Covenant School
W-L: ( 4- 2) PR = 91.3824Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 H Rockbridge County ( 5- 3, 92.8) 12-11 410 A St Annes-Belfield ( 3- 0, 99.9) 5-16 416 H Madison (15- 4, 95.8) 11-16 422 H Trinity Episcopal ( 1- 2, 86.9) 18-13 501 H Trinity Christian ( 1- 2, 84.4) 18- 2 514 H Highland School ( 1- 3, 82.9) 21- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
324 H Rockbridge County 12-11 1 -1 1.68
410 A St Annes-Belfield 5-16 -11 -9 0.00
416 H Madison 11-16 -5 -4 -1.28
422 H Trinity Episcopal 18-13 5 5 0.00
501 H Trinity Christian 18- 2 16 8 0.00
514 H Highland School 21- 3 18 9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Covenant School Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Alexandria City | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Annandale | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Atlee | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Battlefield | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Bayside | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Benedictine | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Blacksburg | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Brentsville | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Briar Woods | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Broad Run | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Brooke Point | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Catholic HS | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cave Spring | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Centreville | Covenant School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Chantilly | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Charlottesville | Covenant School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Christchurch | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Christiansburg | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Clover Hill | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Colgan | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Collegiate School | |
| Colonial Forge | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cosby | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Culpeper County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Deep Run | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Dominion | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Eastern View | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| EC Glass | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Edison | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Episcopal | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Fairfax | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Falls Church | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Fauquier | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| First Colonial | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Flint Hill | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Fluvanna County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Forest Park | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Fork Union Military | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Franklin County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Gainesville | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Gar-field | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Glen Allen | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Goochland | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Grafton LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Grassfield LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Green Run | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Handley | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Hanover | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Hayfield | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Herndon | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Hickory LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Hidden Valley | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Highland School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Highland Springs | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Hylton | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Independence | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| James Monroe | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| James River | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Jamestown LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| John Champe | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Justice | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Kellam | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Kempsville | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Kettle Run | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Lafayette LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Lake Braddock | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Landstown | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Langley | Langley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Langley | |
| Lewis | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Lightridge | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Loudoun County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Marshall | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Massaponax | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Matoaca | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Maury LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| McLean | Covenant School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Mechanicsville | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Menchville LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Meridian | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Midlothian | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Mills Godwin | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Monacan | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Monticello | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Mount Vernon | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Mountain View | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| New Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| North Cross School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| North Stafford | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oakton | |
| Ocean Lakes | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Orange County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Osbourn | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Osbourn Park | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Park View | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Patriot | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Paul VI | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Potomac Falls | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Potomac School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Powhatan | Powhatan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Powhatan | |
| Princess Anne | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Riverbend | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Riverside | |
| Robinson | Covenant School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Rock Ridge | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Rockbridge County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Rockingham LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Salem | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Salem Virginia Beach | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Seton School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| South County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South Lakes | |
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Stafford | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Steward School | Covenant School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Covenant School | |
| Stone Bridge | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Strasburg LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Tabb LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Tallwood | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Tandem Friends | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Thomas Dale | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Trinity Christian | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Tuscarora | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Unity Reed | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Veritas School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Virginia Academy | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Wakefield HS | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Wakefield School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| West Potomac | Covenant School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| West Springfield | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Western Albemarle | |
| Westfield | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| William Byrd | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| William Fleming | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Woodbridge | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Woodgrove | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Woodson | Covenant School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| York LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 166
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 2.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Rockbridge Cou ( 5- 3, 92.8) 12-11 -7.15 22.43 -0.69 0.49 10.73
0 A St Annes-Belfi ( 3- 0, 99.9) 5-16 -0.00 29.58 0.69 0.49 -0.34
0 H Madison (15- 4, 95.8) 11-16 -4.10 25.48 -0.69 0.49 -2.36
0 H Trinity Episco ( 1- 2, 86.9) 18-13 -13.04 16.54 -0.69 0.49 7.82
0 H Trinity Christ ( 1- 2, 84.4) 18- 2 -15.50 14.08 -0.69 0.49 6.61
0 H Highland Schoo ( 1- 3, 82.9) 21- 3 -17.00 12.58 -0.69 0.49 5.87
------
28.31
|
winning pts = 31.0195 losing points = -2.7061
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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