---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:57 PDT

safe3step girls Commack 1
  
Commack               
W-L: (16- 2) PR = 92.6814

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 A Syosset ( 4-13, 87.9) 20- 9 329 H Comsewogue ( 7- 9, 90.6) 12- 9 402 A Sachem East ( 7- 8, 84.9) 17- 8 404 H Longwood (10- 8, 88.7) 16- 7 411 H Half Hollow Hills ( 9- 8, 83.8) 15- 4 415 A Smithtown East ( 5-10, 83.1) 18- 2 421 A Ward Melville (12- 6, 91.4) 13- 9 423 H Huntington (18- 3, 91.7) 7- 9 425 H Northport (13- 4, 91.0) 11- 6 429 A Patchogue-Medford (10- 7, 87.6) 12- 8 501 A Connetquot (11- 7, 89.4) 14- 7 505 A Walt Whitman ( 5-11, 79.7) 20- 6 508 H Bay Shore (10- 7, 85.9) 13- 3 512 H Lindenhurst ( 2-13, 75.2) 18- 4 514 A Sachem North (11- 6, 87.1) 14- 4 516 H William Floyd (10- 7, 88.5) 12- 9 523 H Longwood (10- 8, 88.7) 11- 8 528 H Ward Melville (12- 6, 91.4) 7- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Syosset                20- 9      11     4           0.60
   329 H Comsewogue             12- 9       3     2           0.53
   402 A Sachem East            17- 8       9     7           0.00
   404 H Longwood               16- 7       9     4           0.66
   411 H Half Hollow Hills      15- 4      11     9           0.00
   415 A Smithtown East         18- 2      16     9           0.00
   421 A Ward Melville          13- 9       4     1    +      3.13
   423 H Huntington              7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.33
   425 H Northport              11- 6       5     2    +      2.95
   429 A Patchogue-Medford      12- 8       4     5          -0.74
   501 A Connetquot             14- 7       7     3    +      2.09
   505 A Walt Whitman           20- 6      14    13           0.00
   508 H Bay Shore              13- 3      10     7           0.00
   512 H Lindenhurst            18- 4      14    18           0.00
   514 A Sachem North           14- 4      10     5           0.00
   516 H William Floyd          12- 9       3     5          -1.56
   523 H Longwood               11- 8       3     4          -1.34
   528 H Ward Melville           7- 8      -1     2    -     -2.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Huntington              7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.33
   528 H Ward Melville           7- 8      -1     2    -     -2.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Ward Melville          13- 9       4     1    +      3.13
   425 H Northport              11- 6       5     2    +      2.95
   501 A Connetquot             14- 7       7     3    +      2.09

Commack Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
AP Randolph Commack   Commack
Avenues Commack   Commack
Bayside Commack   Commack
Beach-Channel Commack   Commack
Benjamin Cardozo Commack   Commack
Brearley School Commack   Commack
Bronx HS Science Commack   Commack
Brooklyn Technical Commack   Commack
Chapin School Commack   Commack
Christopher Columbus Commack   Commack
Columbia Prep Commack   Commack
Convent-Sacred Heart Commack   Commack
Curtis Commack   Commack
Dalton School Commack   Commack
Fieldston School Commack   Commack
Forest Hills Commack   Commack
Fort Hamilton Commack   Commack
Frederick Douglass Commack   Commack
Hackley School Commack   Commack
Horace Mann School Commack   Commack
Hunter College Commack   Commack
James Madison Commack   Commack
John Adams Queens Commack   Commack
John Dewey Commack   Commack
KIPP College Prep Commack   Commack
Lehman Commack   Commack
Long Island City Commack   Commack
Long Island Lutheran Commack   Commack
Marymount School Commack   Commack
Maspeth Commack   Commack
Midwood Commack   Commack
New Dorp Commack   Commack
Nightingale-Bamford Commack   Commack
Petrides Commack   Commack
Poly Prep Country Day Commack   Commack
Portledge School Commack   Commack
