---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Concord 1
  
Concord               
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 83.1950

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 326 H Lake Forest ( 0- 9, 69.6) 15- 2 328 H Newark ( 1-11, 69.2) 16- 4 401 H Mt Pleasant ( 0-13, 66.3) 18- 7 403 H Odessa (12- 4, 83.7) 14-13 408 A Caravel Academy (10- 4, 90.3) 1-14 414 A Padua Academy ( 4-11, 82.4) 14-13 416 A St Georges Tech ( 5-10, 74.8) 18- 7 417 H Brandywine ( 9- 5, 78.7) 14-10 428 A Sanford School ( 9- 9, 89.3) 7-18 430 A Hodgson Vo-Tech ( 8- 7, 74.5) 19- 3 501 H Conrad School ( 4- 9, 74.1) 18- 5 505 A Milford (11- 6, 88.1) 8-19 507 A St Marks (11- 5, 87.6) 9-19 512 H Wilmington Friends (12- 5, 91.4) 6-21 514 A Tower Hill School (17- 1, 96.2) 3-21 517 H Smyrna (10- 7, 85.7) 14-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Lake Forest            15- 2      13    14           0.00
   328 H Newark                 16- 4      12    14           0.00
   401 H Mt Pleasant            18- 7      11    17           0.00
   403 H Odessa                 14-13       1     0           1.49
   408 A Caravel Academy         1-14     -13    -7           0.00
   414 A Padua Academy          14-13       1     1           0.22
   416 A St Georges Tech        18- 7      11     8           0.00
   417 H Brandywine             14-10       4     5          -0.57
   428 A Sanford School          7-18     -11    -6           0.00
   430 A Hodgson Vo-Tech        19- 3      16     9           0.00
   501 H Conrad School          18- 5      13     9           0.00
   505 A Milford                 8-19     -11    -5          -0.08
   507 A St Marks                9-19     -10    -4          -0.50
   512 H Wilmington Friends      6-21     -15    -8           0.00
   514 A Tower Hill School       3-21     -18   -13           0.00
   517 H Smyrna                 14-17      -3    -2          -0.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Concord Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Glasglow Concord   Concord
Appoquinimink Concord Concord   5- 4 vs 3- 6
Archmere Academy Archmere Academy Archmere Academy   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Brandywine Concord Concord  
Caesar Rodney Caesar Rodney Caesar Rodney   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Cape Henlopen Cape Henlopen Cape Henlopen   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Caravel Academy Caravel Academy Caravel Academy  
Christiana Concord Concord   7- 1 vs 2- 6
Conrad School Concord Concord  
Delaware Military Academ Concord Concord   6- 2 vs 4- 4
Dover Concord insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) Concord
Hodgson Vo-Tech Concord Concord  
Indian River Concord tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Concord
Lake Forest Concord Concord  
Middletown Concord insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 4) Concord
Milford Milford Milford  
Mt Pleasant Concord Concord  
Newark Concord Concord  
Newark Charter School Concord Concord   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Odessa Concord Concord  
Padua Academy Concord Concord  
Polytech Concord insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Concord
Sanford School Sanford School Sanford School  
Smyrna Smyrna Smyrna  
St Andrews St Andrews insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 3) St Andrews
St Georges Tech Concord Concord  
St Marks St Marks St Marks  
Sussex Academy Sussex Academy Sussex Academy   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Sussex Tech Concord   Concord
Tatnall School Tatnall School Tatnall School   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Tower Hill School Tower Hill School Tower Hill School  
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5) Ursuline Academy
Wilmington Charter Concord insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) Concord
Wilmington Friends Wilmington Friends Wilmington Friends  

PowerWise = 20


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Lake Forest     ( 0- 9, 69.6)    15- 2      -30.27       3.33      -0.05         0.86             2.83
   0 H Newark          ( 1-11, 69.2)    16- 4      -30.68       2.93      -0.05         0.86             2.48
   0 H Mt Pleasant     ( 0-13, 66.3)    18- 7      -33.61       1.00      -0.05         0.86             0.82
   0 H Odessa          (12- 4, 83.7)    14-13      -16.16      17.45      -0.05         0.86            15.03
   0 A Caravel Academ  (10- 4, 90.3)     1-14       -9.61      24.00       0.05         0.86            -8.26
   0 A Padua Academy   ( 4-11, 82.4)    14-13      -17.54      16.06       0.05         0.86            13.93
   0 A St Georges Tec  ( 5-10, 74.8)    18- 7      -25.05       8.55       0.05         0.86             7.44
   0 H Brandywine      ( 9- 5, 78.7)    14-10      -21.22      12.38      -0.05         0.86            10.66
   0 A Sanford School  ( 9- 9, 89.3)     7-18      -10.65      22.96       0.05         0.86            -9.16
   0 A Hodgson Vo-Tec  ( 8- 7, 74.5)    19- 3      -25.39       8.21       0.05         0.86             7.14
   0 H Conrad School   ( 4- 9, 74.1)    18- 5      -25.81       7.80      -0.05         0.86             6.69
   0 A Milford         (11- 6, 88.1)     8-19      -11.84      21.76       0.05         0.86           -10.19
   0 A St Marks        (11- 5, 87.6)     9-19      -12.26      21.34       0.05         0.86           -10.55
   0 H Wilmington Fri  (12- 5, 91.4)     6-21       -8.53      25.07      -0.05         0.86            -7.42
   0 A Tower Hill Sch  (17- 1, 96.2)     3-21       -3.74      29.86       0.05         0.86            -3.19
   0 H Smyrna          (10- 7, 85.7)    14-17      -14.18      19.43      -0.05         0.86           -12.30
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         5.96

winning pts = 67.0275 losing points = -61.0660

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------