
Woodlawn Catoctin   Catoctin
Wootton Catoctin   Catoctin

PowerWise = 135


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Gov Thomas Joh  ( 6- 7, 79.1)    12- 7      -20.79      17.13       0.45         1.00            17.53
   0 A North Hagersto  ( 0-10, 64.0)    18- 7      -35.94       1.98       0.45         1.00             2.42
   0 A Brunswick       ( 3-11, 73.1)    15- 2      -26.79      11.13       0.45         1.00            11.54
   0 H Boonsboro       (10- 4, 80.7)    10- 9      -19.17      18.75      -0.45         1.00            18.24
   0 H Smithsburg      ( 1-11, 69.4)    16- 5      -30.51       7.41      -0.45         1.00             6.94
   0 A St James Schoo  ( 6- 4, 80.8)    10-12      -19.06      18.86       0.45         1.00           -18.55
   0 A Walkersville    ( 2-10, 75.6)     8- 4      -24.35      13.57       0.45         1.00            13.98
   0 A Middletown      (12- 5, 85.1)    10-15      -14.78      23.14       0.45         1.00           -14.29
   0 A Francis Scott   ( 3-11, 78.1)    10- 9      -21.76      16.16       0.45         1.00            16.56
   0 H Tuscarora       ( 6- 5, 82.7)    10-12      -17.19      20.73      -0.45         1.00           -17.59
   0 H South Carroll   (16- 3, 92.1)     2-16       -7.79      30.13      -0.45         1.00            -8.21
   0 A Middletown      (12- 5, 85.1)     5-15      -14.78      23.14       0.45         1.00           -14.29
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        14.28

winning pts = 87.2054 losing points = -72.9270

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------