---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:51 PDT

safe3step girls ConVal 1
  
ConVal                
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 81.6069

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 A Kearsarge ( 7- 8, 82.9) 3-13 416 A Inter-Lakes-Moultonbor ( 1-13, 76.5) 9- 4 418 H Belmont ( 0-14, 72.0) 14- 4 421 A John Stark (13- 3, 87.7) 5-10 422 A Alvirne ( 1-14, 76.4) 9- 5 506 H Trinity Manchester ( 5- 8, 81.8) 16-14 507 A Gilford (13- 3, 93.5) 4-19 512 A Derryfield (13- 5, 90.9) 5-14 513 A Plymouth ( 8- 7, 82.8) 8- 9 516 H Coe-Brown ( 9- 7, 87.7) 3-14 519 H Lebanon ( 9- 6, 85.6) 8-10 521 A Pembroke Academy ( 2-12, 78.2) 8- 9 523 H Bow (14- 4, 91.1) 4-18 528 H Bishop Brady ( 3- 9, 82.5) 13-12 530 H Concord Christian ( 2-12, 79.1) 18-14 603 A Hopkinton (15- 3, 91.5) 1-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Kearsarge               3-13     -10    -1    -     -3.54
   416 A Inter-Lakes-Moultonbor  9- 4       5     5           0.08
   418 H Belmont                14- 4      10    10           0.00
   421 A John Stark              5-10      -5    -6           0.00
   422 A Alvirne                 9- 5       4     5          -1.00
   506 H Trinity Manchester     16-14       2     0    +      2.09
   507 A Gilford                 4-19     -15   -12           0.00
   512 A Derryfield              5-14      -9    -9           0.00
   513 A Plymouth                8- 9      -1    -1           0.39
   516 H Coe-Brown               3-14     -11    -6           0.00
   519 H Lebanon                 8-10      -2    -4           1.84
   521 A Pembroke Academy        8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.28
   523 H Bow                     4-18     -14    -9           0.00
   528 H Bishop Brady           13-12       1    -1           1.74
   530 H Concord Christian      18-14       4     3           1.33
   603 A Hopkinton               1-20     -19   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Pembroke Academy        8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.28
   414 A Kearsarge               3-13     -10    -1    -     -3.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Trinity Manchester     16-14       2     0    +      2.09

ConVal Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alvirne ConVal ConVal  
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belmont ConVal ConVal  
Bishop Brady ConVal ConVal  
Bishop Guertin Bishop Guertin   Bishop Guertin
Bow Bow Bow  
Campbell ConVal insuffient: ( 5- 7)( 4- 8) ConVal
Coe-Brown Coe-Brown Coe-Brown  
Concord Concord   Concord
Concord Christian ConVal ConVal  
Derryfield Derryfield Derryfield  
Dover Dover   Dover
Exeter HS Exeter HS   Exeter HS
Gilford Gilford Gilford  
Goffstown Goffstown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Goffstown
Hanover Hanover tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hanover
Hollis-Brookline Hollis-Brookline tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hollis-Brookline
Hopkinton Hopkinton Hopkinton  
Inter-Lakes-Moultonborou ConVal ConVal  
John Stark John Stark John Stark  
Kearsarge Kearsarge Kearsarge  
Keene-Monadnock ConVal tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) ConVal
Kennett Kennett tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kennett
Kingswood Kingswood tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kingswood
Laconia Laconia Laconia   9- 4 vs 4- 9
Lebanon Lebanon Lebanon  
Londonderry Londonderry tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Londonderry
Manchester Central-West Manchester Central-West   Manchester Central-West
Manchester Memorial ConVal insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) ConVal
Merrimack Merrimack tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Merrimack
Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Merrimack Valley
Milford ConVal ConVal   4- 7 vs 1- 9
Nashua North Nashua North   Nashua North
Nashua South Nashua South insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Nashua South
Oyster River-Newmarket Oyster River-Newmarket tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Oyster River-Newmarket
Pelham Pelham Pelham   5- 6 vs 3- 8
Pembroke Academy Pembroke Academy Pembroke Academy  
Pinkerton Academy Pinkerton Academy   Pinkerton Academy
Plymouth Plymouth Plymouth  
Portsmouth Portsmouth   Portsmouth
Salem Salem   Salem
Souhegan Souhegan   Souhegan
Spaulding ConVal tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) ConVal
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas  11- 0 vs 2- 9
Timberlane Timberlane tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Timberlane
Trinity Manchester ConVal ConVal  
Windham Windham   Windham
Winnacunnet Winnacunnet tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winnacunnet

PowerWise = 11


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Kearsarge       ( 7- 8, 82.9)     3-13      -16.99      10.93       0.16         1.00           -16.79
   0 A Inter-Lakes-Mo  ( 1-13, 76.5)     9- 4      -23.37       4.56       0.16         1.00             4.70
   0 H Belmont         ( 0-14, 72.0)    14- 4      -27.93       1.00      -0.16         1.00             0.84
   0 A John Stark      (13- 3, 87.7)     5-10      -12.20      15.72       0.16         1.00           -12.02
   0 A Alvirne         ( 1-14, 76.4)     9- 5      -23.49       4.44       0.16         1.00             4.58
   0 H Trinity Manche  ( 5- 8, 81.8)    16-14      -18.05       9.88      -0.16         1.00             9.69
   0 A Gilford         (13- 3, 93.5)     4-19       -6.36      21.57       0.16         1.00            -6.19
   0 A Derryfield      (13- 5, 90.9)     5-14       -9.03      18.90       0.16         1.00            -8.85
   0 A Plymouth        ( 8- 7, 82.8)     8- 9      -17.06      10.87       0.16         1.00           -16.86
   0 H Coe-Brown       ( 9- 7, 87.7)     3-14      -12.17      15.75      -0.16         1.00           -12.30
   0 H Lebanon         ( 9- 6, 85.6)     8-10      -14.30      13.63      -0.16         1.00           -14.42
   0 A Pembroke Acade  ( 2-12, 78.2)     8- 9      -21.73       6.19       0.16         1.00           -21.52
   0 H Bow             (14- 4, 91.1)     4-18       -8.84      19.08      -0.16         1.00            -8.98
   0 H Bishop Brady    ( 3- 9, 82.5)    13-12      -17.40      10.53      -0.16         1.00            10.34
   0 H Concord Christ  ( 2-12, 79.1)    18-14      -20.81       7.12      -0.16         1.00             6.95
   0 A Hopkinton       (15- 3, 91.5)     1-20       -8.36      19.57       0.16         1.00            -8.18
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -88.99

winning pts = 37.1108 losing points = -126.1054

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------