---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:41 PDT

safe3step girls Carmel 1
  
Carmel                
W-L: ( 6- 4) PR = 80.7922

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Monte Vista Christian ( 7-10, 77.5) 13- 4 311 H Scotts Valley ( 9- 4, 81.4) 13- 7 318 H Salinas ( 7- 7, 77.8) 10- 1 325 H Stevenson School (14- 4, 87.5) 6-12 401 H Monterey ( 2-11, 75.5) 13- 5 408 H Monte Vista Christian ( 7-10, 77.5) 12- 9 410 A Stevenson School (14- 4, 87.5) 6-12 422 A Salinas ( 7- 7, 77.8) 4- 8 429 A Scotts Valley ( 9- 4, 81.4) 9-12 506 A Monterey ( 2-11, 75.5) 14- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Monte Vista Christian  13- 4       9     3    +      2.16
   311 H Scotts Valley          13- 7       6     0    ++     5.21
   318 H Salinas                10- 1       9     3           1.57
   325 H Stevenson School        6-12      -6    -6           0.00
   401 H Monterey               13- 5       8     6           0.00
   408 H Monte Vista Christian  12- 9       3     4          -0.66
   410 A Stevenson School        6-12      -6    -7           0.00
   422 A Salinas                 4- 8      -4     3    ---   -6.61
   429 A Scotts Valley           9-12      -3    -1          -1.97
   506 A Monterey               14- 7       7     5           0.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Salinas                 4- 8      -4     3    ---   -6.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Scotts Valley          13- 7       6     0    ++     5.21
   304 A Monte Vista Christian  13- 4       9     3    +      2.16

