List of girl Div 17 Conard List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Lewis Mills            19- 2      17    17           0.00
   408 H Tolland                17- 4      13    15           0.00
   411 H Cheshire HS            11- 8       3     3          -0.73
   414 A Newtown                 8- 7       1     4    -     -3.40
   417 A Amity Regional         11-18      -7     2    ---   -9.39
   423 A Southington            13- 5       8    11           0.00
   425 A Avon HS                18- 4      14    19           0.00
   426 H Branford               19- 4      15     8           0.00
   429 H Northwest Catholic     20- 6      14    21           0.00
   502 A South Windsor          19- 4      15    19           0.00
   506 A Simsbury               13- 7       6     0    ++     5.40
   508 H Farmington             17- 1      16    13           0.00
   513 A Glastonbury            19- 6      13    12           0.00
   515 H Newington              17- 4      13    20           0.00
   517 H Staples                19- 7      12     4    +      2.12
   521 H Hall                   17- 5      12    12           0.00
   527 H Northwest Catholic     19- 3      16    21           0.00
   529 H Simsbury               11- 5       6     2    +      3.48
   603 H Trumbull               17- 1      16    15           0.00
   606 A Ridgefield             12-13      -1    -4    +      3.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Amity Regional         11-18      -7     2    ---   -9.39
   414 A Newtown                 8- 7       1     4    -     -3.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Simsbury               13- 7       6     0    ++     5.40
   517 H Staples                19- 7      12     4    +      2.12
   529 H Simsbury               11- 5       6     2    +      3.48
   606 A Ridgefield             12-13      -1    -4    +      3.03



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 84.86 Power Rank.................     5
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 47.74 SOS (PR) Rank..............    14
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7173 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     3
 RPI Rating............... .6846 RPI Rank...................     5
 Champ. Probability ......   2.0 Championship Rank .........     5
 Selection sum ...........    10 Selection Rank ............     2
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  140. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     4
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  165. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     2
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  15.8 Ave Defensive Goals .......    5.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   10.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.0