Riverdale CDS Commack   Commack
South Bronx Prep Commack   Commack
Spence School Commack   Commack
Staten Island Academy Commack   Commack
Stony Brook School Commack   Commack
Stuyvesant Commack   Commack
Susan Wagner Commack   Commack
Tottenville Commack   Commack
Trinity School Commack   Commack
Archbishop Molloy Commack   Commack
Cardinal Spellman Commack   Commack
Cathedral Commack   Commack
Fontbonne Hall Commack   Commack
Holy Trinity Commack   Commack
Kellenberg Commack   Commack
Kennedy Catholic Commack   Commack
Mary Louis Academy Commack   Commack
Moore Catholic Commack   Commack
Our Lady of Mercy NYC Commack   Commack
Sacred Heart Academy LI Commack insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Commack
St Anthonys St Anthonys   St Anthonys
St Dominic Commack   Commack
St Francis Prep Commack   Commack
St John the Baptist Commack insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Commack
St Joseph By-The-Sea Commack   Commack
St Joseph Hill Academy Commack   Commack
St Marys Manhasset Commack   Commack
St Vincent Ferrer Commack   Commack
Xaverian Commack   Commack
Albertus Magnus Commack   Commack
Ardsley Commack   Commack
Arlington Commack   Commack
Blind Brook Commack   Commack
Brewster Commack   Commack
Briarcliff Commack   Commack
Bronxville Commack   Commack
Byram Hills Commack   Commack
Carmel Commack   Commack
Clarkstown North Commack   Commack
Clarkstown South Commack   Commack
Croton-Harmon Commack   Commack
Dobbs Ferry Commack   Commack
Eastchester Commack   Commack
Edgemont Commack   Commack
Fox Lane Commack   Commack
Haldane Commack   Commack
Harrison Commack   Commack
Hastings-on-Hudson Commack   Commack
Hendrick Hudson Commack   Commack
Horace Greeley Commack   Commack
Irvington Commack   Commack
John Jay-Cross River Commack   Commack
Keio Academy Commack   Commack
Lakeland-Panas Commack   Commack
Mahopac Commack   Commack
Mamaroneck Commack   Commack
Nanuet Commack   Commack
New Rochelle Commack   Commack
North Rockland Commack   Commack
North Salem Commack   Commack
Nyack Nyack   Nyack
Ossining Commack   Commack
Pawling Commack   Commack
Pearl River Commack   Commack
Pelham Memorial Commack   Commack
Pleasantville Commack   Commack
Port Chester Commack   Commack
Putnam Valley Commack   Commack
Rye HS Rye HS   Rye HS
Rye Neck Commack   Commack
Scarsdale Commack   Commack
Sleepy Hollow Commack   Commack
Somers Commack   Commack
Suffern Commack insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Commack
Tappan Zee Commack   Commack
Tuckahoe Commack   Commack
Ursuline School Commack   Commack
Valhalla Commack   Commack
Wappingers Commack   Commack
Westlake Commack   Commack
White Plains Commack   Commack
Yonkers Commack   Commack
Yorktown Commack   Commack
Academy of Holy Names Commack   Commack
Albany Academy Commack   Commack
Albany HS Commack   Commack
Amsterdam/Broadalbin-Per Commack   Commack
Averill Park Commack   Commack
Ballston Spa Commack   Commack
Bethlehem Commack   Commack
Burnt Hills-Ballston Lak Commack   Commack
Cohoes Commack   Commack
Colonie Central Commack   Commack
Columbia Commack   Commack
Emma Willard Commack   Commack
Glens Falls Commack   Commack
Greenwich Commack   Commack
Guilderland Commack   Commack
Hoosick Falls-Tamarac Commack   Commack
Hudson Falls Commack   Commack
Ichabod Crane Commack   Commack
Johnstown Commack   Commack
LaSalle Institute Commack   Commack
Niskayuna Commack   Commack
Queensbury Commack   Commack
Saratoga Springs Commack   Commack
Schenectady-Mohonasen Commack   Commack
Schuylerville Commack   Commack
Scotia-Glenville Commack   Commack
Shaker Commack   Commack
Shenendehowa Commack   Commack
South Glens Falls Commack   Commack
Voorheesville Commack   Commack
Auburn Commack   Commack
Baldwinsville Commack   Commack
Bishop Ludden-Grimes Commack   Commack