Carmel Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Acalanes Acalanes   Acalanes
Alhambra Carmel   Carmel
Amador Valley Amador Valley   Amador Valley
Archie Williams Carmel   Carmel
Athenian Carmel   Carmel
Bay School Carmel   Carmel
Bentley Carmel   Carmel
Berkeley Berkeley   Berkeley
Bishop ODowd Bishop ODowd   Bishop ODowd
Branson School Branson School   Branson School
California San Ramon California San Ramon   California San Ramon
Campolindo Campolindo   Campolindo
Cardinal Newman Carmel   Carmel
Carondelet Carondelet   Carondelet
Casa Grande Carmel   Carmel
Clayton Valley Charter Carmel   Carmel
College Park College Park   College Park
Convent-Sacred Heart Carmel   Carmel
Dougherty Valley Dougherty Valley   Dougherty Valley
Dublin Dublin   Dublin
El Cerrito Carmel   Carmel
Foothill Pleasanton Carmel   Carmel
George Washington SF George Washington SF   George Washington SF
Granada Carmel   Carmel
Head-Royce School Carmel   Carmel
International Carmel   Carmel
Justin-Siena Justin-Siena   Justin-Siena
Las Lomas Las Lomas   Las Lomas
Lick-Wilmerding Lick-Wilmerding   Lick-Wilmerding
Livermore Carmel   Carmel
Lowell Carmel   Carmel
Marin Academy Marin Academy   Marin Academy
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic   Marin Catholic
Miramonte Miramonte   Miramonte
Monte Vista Danville Monte Vista Danville   Monte Vista Danville
Moreau Catholic Carmel   Carmel
Napa Carmel   Carmel
Newark Memorial Carmel   Carmel
Northgate Carmel   Carmel
Novato Carmel   Carmel
Oakland Carmel   Carmel
Oakland Tech Carmel   Carmel
Petaluma Carmel   Carmel
Piedmont Piedmont   Piedmont
Rancho Cotate Rancho Cotate   Rancho Cotate
Redwood Redwood   Redwood
San Domenico San Domenico   San Domenico
San Marin San Marin   San Marin
San Rafael Carmel   Carmel
San Ramon Valley San Ramon Valley   San Ramon Valley
Skyline Carmel   Carmel
Sonoma Academy Carmel   Carmel
Sonoma Valley Carmel   Carmel
St Vincent de Paul Carmel   Carmel
Tamalpais Tamalpais   Tamalpais
Terra Linda Carmel   Carmel
University HS SF University HS SF   University HS SF
Urban School Carmel   Carmel
Vintage Carmel   Carmel
Washington Fremont Carmel   Carmel
Windsor Carmel   Carmel
Ygnacio Valley Carmel   Carmel
Academy of Our Lady of P Carmel   Carmel
Bishops School Bishops School   Bishops School
Bonita Vista Carmel   Carmel
Canyon Crest Canyon Crest   Canyon Crest
Canyon Hills Carmel   Carmel
Carlsbad Carlsbad   Carlsbad
Castle Park Carmel   Carmel
Cathedral Catholic Cathedral Catholic   Cathedral Catholic
Clairemont Carmel   Carmel
Classical Academy Carmel   Carmel
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Del Lago Academy Carmel   Carmel
Del Norte Del Norte   Del Norte
Eastlake Eastlake   Eastlake
El Camino Carmel   Carmel
El Capitan Carmel   Carmel
Fallbrook Fallbrook   Fallbrook
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School   Francis Parker School
Granite Hills Granite Hills   Granite Hills
Grossmont Carmel   Carmel
Helix Charter Carmel   Carmel
Hilltop Carmel   Carmel
La Costa Canyon La Costa Canyon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) La Costa Canyon
La Jolla CDS La Jolla CDS   La Jolla CDS
La Jolla HS La Jolla HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) La Jolla HS
Lincoln San Diego Carmel   Carmel
Mar Vista Carmel   Carmel
Mater Dei Chula Vista Carmel   Carmel
Mira Mesa Carmel   Carmel
Mission Bay Carmel   Carmel
Mission Hills Mission Hills   Mission Hills
Mission Vista Carmel   Carmel
Monte Vista Spring Valle Carmel   Carmel
Morse Carmel   Carmel
Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Olympian Carmel   Carmel
Otay Ranch Carmel   Carmel
Pacific Ridge Pacific Ridge   Pacific Ridge
Patrick Henry Patrick Henry   Patrick Henry
Point Loma Carmel   Carmel
Poway Poway   Poway
Preuss School Carmel   Carmel
Ramona Carmel   Carmel
Rancho Bernardo Rancho Bernardo   Rancho Bernardo
Rancho Buena Vista Carmel   Carmel
Sage Creek Sage Creek   Sage Creek
San Diego Carmel   Carmel
San Dieguito San Dieguito   San Dieguito
San Marcos SD San Marcos SD insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) San Marcos SD
San Ysidro Carmel   Carmel
Santana Carmel   Carmel
Scripps Ranch Scripps Ranch   Scripps Ranch
Southwest Carmel   Carmel
Torrey Pines Torrey Pines   Torrey Pines
Tri City Christian Tri City Christian   Tri City Christian
University City Carmel   Carmel
Valhalla Carmel   Carmel
Valley Center Carmel   Carmel
Vista Carmel   Carmel
West Hills Carmel   Carmel
Westview Carmel   Carmel
Aptos Carmel Carmel   4- 2 vs 2- 2
Aragon Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel
Archbishop Mitty Archbishop Mitty tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Archbishop Mitty
Burlingame Burlingame tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Burlingame
Carlmont Carlmont   Carlmont
Castilleja Castilleja   Castilleja
Gilroy Carmel   Carmel
Gunn Gunn   Gunn
Harbor Carmel Carmel   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Harker School Harker School   Harker School
Hillsdale Hillsdale tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hillsdale
Leland Carmel   Carmel
Lincoln San Jose Carmel   Carmel
Live Oak Live Oak tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Live Oak
Los Altos Los Altos   Los Altos
Los Gatos Los Gatos tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Los Gatos
Menlo School Menlo School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Menlo School
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton   Menlo-Atherton
Mercy Burlingame Carmel   Carmel
Monte Vista Christian Carmel Carmel  
Monterey Carmel Carmel  
Mountain View Mountain View tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mountain View
