Rochester Century
W-L: (11- 3) PR = 81.2227Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 412 H Lakeville North ( 5-11, 79.5) 9- 8 414 H Owatonna (11- 4, 80.8) 10- 6 424 A Rochester Mayo ( 6- 8, 77.6) 10- 8 426 H Farmington (11- 5, 90.3) 3-18 429 H Mankato Co-Op ( 6- 9, 77.7) 12- 8 501 H Northfield ( 1-14, 74.0) 15- 5 505 A Rochester JM/Lourdes ( 1-10, 73.3) 20- 6 508 A Owatonna (11- 4, 80.8) 9- 8 510 A New Prague ( 7- 8, 84.0) 3-16 512 H Rochester Mayo ( 6- 8, 77.6) 13- 9 515 A Mankato Co-Op ( 6- 9, 77.7) 12- 8 522 H Rochester JM/Lourdes ( 1-10, 73.3) 18-10 523 A Northfield ( 1-14, 74.0) 15- 9 528 H New Prague ( 7- 8, 84.0) 5- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 H Lakeville North 9- 8 1 2 -1.30
414 H Owatonna 10- 6 4 1 + 2.99
424 A Rochester Mayo 10- 8 2 3 -1.03
426 H Farmington 3-18 -15 -9 0.00
429 H Mankato Co-Op 12- 8 4 4 -0.15
501 H Northfield 15- 5 10 8 0.00
505 A Rochester JM/Lourdes 20- 6 14 7 0.00
508 A Owatonna 9- 8 1 0 1.18
510 A New Prague 3-16 -13 -3 -1.68
512 H Rochester Mayo 13- 9 4 4 -0.21
515 A Mankato Co-Op 12- 8 4 3 1.03
522 H Rochester JM/Lourdes 18-10 8 9 0.00
523 A Northfield 15- 9 6 7 0.00
528 H New Prague 5- 8 -3 -2 -0.86
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Owatonna 10- 6 4 1 + 2.99 |
Rochester Century Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andover | Andover | Andover | ||
| Anoka | Anoka | Anoka | ||
| Apple Valley | Rochester Century | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Rochester Century | |
| Becker | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Benilde-St Margarets | Benilde-St Margarets | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Benilde-St Margarets | |
| Big Lake | Rochester Century | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rochester Century | |
| Blaine | Blaine | Blaine | ||
| Blake School | Blake School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Blake School | |
| Bloomington Jefferson | Bloomington Jefferson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bloomington Jefferson | |
| Bloomington Kennedy/Burn | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Brainerd | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Breck School | Breck School | Breck School | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Champlin Park | Champlin Park | Champlin Park | ||
| Chanhassen | Chanhassen | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Chanhassen | |
| Chaska | Chaska | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Chaska | |
| Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | ||
| Columbia Heights | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | ||
| Delano/Rockford | Delano/Rockford | Delano/Rockford | ||
| Duluth Co-Op | Duluth Co-Op | Duluth Co-Op | ||
| Duluth Marshall | Duluth Marshall | Duluth Marshall | ||
| East Ridge | East Ridge | East Ridge | ||
| Eastview/Eagan | Rochester Century | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Rochester Century | |
| Eden Prairie | Eden Prairie | Eden Prairie | ||
| Edina | Edina | Edina | ||
| Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Forest Lake | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Gentry/Mounds Park Acade | Gentry/Mounds Park Acade | Gentry/Mounds Park Acade | ||
| Grand Rapids-Greenway | Grand Rapids-Greenway | Grand Rapids-Greenway | ||
| Hastings | Rochester Century | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rochester Century | |
| Hermantown-Proctor | Hermantown-Proctor | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hermantown-Proctor | |
| Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Holy Angels Academy | Holy Angels Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holy Angels Academy | |
| Holy Family Catholic | Holy Family Catholic | Holy Family Catholic | ||
| Hopkins | Hopkins | Hopkins | ||
| Hutchinson | Hutchinson | Hutchinson | ||
| Irondale | Rochester Century | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rochester Century | |
| Lakeville North | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Lakeville South | Lakeville South | Lakeville South 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Mahtomedi | Mahtomedi | Mahtomedi | ||
