---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Champlain Valley Union 1
  
Champlain Valley Uni  
W-L: (15- 2) PR = 98.8596

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 412 A South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 4- 5 419 A Bellows Free Academy - ( 2-11, 91.8) 17- 4 423 H St Johnsbury Academy (10- 6, 95.4) 11-10 429 H Burr & Burton Academy (12- 5, 98.5) 12-11 501 A Burr & Burton Academy (12- 5, 98.5) 12- 9 503 A Mt Anthony Union (10- 2, 99.9) 7-17 506 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 14-13 508 A Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 7- 5 510 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 13- 7 513 H South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 12- 6 516 A Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 18-12 520 H Bellows Free Academy - ( 2-11, 91.8) 16- 8 522 A Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 17- 6 529 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 10- 8 607 H Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 17- 9 611 N Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 8- 4 615 N Burr & Burton Academy (12- 5, 98.5) 10- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A South Burlington        4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.48
   419 A Bellows Free Academy - 17- 4      13     7           0.00
   423 H St Johnsbury Academy   11-10       1     4    -     -2.91
   429 H Burr & Burton Academy  12-11       1     1           0.18
   501 A Burr & Burton Academy  12- 9       3     0    +      3.13
   503 A Mt Anthony Union        7-17     -10    -2    -     -3.48
   506 H Essex                  14-13       1     2          -1.04
   508 A Mt Mansfield Union      7- 5       2     5    -     -2.93
   510 H Mt Mansfield Union     13- 7       6     6           0.00
   513 H South Burlington       12- 6       6     2    +      2.57
   516 A Middlebury Union       18-12       6     2    +      3.15
   520 H Bellows Free Academy - 16- 8       8     8           0.00
   522 A Rutland                17- 6      11     7           0.00
   529 A Essex                  10- 8       2     1           0.91
   607 H Burlington             17- 9       8     5           0.00
   611 N Rice Memorial           8- 4       4     3           1.24
   615 N Burr & Burton Academy  10- 8       2     0           1.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A South Burlington        4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.48
   423 H St Johnsbury Academy   11-10       1     4    -     -2.91
   503 A Mt Anthony Union        7-17     -10    -2    -     -3.48
   508 A Mt Mansfield Union      7- 5       2     5    -     -2.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Burr & Burton Academy  12- 9       3     0    +      3.13
   513 H South Burlington       12- 6       6     2    +      2.57
   516 A Middlebury Union       18-12       6     2    +      3.15

Champlain Valley Union Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy - S Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union  
Brattleboro Union Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Burlington Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union  
Burr & Burton Academy Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union  
Colchester Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Essex Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union  
Green Mountain Valley Green Mountain Valley   Green Mountain Valley
Hartford Champlain Valley Union tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Champlain Valley Union
Harwood Union Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Lamoille Union Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lyndon Institute Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Middlebury Union Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union  
Milton Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mt Anthony Union Mt Anthony Union Mt Anthony Union  
Mt Mansfield Union Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union  
Rice Memorial Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union  
Rutland Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union  
South Burlington Champlain Valley Union insuffient: ( 8- 1)( 7- 2) Champlain Valley Union
Spaulding Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   5- 0 vs 0- 5
St Johnsbury Academy Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union  
Stowe Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Stratton Mountain School Champlain Valley Union tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Champlain Valley Union
U-32 Champlain Valley Union insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Champlain Valley Union
Vergennes/Mt Abraham Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Woodstock Union Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   4- 2 vs 2- 3

PowerWise = 23


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A South Burlingt  (12- 6, 96.9)     4- 5       -3.00      14.41       0.48         0.91            -2.30
   0 A Bellows Free A  ( 2-11, 91.8)    17- 4       -8.10       9.30       0.48         0.91             8.94
   0 H St Johnsbury A  (10- 6, 95.4)    11-10       -4.47      12.93      -0.48         0.91            11.39
   0 H Burr & Burton   (12- 5, 98.5)    12-11       -1.38      16.02      -0.48         0.91            14.20
   0 A Burr & Burton   (12- 5, 98.5)    12- 9       -1.38      16.02       0.48         0.91            15.08
   0 A Mt Anthony Uni  (10- 2, 99.9)     7-17       -0.00      17.40       0.48         0.91            -0.44
   0 H Essex           (12- 6, 97.3)    14-13       -2.60      14.80      -0.48         0.91            13.09
   0 A Mt Mansfield U  ( 4-12, 93.5)     7- 5       -6.44      10.96       0.48         0.91            10.45
   0 H Mt Mansfield U  ( 4-12, 93.5)    13- 7       -6.44      10.96      -0.48         0.91             9.58
   0 H South Burlingt  (12- 6, 96.9)    12- 6       -3.00      14.41      -0.48         0.91            12.73
   0 A Middlebury Uni  (11- 4, 96.5)    18-12       -3.36      14.04       0.48         0.91            13.27
   0 H Bellows Free A  ( 2-11, 91.8)    16- 8       -8.10       9.30      -0.48         0.91             8.07
   0 A Rutland         ( 3-13, 91.2)    17- 6       -8.71       8.69       0.48         0.91             8.38
   0 A Essex           (12- 6, 97.3)    10- 8       -2.60      14.80       0.48         0.91            13.96
   0 H Burlington      ( 9- 7, 94.2)    17- 9       -5.68      11.72      -0.48         0.91            10.28
   0 N Rice Memorial   (14- 5, 96.1)     8- 4       -3.80      13.60      -0.00         0.91            12.43
   0 N Burr & Burton   (12- 5, 98.5)    10- 8       -1.38      16.02      -0.00         0.91            14.64
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       173.75

winning pts = 176.4876 losing points = -2.7386

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------