Notre Dame Belmont Carmel   Carmel
Notre Dame Salinas Carmel   Carmel
Notre Dame San Jose Carmel   Carmel
Palo Alto Palo Alto   Palo Alto
Pioneer Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel
Presentation Carmel   Carmel
Priory Carmel   Carmel
Sacred Heart Cathedral Carmel   Carmel
Sacred Heart Prep Sacred Heart Prep   Sacred Heart Prep
Salinas Carmel insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) Carmel
Santa Catalina School Carmel Carmel   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Santa Cruz Carmel   Carmel
Saratoga Carmel   Carmel
Scotts Valley Scotts Valley tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) Scotts Valley
Sequoia Sequoia   Sequoia
Sobrato Carmel   Carmel
Soquel Carmel   Carmel
St Francis Mtn View St Francis Mtn View   St Francis Mtn View
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep   St Ignatius Prep
Stevenson School Stevenson School Stevenson School  
Wilcox Carmel   Carmel
Willow Glen Carmel   Carmel
Woodside Woodside   Woodside
York School Carmel   Carmel
Bella Vista Bella Vista   Bella Vista
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers   Christian Brothers
Davis Davis   Davis
Del Oro Del Oro   Del Oro
Folsom Folsom   Folsom
Granite Bay Granite Bay   Granite Bay
Oak Ridge Oak Ridge   Oak Ridge
Oakmont Carmel   Carmel
Rio Americano Carmel   Carmel
Rocklin Rocklin   Rocklin
Roseville Carmel   Carmel
St Francis Sacramento St Francis Sacramento   St Francis Sacramento
Vista del Lago Vista del Lago   Vista del Lago
West Park Carmel   Carmel
Whitney Carmel   Carmel
Woodcreek Woodcreek   Woodcreek
Alexander Hamilton Carmel   Carmel
Birmingham Charter Carmel   Carmel
El Camino Real Carmel   Carmel
GALA Carmel   Carmel
Palisades Charter Carmel   Carmel
University HS LA Carmel   Carmel
Agoura Agoura   Agoura
Aliso Niguel Aliso Niguel   Aliso Niguel
Beckman Beckman   Beckman
Beverly Hills Carmel   Carmel
Calabasas Carmel   Carmel
California Whittier Carmel   Carmel
Canyon Canyon   Canyon
Capistrano Valley Carmel   Carmel
Cate School Cate School   Cate School
Centennial Carmel   Carmel
Chadwick School Carmel   Carmel
Chaminade Prep Chaminade Prep   Chaminade Prep
Chaparral Chaparral   Chaparral
Compton Carmel   Carmel
Corona Carmel   Carmel
Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar   Corona Del Mar
Crescenta Valley Crescenta Valley   Crescenta Valley
Culver City Culver City   Culver City
Dana Hills Carmel   Carmel
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos   Dos Pueblos
Downey Carmel   Carmel
Edison Edison   Edison
El Dorado El Dorado   El Dorado
El Modena Carmel   Carmel
El Rancho El Rancho   El Rancho
El Segundo El Segundo   El Segundo
El Toro Carmel   Carmel
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Esperanza Carmel   Carmel
Foothill Santa Ana Foothill Santa Ana   Foothill Santa Ana
Glendale Glendale   Glendale
Great Oak Great Oak   Great Oak
Hart Carmel   Carmel
Hemet Carmel   Carmel
Heritage Carmel   Carmel
Heritage Christian Carmel   Carmel
Huntington Beach Huntington Beach   Huntington Beach
Irvine Carmel   Carmel
JSerra Catholic JSerra Catholic   JSerra Catholic
King King   King
La Canada Carmel   Carmel
Laguna Beach Laguna Beach   Laguna Beach
Laguna Hills Laguna Hills   Laguna Hills
Lakewood Carmel   Carmel
Liberty Carmel   Carmel
Long Beach Poly Carmel   Carmel
Los Alamitos Los Alamitos   Los Alamitos
Lynwood Carmel   Carmel
Marlborough Marlborough   Marlborough
Mater Dei Santa Ana Mater Dei Santa Ana   Mater Dei Santa Ana
Millikan Carmel   Carmel
Mira Costa Mira Costa   Mira Costa
Mission Viejo Carmel   Carmel
Murrieta Mesa Murrieta Mesa   Murrieta Mesa
Murrieta Valley Murrieta Valley   Murrieta Valley
Newbury Park Newbury Park   Newbury Park
Newport Harbor Newport Harbor   Newport Harbor
Norco Carmel   Carmel
Nordhoff Carmel   Carmel
Northwood Carmel   Carmel
Notre Dame Sherman Oaks Notre Dame Sherman Oaks   Notre Dame Sherman Oaks
Oak Park Oak Park   Oak Park
Oaks Christian Oaks Christian   Oaks Christian
Orange Lutheran Orange Lutheran   Orange Lutheran
Paloma Valley Carmel   Carmel
Palos Verdes Palos Verdes   Palos Verdes
Peninsula Peninsula   Peninsula
Portola Carmel   Carmel
Redondo Union Redondo Union   Redondo Union
Riverside Poly Carmel   Carmel
Rosary Academy Carmel   Carmel
Royal Royal   Royal
Sage Hill Carmel   Carmel
San Clemente San Clemente   San Clemente
San Juan Hills San Juan Hills   San Juan Hills
San Marcos SB San Marcos SB   San Marcos SB
Santa Barbara Carmel   Carmel
Santa Margarita Santa Margarita   Santa Margarita
Santa Monica Santa Monica   Santa Monica
Santiago Santiago   Santiago
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Segerstrom Carmel   Carmel
Simi Valley Carmel   Carmel
St Margarets St Margarets   St Margarets
Temecula Valley Temecula Valley   Temecula Valley
Tesoro Carmel   Carmel
Thacher School Carmel   Carmel
Trabuco Hills Trabuco Hills   Trabuco Hills
Tustin Carmel   Carmel
University Irvine University Irvine   University Irvine
Valencia Placentia Carmel   Carmel
Valencia Santa Clarita Carmel   Carmel
Village Christian Village Christian   Village Christian
Vista Murrieta Vista Murrieta   Vista Murrieta
West Ranch West Ranch   West Ranch
Westridge School Westridge School   Westridge School
Woodbridge Woodbridge   Woodbridge
Woodrow Wilson Carmel   Carmel
Yorba Linda Carmel   Carmel
Bullard Bullard   Bullard
Edison Fresno Edison Fresno   Edison Fresno
Fresno Carmel   Carmel
Garces Memorial Carmel   Carmel
Hoover Fresno Carmel   Carmel
McLane McLane   McLane
Roosevelt Carmel   Carmel
San Joaquin Memorial San Joaquin Memorial   San Joaquin Memorial
Sanger Sanger   Sanger
Sunnyside Carmel   Carmel

