Conard
W-L: (18- 2) PR = 92.3329Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Lewis Mills (14- 5, 79.9) 19- 2 408 H Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 17- 4 411 H Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 11- 8 414 A Newtown (13- 8, 87.9) 8- 7 417 A Amity Regional (15- 6, 89.2) 11-18 423 A Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 13- 5 425 A Avon HS ( 1-14, 78.1) 18- 4 426 H Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 19- 4 429 H Northwest Catholic ( 8-11, 78.4) 20- 6 502 A South Windsor ( 3-12, 77.5) 19- 4 506 A Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 13- 7 508 H Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 17- 1 513 A Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 19- 6 515 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 17- 4 517 H Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 19- 7 521 H Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 17- 5 527 H Northwest Catholic ( 8-11, 78.4) 19- 3 529 H Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 11- 5 603 H Trumbull (10- 7, 81.1) 17- 1 606 A Ridgefield (11- 5, 93.9) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Lewis Mills 19- 2 17 13 0.00
408 H Tolland 17- 4 13 12 0.00
411 H Cheshire HS 11- 8 3 3 0.11
414 A Newtown 8- 7 1 4 - -2.72
417 A Amity Regional 11-18 -7 2 --- -7.45
423 A Southington 13- 5 8 10 0.00
425 A Avon HS 18- 4 14 14 0.00
426 H Branford 19- 4 15 7 0.00
429 H Northwest Catholic 20- 6 14 15 0.00
502 A South Windsor 19- 4 15 14 0.00
506 A Simsbury 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.37
508 H Farmington 17- 1 16 10 0.00
513 A Glastonbury 19- 6 13 10 0.00
515 H Newington 17- 4 13 15 0.00
517 H Staples 19- 7 12 3 1.51
521 H Hall 17- 5 12 10 0.00
527 H Northwest Catholic 19- 3 16 15 0.00
529 H Simsbury 11- 5 6 2 + 2.92
603 H Trumbull 17- 1 16 12 0.00
606 A Ridgefield 12-13 -1 -2 1.31
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Amity Regional 11-18 -7 2 --- -7.45 414 A Newtown 8- 7 1 4 - -2.72 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 A Simsbury 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.37 529 H Simsbury 11- 5 6 2 + 2.92 |
Conard Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | Conard | Conard | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Berlin | Conard | Conard 7- 0 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Bethel | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Branford | Conard | Conard | ||
| Brien McMahon | Conard | Conard 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Bristol Central | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Bristol Eastern | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Brookfield | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Canton | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Cheshire HS | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Conard | Conard | ||
| Danbury | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Daniel Hand | Conard | Conard 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Darien | Darien | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Darien | |
| East Catholic | Conard | Conard 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| East Lyme | Conard | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) | Conard | |
| Ellington | Conard | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Conard | |
| Enfield | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| EO Smith | Conard | Conard 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Conard | Conard 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Farmington | Conard | Conard | ||
| Fitch | Conard | Conard | ||
| Foran | Conard | Conard 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Glastonbury | Conard | Conard | ||
| Granby Memorial | Conard | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Conard | |
| Greenwich HS | Conard | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Conard | |
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Conard | Conard | ||
| Guilford | Conard | Conard 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Conard | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Conard | |
| Hall | Conard | Conard | ||
| Hamden | Conard | Conard 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Conard | Conard | ||
| Immaculate Heart | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Joel Barlow | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Jonathan Law | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Killingly | Conard | Conard | ||
| Lakeview United | Conard | Conard | ||
| Lauralton Hall | Conard | Conard 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Ledyard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Lewis Mills | Conard | Conard | ||
| Lyman Hall | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Masuk | Conard | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Conard | |
| Mercy | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Montville | Conard | Conard | ||
| Morgan School | Conard | Conard | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | Conard | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Conard | |
| New London/St Bernards | Conard | Conard | ||
| New Milford | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Newington | Conard | Conard | ||
| Newtown | Conard | Conard | ||
| North Branford | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| North Haven | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Northwest Catholic | Conard | Conard | ||
| Norwalk | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Norwich Free Academy | Conard | Conard | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Old Lyme | Conard | Conard | ||
| Old Saybrook | Conard | Conard | ||
| Pomperaug | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| RHAM | Conard | Conard 7- 0 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Conard | Conard | ||
| Rocky Hill | Conard | Conard 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Conard | Conard 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Sheehan | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Shelton | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Simsbury | Conard | Conard | ||
| Somers | Conard | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Conard | |
| South Windsor | Conard | Conard | ||
| Southington | Conard | Conard | ||
| St Joseph | Conard | Conard 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stamford | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Staples | Conard | Conard | ||
| Stonington | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Stratford-Bunnell | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Suffield HS | Conard | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Conard | |
| Tolland | Conard | Conard | ||
| Trumbull | Conard | Conard | ||
| Valley Regional | Conard | Conard | ||
| Waterford | Conard | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Conard | |
| Watertown | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| West Haven | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Westhill | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Weston | Conard | Conard 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wethersfield | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wheeler | Conard | Conard | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Windsor | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wolcott | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Woodstock Academy | Conard | Conard |
PowerWise = 91
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Lewis Mills (14- 5, 79.9) 19- 2 -20.04 14.77 -0.73 0.88 12.30
0 H Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 17- 4 -18.71 16.10 -0.73 0.88 13.46
0 H Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 11- 8 -9.73 25.08 -0.73 0.88 21.31
0 A Newtown (13- 8, 87.9) 8- 7 -12.01 22.80 0.73 0.88 20.59
0 A Amity Regional (15- 6, 89.2) 11-18 -10.74 24.07 0.73 0.88 -8.77
0 A Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 13- 5 -18.17 16.64 0.73 0.88 15.20
0 A Avon HS ( 1-14, 78.1) 18- 4 -21.80 13.00 0.73 0.88 12.02
0 H Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 19- 4 -14.26 20.55 -0.73 0.88 17.35
0 H Northwest Cath ( 8-11, 78.4) 20- 6 -21.50 13.31 -0.73 0.88 11.02
0 A South Windsor ( 3-12, 77.5) 19- 4 -22.37 12.44 0.73 0.88 11.52
0 A Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 13- 7 -8.92 25.89 0.73 0.88 23.30
0 H Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 17- 1 -16.60 18.20 -0.73 0.88 15.30
0 A Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 19- 6 -18.48 16.33 0.73 0.88 14.93
0 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 17- 4 -22.13 12.68 -0.73 0.88 10.46
0 H Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 19- 7 -10.33 24.48 -0.73 0.88 20.79
0 H Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 17- 5 -16.99 17.82 -0.73 0.88 14.96
0 H Northwest Cath ( 8-11, 78.4) 19- 3 -21.50 13.31 -0.73 0.88 11.02
0 H Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 11- 5 -8.92 25.89 -0.73 0.88 22.02
0 H Trumbull (10- 7, 81.1) 17- 1 -18.75 16.06 -0.73 0.88 13.42
0 A Ridgefield (11- 5, 93.9) 12-13 -5.98 28.83 0.73 0.88 -4.60
------
267.59
|
winning pts = 280.9549 losing points = -13.3642
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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