Colchester
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 89.4173Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 A Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 3-14 429 A St Johnsbury Academy (10- 6, 95.4) 2-16 502 H Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 12- 1 505 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 8-16 506 A Lyndon Institute ( 1-13, 82.5) 18- 4 508 A Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 5-20 512 A Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 17- 3 514 H Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 11-18 516 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 7-17 519 H Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 15- 2 523 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 14-13 524 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 6- 5 528 H Green Mountain Valley (13- 1, 99.6) 2-15 530 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 4-14 604 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 A Mt Mansfield Union 3-14 -11 -5 -0.48
429 A St Johnsbury Academy 2-16 -14 -6 0.00
502 H Lamoille Union 12- 1 11 7 0.00
505 H U-32 8-16 -8 -6 0.00
506 A Lyndon Institute 18- 4 14 6 0.00
508 A Middlebury Union 5-20 -15 -8 0.00
512 A Milton 17- 3 14 5 0.05
514 H Burlington 11-18 -7 -4 -0.68
516 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham 7-17 -10 -4 -0.76
519 H Milton 15- 2 13 6 0.00
523 A Harwood Union 14-13 1 -3 + 3.76
524 H Spaulding 6- 5 1 1 0.05
528 H Green Mountain Valley 2-15 -13 -10 0.00
530 A Rice Memorial 4-14 -10 -7 0.00
604 H Spaulding 10-11 -1 1 -1.95
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 A Harwood Union 14-13 1 -3 + 3.76 |
Colchester Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy - S | Bellows Free Academy - S | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 3) | Bellows Free Academy - S | |
| Brattleboro Union | Brattleboro Union | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Brattleboro Union | |
| Burlington | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Burr & Burton Academy | |
| Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Essex | Essex | Essex 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | ||
| Hartford | Hartford | Hartford 10- 1 vs 4- 8 | ||
| Harwood Union | Colchester | Colchester | ||
| Lamoille Union | Colchester | Colchester | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Colchester | Colchester | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Milton | Colchester | Colchester | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | ||
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | ||
| Rutland | Rutland | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) | Rutland | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | South Burlington 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Spaulding | Colchester | tied - ( 4- 6) ( 4- 6) | Colchester | |
| St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Stowe | Stowe | tied - ( 4- 7) ( 4- 6) | Stowe | |
| Stratton Mountain School | Stratton Mountain School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stratton Mountain School | |
| U-32 | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Vergennes/Mt Abraham | Vergennes/Mt Abraham | Vergennes/Mt Abraham | ||
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union 4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
PowerWise = 5
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Mt Mansfield U ( 4-12, 93.5) 3-14 -6.44 10.96 0.48 1.04 -6.18
0 A St Johnsbury A (10- 6, 95.4) 2-16 -4.47 12.93 0.48 1.04 -4.13
0 H Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 12- 1 -17.40 1.00 -0.48 1.04 0.54
0 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 8-16 -4.24 13.16 -0.48 1.04 -4.89
0 A Lyndon Institu ( 1-13, 82.5) 18- 4 -17.39 1.00 0.48 1.04 1.53
0 A Middlebury Uni (11- 4, 96.5) 5-20 -3.36 14.04 0.48 1.04 -2.99
0 A Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 17- 3 -15.91 1.49 0.48 1.04 2.04
0 H Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 11-18 -5.68 11.72 -0.48 1.04 -6.38
0 A Vergennes/Mt A ( 8- 9, 93.2) 7-17 -6.72 10.68 0.48 1.04 -6.47
0 H Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 15- 2 -15.91 1.49 -0.48 1.04 1.05
0 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 14-13 -8.20 9.21 0.48 1.04 10.03
0 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 6- 5 -10.95 6.45 -0.48 1.04 6.19
0 H Green Mountain (13- 1, 99.6) 2-15 -0.32 17.08 -0.48 1.04 -0.83
0 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 4-14 -3.80 13.60 0.48 1.04 -3.45
0 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 10-11 -10.95 6.45 -0.48 1.04 -11.84
------
-25.78
|
winning pts = 21.3738 losing points = -47.1537
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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