PowerWise = 155


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Monte Vista Ch  ( 7-10, 77.5)    13- 4      -22.36      14.28       0.41         1.61            23.59
   0 H Scotts Valley   ( 9- 4, 81.4)    13- 7      -18.49      18.15      -0.41         1.61            28.48
   0 H Salinas         ( 7- 7, 77.8)    10- 1      -22.13      14.51      -0.41         1.61            22.64
   0 H Stevenson Scho  (14- 4, 87.5)     6-12      -12.37      24.27      -0.41         1.61           -20.52
   0 H Monterey        ( 2-11, 75.5)    13- 5      -24.42      12.23      -0.41         1.61            18.97
   0 H Monte Vista Ch  ( 7-10, 77.5)    12- 9      -22.36      14.28      -0.41         1.61            22.27
   0 A Stevenson Scho  (14- 4, 87.5)     6-12      -12.37      24.27       0.41         1.61           -19.20
   0 A Salinas         ( 7- 7, 77.8)     4- 8      -22.13      14.51       0.41         1.61           -34.86
   0 A Scotts Valley   ( 9- 4, 81.4)     9-12      -18.49      18.15       0.41         1.61           -29.02
   0 A Monterey        ( 2-11, 75.5)    14- 7      -24.42      12.23       0.41         1.61            20.29
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        32.64

winning pts = 136.2359 losing points = -103.6007

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------