Carthage Commack   Commack
Cazenovia Commack   Commack
Central Square Commack   Commack
Chittenango Commack   Commack
Christian Brothers Commack   Commack
Cicero-North Syracuse Cicero-North Syracuse   Cicero-North Syracuse
Clinton Commack   Commack
Cortland Commack   Commack
East Syracuse-Minoa Commack   Commack
Fayetteville-Manlius Fayetteville-Manlius   Fayetteville-Manlius
Fulton Commack   Commack
General Brown Commack   Commack
Homer Commack   Commack
Immaculate Heart Central Commack   Commack
Indian River Commack   Commack
Jamesville-DeWitt Commack   Commack
Jordan-Elbridge Commack   Commack
Liverpool Commack   Commack
Marcellus Commack   Commack
Mexico Commack   Commack
New Hartford Commack   Commack
Oswego Commack   Commack
Rome Free Academy Commack   Commack
Skaneateles Commack   Commack
South Jefferson South Jefferson   South Jefferson
Southern Hills Commack   Commack
Syracuse Commack   Commack
Vernon-Verona-Sherill Commack   Commack
Watertown Commack   Commack
West Genesee West Genesee   West Genesee
Westhill Commack   Commack
Whitesboro Commack   Commack
Binghamton Commack   Commack
Chenango Forks Commack   Commack
Chenango Valley Commack   Commack
Corning-Painted Post Commack   Commack
Elmira Commack   Commack
Horseheads Commack   Commack
Ithaca Commack   Commack
Johnson City Commack   Commack
Maine-Endwell Commack   Commack
Owego Free Academy Commack   Commack
Seton Catholic Central Commack   Commack
Union-Endicott Commack   Commack
Vestal Commack   Commack
Whitney Point Commack   Commack
Windsor Central Commack   Commack
Aquinas-WOIS Commack   Commack
Brighton Commack   Commack
Brockport Commack   Commack
Canandaigua Academy Commack   Commack
Churchville-Chili Commack   Commack
Eastridge/Bishop Kearney Commack   Commack
Fairport Fairport   Fairport
Gananda-Marion Commack   Commack
Gates-Chili Commack   Commack
Geneva Commack   Commack
Greece Commack   Commack
Hilton Commack   Commack
Honeoye Falls-Lima Commack   Commack
Irondequoit Commack   Commack
Livonia-Avon-Geneseo Commack   Commack
Marcus Whitman Commack   Commack
Mynderse-Romulus Commack   Commack
Newark-Midlakes Commack   Commack
Our Lady of Mercy Roches Commack   Commack
Palmyra-Macedon Commack   Commack
Penfield Penfield   Penfield
Penn Yan Academy Commack   Commack
Pittsford Pittsford   Pittsford
Rush-Henrietta Commack   Commack
Spencerport Commack   Commack
Victor Victor   Victor
Waterloo Commack   Commack
Wayne Commack   Commack
Webster Schroeder Commack   Commack
Webster Thomas Commack   Commack
Amherst Commack   Commack
Buffalo City Honors Commack   Commack
Buffalo Seminary Commack   Commack
Clarence Commack   Commack
Depew Commack   Commack
East Aurora Commack   Commack
Eden/North Collins Commack   Commack
Frontier Commack   Commack
Gowanda Commack   Commack
Grand Island Commack   Commack
Hamburg Commack   Commack
Iroquois Commack   Commack
Kenmore Commack   Commack
Lake Shore/Silver Creek Commack   Commack
Lancaster Commack   Commack
Lewiston-Porter Commack   Commack
Lockport Commack   Commack
Mt Mercy Academy Commack   Commack
Mt St Marys Academy Commack   Commack
Nardin Academy Commack   Commack
Newfane Commack   Commack
Niagara Falls Commack   Commack
Niagara-Wheatfield Commack   Commack
Nichols School Commack   Commack
North Tonawanda Commack   Commack
Orchard Park Commack   Commack
Sacred Heart Buffalo Commack   Commack
Salamanca Commack   Commack
Springville Commack   Commack
St Marys Lancaster Commack   Commack
Starpoint Commack   Commack
Sweet Home Commack   Commack
West Seneca East Commack   Commack
West Seneca West Commack   Commack
Williamsville East Commack   Commack
Williamsville North Commack   Commack
Williamsville South Commack   Commack
Baldwin Commack   Commack
Bellmore JFK Commack   Commack
Bethpage Commack   Commack
Calhoun Commack   Commack
Carey Commack   Commack
