List of girl Div 17 Conard List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Newtown                10-11      -1     1    -     -2.68
   409 H Southington            11- 9       2     3          -1.40
   412 A EO Smith               14- 0      14    23           0.00
   415 H Wethersfield           15- 2      13    23           0.00
   416 H Bristol Eastern        14- 2      12    16           0.00
   419 A Cheshire HS             9- 8       1     2          -1.23
   422 H Avon HS                16- 2      14    10           0.00
   424 A Farmington             11- 9       2     3          -1.87
   430 A Bristol Central        18- 1      17    25           0.00
   502 H RHAM                   17- 1      16    20           0.00
   504 H Amity Regional         13-17      -4     0    --    -4.25
   507 H Simsbury               16- 6      10     1    ++     5.83
   509 H Rocky Hill             16- 1      15    21           0.00
   513 A Northwest Catholic     13- 2      11    18           0.00
   514 H Glastonbury            15- 3      12     6           0.45
   516 A Hall                   13- 8       5     7    -     -2.00
   520 H Avon HS                18- 5      13    10           0.00
   522 H Simsbury                9- 7       2     1           0.83
   528 H Southington            12-11       1     3    -     -2.40
   530 A New Canaan              4-15     -11   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Amity Regional         13-17      -4     0    --    -4.25
   402 H Newtown                10-11      -1     1    -     -2.68
   516 A Hall                   13- 8       5     7    -     -2.00
   528 H Southington            12-11       1     3    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Simsbury               16- 6      10     1    ++     5.83



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 83.56 Power Rank.................    10
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 49.43 SOS (PR) Rank..............    26
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7168 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     3
 RPI Rating............... .6445 RPI Rank...................     7
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    18
 Selection sum ...........    15 Selection Rank ............     3
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  100. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     8
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  110. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     5
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  13.2 Ave Defensive Goals .......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7