Cony
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 92.2420Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 418 H Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 9-10 422 H Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 90.0) 10- 9 424 A Winslow/Lawrence ( 0-13, 82.2) 12- 3 429 H Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 16- 7 505 A Gardiner-Hall-Dale ( 9- 6, 91.0) 13-12 508 A Brunswick ( 5-10, 90.8) 10- 6 513 H Maranacook/Winthrop (11- 4, 94.7) 8- 9 515 H Oxford Hills Comp ( 5-11, 89.2) 17- 8 517 A Houlton ( 4- 8, 85.6) 17- 4 520 H Lincoln Academy (10- 4, 92.5) 3-10 521 A Lewiston ( 1-13, 86.7) 6- 4 528 A Deering ( 1-13, 83.8) 15- 7 530 H Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 11- 8 602 A Bangor ( 9- 6, 89.7) 10- 7 614 N Camden Hills Regional (12- 5, 92.5) 8-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
418 H Mount Ararat 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.50
422 H Erskine Academy 10- 9 1 3 -1.72
424 A Winslow/Lawrence 12- 3 9 10 0.00
429 H Morse-Boothbay 16- 7 9 2 + 2.92
505 A Gardiner-Hall-Dale 13-12 1 1 0.30
508 A Brunswick 10- 6 4 1 + 3.03
513 H Maranacook/Winthrop 8- 9 -1 -2 0.99
515 H Oxford Hills Comp 17- 8 9 4 1.42
517 A Houlton 17- 4 13 6 0.00
520 H Lincoln Academy 3-10 -7 0 -- -5.25
521 A Lewiston 6- 4 2 5 - -3.00
528 A Deering 15- 7 8 8 0.00
530 H Messalonskee 11- 8 3 2 0.61
602 A Bangor 10- 7 3 2 0.94
614 N Camden Hills Regional 8-11 -3 0 - -2.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 H Lincoln Academy 3-10 -7 0 -- -5.25 521 A Lewiston 6- 4 2 5 - -3.00 614 N Camden Hills Regional 8-11 -3 0 - -2.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Mount Ararat 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.50 429 H Morse-Boothbay 16- 7 9 2 + 2.92 508 A Brunswick 10- 6 4 1 + 3.03 |
Cony Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Cony | Cony | ||
| Biddeford | Cony | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cony | |
| Bonny Eagle | Cony | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cony | |
| Brewer/Hampden | Cony | Cony 7- 3 vs 1- 9 | ||
| Brunswick | Cony | Cony | ||
| Camden Hills Regional | Camden Hills Regional | Camden Hills Regional | ||
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cape Elizabeth | |
| Cheverus | Cheverus | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Cheverus | |
| Deering | Cony | Cony | ||
| Edward Little | Cony | Cony 8- 1 vs 1- 8 | ||
| Erskine Academy | Cony | Cony | ||
| Falmouth | Falmouth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Falmouth | |
| Freeport | Freeport | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Freeport | |
| Fryeburg Academy | Cony | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cony | |
| Gardiner-Hall-Dale | Cony | Cony | ||
| Gorham | Gorham | Gorham | ||
| Gray-New Gloucester/Pola | Cony | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Cony | |
| Greely | Greely | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Greely | |
| Houlton | Cony | Cony | ||
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | Kennebunk | ||
| Lake Region | Cony | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Cony | |
| Lewiston | Cony | Cony | ||
| Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop | ||
| Marshwood | Marshwood | Marshwood | ||
| Massabesic | Massabesic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Massabesic | |
| MCI/Nokomis | Cony | Cony 6- 3 vs 1- 8 | ||
| Messalonskee | Cony | Cony | ||
| Morse-Boothbay | Cony | Cony | ||
| Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Mount Blue | Cony | Cony 7- 3 vs 4- 6 | ||
| Noble | Cony | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cony | |
| North Yarmouth Academy | North Yarmouth Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Yarmouth Academy | |
| Oceanside | Cony | Cony | ||
| Oxford Hills Comp | Cony | Cony | ||
| Portland | Cony | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Cony | |
| Sanford | Sanford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sanford | |
| Scarborough | Scarborough | Scarborough | ||
| South Portland | Cony | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Cony | |
| St Dominic Academy | Cony | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cony | |
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Thornton Academy | |
| Traip Academy | Traip Academy | Traip Academy | ||
| Waynflete School | Waynflete School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Waynflete School | |
| Wells | Wells | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wells | |
| Westbrook | Cony | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Cony | |
| Windham | Windham | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Windham | |
| Winslow/Lawrence | Cony | Cony | ||
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Yarmouth | |
| York | York | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | York |
PowerWise = 26
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 9-10 -3.64 15.11 -0.51 0.98 -4.09
0 H Erskine Academ ( 8- 7, 90.0) 10- 9 -9.86 8.89 -0.51 0.98 8.24
0 A Winslow/Lawren ( 0-13, 82.2) 12- 3 -17.67 1.07 0.51 0.98 1.56
0 H Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 16- 7 -9.23 9.52 -0.51 0.98 8.86
0 A Gardiner-Hall- ( 9- 6, 91.0) 13-12 -8.87 9.87 0.51 0.98 10.22
0 A Brunswick ( 5-10, 90.8) 10- 6 -9.14 9.60 0.51 0.98 9.96
0 H Maranacook/Win (11- 4, 94.7) 8- 9 -5.15 13.60 -0.51 0.98 -5.57
0 H Oxford Hills C ( 5-11, 89.2) 17- 8 -10.72 8.02 -0.51 0.98 7.39
0 A Houlton ( 4- 8, 85.6) 17- 4 -14.26 4.49 0.51 0.98 4.92
0 H Lincoln Academ (10- 4, 92.5) 3-10 -7.39 11.36 -0.51 0.98 -7.78
0 A Lewiston ( 1-13, 86.7) 6- 4 -13.22 5.53 0.51 0.98 5.95
0 A Deering ( 1-13, 83.8) 15- 7 -16.07 2.68 0.51 0.98 3.14
0 H Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 11- 8 -9.53 9.21 -0.51 0.98 8.56
0 A Bangor ( 9- 6, 89.7) 10- 7 -10.23 8.51 0.51 0.98 8.88
0 N Camden Hills R (12- 5, 92.5) 8-11 -7.36 11.39 -0.00 0.98 -7.24
------
52.99
|
winning pts = 77.6774 losing points = -24.6828
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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