Carle Place Commack   Commack
Clarke Commack   Commack
Cold Spring Harbor Cold Spring Harbor insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Cold Spring Harbor
Division Avenue Commack   Commack
East Meadow Commack   Commack
Elmont Commack   Commack
Farmingdale Commack insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Commack
Floral Park Commack   Commack
Freeport Commack   Commack
Friends Academy Commack   Commack
Garden City Garden City tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Garden City
Glen Cove Commack   Commack
Great Neck North Commack   Commack
Great Neck South Commack   Commack
Hempstead Commack   Commack
Herricks Commack   Commack
Hewlett Commack   Commack
Hicksville Commack insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Commack
Island Trees Commack   Commack
Jericho Commack   Commack
Locust Valley Commack tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Commack
Long Beach Commack tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Commack
Lynbrook Commack   Commack
MacArthur Commack   Commack
Malverne-ER Commack   Commack
Manhasset Manhasset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Manhasset
Massapequa Commack tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Commack
Mepham Commack   Commack
Mineola Commack   Commack
New Hyde Park Commack   Commack
North Shore Commack insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Commack
Oceanside Commack   Commack
Oyster Bay Commack   Commack
Plainedge Commack   Commack
Plainview-OB-JFK Commack   Commack
Port Washington Commack tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Commack
Roslyn Commack   Commack
Seaford Commack insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Commack
Sewanhaka Commack   Commack
South Side South Side tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Side
Syosset Commack Commack  
Valley Stream Commack   Commack
Wantagh Commack tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Commack
West Hempstead Commack   Commack
Wheatley Commack   Commack
Burke Catholic Commack   Commack
Chester Commack   Commack
Cornwall Central Commack   Commack
FD Roosevelt Commack   Commack
Goshen Commack   Commack
Highland Commack   Commack
Kingston Commack   Commack
Middletown Commack   Commack
Minisink Valley Commack   Commack
Monroe-Woodbury Commack   Commack
New Paltz Commack   Commack
Newburgh Free Academy Commack   Commack
O'Neill Commack   Commack
Our Lady of Lourdes Commack   Commack
Pine Bush Commack   Commack
Red Hook Commack   Commack
Rondout Valley Commack   Commack
Saugerties Commack   Commack
Valley Central Commack   Commack
Wallkill Commack   Commack
Warwick Commack   Commack
Washingtonville Commack   Commack
Canton Commack   Commack
Malone Commack   Commack
Massena Commack   Commack
Northwood School Commack   Commack
Ogdensburg Free Academy Commack   Commack
Plattsburgh Commack   Commack
Potsdam Commack   Commack
Salmon River Commack   Commack
Saranac Lake Placid Commack   Commack
Babylon Commack Commack   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bay Shore Commack Commack  
Bayport-Blue Point Bayport-Blue Point tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bayport-Blue Point
Bellport Commack Commack   9- 1 vs 1- 8
Brentwood Commack Commack   9- 0 vs 0- 9
Center Moriches Commack Commack   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Comsewogue Commack Commack  
Connetquot Commack Commack  
Deer Park Commack Commack   2- 0 vs 0- 2
East Hampton Co-Op Commack Commack   8- 1 vs 2- 7
East Islip Commack insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Commack
Eastport-South Manor Commack tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Commack
Elwood/John Glenn Commack   Commack
Half Hollow Hills Commack Commack  
Hampton Bays Commack   Commack