| Mankato Co-Op | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Maple Grove | Maple Grove | Maple Grove | ||
| Minneapolis Co-Op | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Minnetonka | Minnetonka | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Minnetonka | |
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Moorhead | Moorhead | Moorhead | ||
| Mound Westonka | Mound Westonka | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mound Westonka | |
| Mounds View | Mounds View | Mounds View | ||
| New Prague | New Prague | New Prague | ||
| Northfield | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Orono | Orono | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Orono | |
| Osseo-Park Center | Osseo-Park Center | Osseo-Park Center | ||
| Owatonna | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Park of Cottage Grove | Park of Cottage Grove | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Park of Cottage Grove | |
| Prior Lake | Prior Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Prior Lake | |
| Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co | Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co | Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co | ||
| Rochester JM/Lourdes | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Rochester Mayo | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Rocori | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Rogers | Rogers | Rogers | ||
| Rosemount | Rosemount | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Rosemount | |
| Roseville | Roseville | Roseville | ||
| Sartell-Sauk Rapids | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Shakopee | Shakopee | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Shakopee | |
| Simley | Simley | Simley | ||
| Southwest Christian | Southwest Christian | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Southwest Christian | |
| Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra | Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra | Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra | ||
| St Cloud Area | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| St Croix Prep | St Croix Prep | St Croix Prep | ||
| St Louis Park | St Louis Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Louis Park | |
| St Michael-Albertville | St Michael-Albertville | St Michael-Albertville | ||
| St Paul Academy | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| St Paul/Two Rivers | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Stillwater | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Tartan/North St Paul | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Totino-Grace | Totino-Grace | Totino-Grace | ||
| Visitation | Rochester Century | Rochester Century | ||
| Waconia | Rochester Century | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rochester Century | |
| Wayzata | Wayzata | Wayzata | ||
| White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | ||
| Woodbury | Woodbury | Woodbury |
PowerWise = 24
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Lakeville Nort ( 5-11, 79.5) 9- 8 -20.39 12.67 -0.59 1.05 12.67
0 H Owatonna (11- 4, 80.8) 10- 6 -19.09 13.97 -0.59 1.05 14.03
0 A Rochester Mayo ( 6- 8, 77.6) 10- 8 -22.30 10.76 0.59 1.05 11.91
0 H Farmington (11- 5, 90.3) 3-18 -9.55 23.50 -0.59 1.05 -10.64
0 H Mankato Co-Op ( 6- 9, 77.7) 12- 8 -22.24 10.82 -0.59 1.05 10.73
0 H Northfield ( 1-14, 74.0) 15- 5 -25.88 7.18 -0.59 1.05 6.90
0 A Rochester JM/L ( 1-10, 73.3) 20- 6 -26.64 6.42 0.59 1.05 7.35
0 A Owatonna (11- 4, 80.8) 9- 8 -19.09 13.97 0.59 1.05 15.27
0 A New Prague ( 7- 8, 84.0) 3-16 -15.95 17.11 0.59 1.05 -16.10
0 H Rochester Mayo ( 6- 8, 77.6) 13- 9 -22.30 10.76 -0.59 1.05 10.66
0 A Mankato Co-Op ( 6- 9, 77.7) 12- 8 -22.24 10.82 0.59 1.05 11.97
0 H Rochester JM/L ( 1-10, 73.3) 18-10 -26.64 6.42 -0.59 1.05 6.11
0 A Northfield ( 1-14, 74.0) 15- 9 -25.88 7.18 0.59 1.05 8.15
0 H New Prague ( 7- 8, 84.0) 5- 8 -15.95 17.11 -0.59 1.05 -17.34
------
71.67
|
winning pts = 115.7544 losing points = -44.0867
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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