Harborfields Harborfields tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Harborfields
Hauppauge Commack   Commack
Huntington Huntington Huntington  
Islip Commack   Commack
Kings Park Commack   Commack
Lindenhurst Commack Commack  
Longwood Commack Commack  
Mattituck-Southold Commack insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Commack
Middle Country Commack Commack   9- 0 vs 2- 7
Miller Place Commack tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Commack
Mt Sinai Commack   Commack
North Babylon Commack Commack   9- 0 vs 0- 9
Northport Commack Commack  
Patchogue-Medford Commack Commack  
Port Jefferson Commack insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Commack
Riverhead Commack Commack   9- 1 vs 1- 8
Rocky Point Rocky Point insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Rocky Point
Sachem East Commack Commack  
Sachem North Commack Commack  
Sayville Sayville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Sayville
Shoreham-Wading River Commack insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Commack
Smithtown East Commack Commack  
Smithtown West Smithtown West tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Smithtown West
Southampton Commack   Commack
Walt Whitman Commack Commack  
Ward Melville Commack Commack  10- 1 vs 8- 3
West Babylon Commack insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Commack
West Islip West Islip tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) West Islip
Westhampton Beach Westhampton Beach tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Westhampton Beach
William Floyd Commack Commack  

PowerWise = 369


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Syosset         ( 4-13, 87.9)    20- 9      -12.00      32.61       0.38         0.87            28.61
   0 H Comsewogue      ( 7- 9, 90.6)    12- 9       -9.31      35.30      -0.38         0.87            30.29
   0 A Sachem East     ( 7- 8, 84.9)    17- 8      -14.97      29.64       0.38         0.87            26.04
   0 H Longwood        (10- 8, 88.7)    16- 7      -11.18      33.43      -0.38         0.87            28.67
   0 H Half Hollow Hi  ( 9- 8, 83.8)    15- 4      -16.07      28.54      -0.38         0.87            24.43
   0 A Smithtown East  ( 5-10, 83.1)    18- 2      -16.77      27.84       0.38         0.87            24.47
   0 A Ward Melville   (12- 6, 91.4)    13- 9       -8.46      36.15       0.38         0.87            31.68
   0 H Huntington      (18- 3, 91.7)     7- 9       -8.17      36.44      -0.38         0.87            -7.42
   0 H Northport       (13- 4, 91.0)    11- 6       -8.89      35.72      -0.38         0.87            30.66
   0 A Patchogue-Medf  (10- 7, 87.6)    12- 8      -12.33      32.28       0.38         0.87            28.33
   0 A Connetquot      (11- 7, 89.4)    14- 7      -10.51      34.10       0.38         0.87            29.91
   0 A Walt Whitman    ( 5-11, 79.7)    20- 6      -20.18      24.43       0.38         0.87            21.51
   0 H Bay Shore       (10- 7, 85.9)    13- 3      -13.96      30.65      -0.38         0.87            26.26
   0 H Lindenhurst     ( 2-13, 75.2)    18- 4      -24.69      19.92      -0.38         0.87            16.95
   0 A Sachem North    (11- 6, 87.1)    14- 4      -12.83      31.78       0.38         0.87            27.89
   0 H William Floyd   (10- 7, 88.5)    12- 9      -11.40      33.21      -0.38         0.87            28.48
   0 H Longwood        (10- 8, 88.7)    11- 8      -11.18      33.43      -0.38         0.87            28.67
   0 H Ward Melville   (12- 6, 91.4)     7- 8       -8.46      36.15      -0.38         0.87            -7.67
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       417.77

winning pts = 432.8504 losing points = -15.0830

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------