Winston Churchill
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 81.2309Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Wootton ( 9- 6, 80.4) 8- 5 324 H Walter Johnson ( 9- 4, 84.4) 9-15 331 A Whitman (10- 5, 84.7) 10-20 402 A Quince Orchard (14- 3, 86.4) 11-12 404 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 5, 83.5) 6- 7 407 H Richard Montgomery ( 9- 6, 75.7) 10- 6 409 A Poolesville ( 8- 6, 76.2) 17-12 411 H Sherwood (16- 1, 89.3) 9-18 424 H Clarksburg ( 4-10, 71.4) 14- 4 425 H Gaithersburg ( 0-13, 65.2) 14- 0 430 A Blair ( 8- 7, 76.9) 10- 7 502 H Springbrook ( 7- 8, 72.1) 21- 8 507 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 5, 83.5) 5-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Wootton 8- 5 3 0 + 2.64
324 H Walter Johnson 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.30
331 A Whitman 10-20 -10 -4 -1.08
402 A Quince Orchard 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 4.00
404 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase 6- 7 -1 -2 0.78
407 H Richard Montgomery 10- 6 4 6 -1.00
409 A Poolesville 17-12 5 5 0.39
411 H Sherwood 9-18 -9 -8 0.00
424 H Clarksburg 14- 4 10 10 0.00
425 H Gaithersburg 14- 0 14 17 0.00
430 A Blair 10- 7 3 4 -0.90
502 H Springbrook 21- 8 13 10 0.00
507 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase 5-10 -5 -3 - -2.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 H Walter Johnson 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.30 507 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase 5-10 -5 -3 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Quince Orchard 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 4.00 321 A Wootton 8- 5 3 0 + 2.64 |
Winston Churchill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Brookewood SG | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| DC International | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| FCA | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Field School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Friends School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Jemicy | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| KIPP College Prep | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Maret School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| School Without Walls | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Washington Latin | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Worcester Prep | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Aberdeen | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Blair | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Blake | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 3- 4 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Boonsboro | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Bowie | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Calvert | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Cambridge SD | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Carver A&T | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Catoctin | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Chopticon | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| City College | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Clarksburg | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus 7- 2 vs 5- 4 | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dundalk | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| DuVal | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Einstein | Winston Churchill | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Winston Churchill | |
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Elkton | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Franklin | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Frederick | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Gaithersburg | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Glen Burnie | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Great Mills | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Guilford Park | Winston Churchill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Winston Churchill | |
| Gwynn Park | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Hammond | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Kennedy | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Kent County | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Lansdowne | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Laurel | Winston Churchill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Winston Churchill | |
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Long Reach | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Magruder | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 6- 1 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| MJ McDonough | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| New Town | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North County | |
| North Dorchester | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| North East Cecil | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| North Hagerstown | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Northeast | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Winston Churchill | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Winston Churchill | |
| Northwestern PG | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Northwood | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Old Mill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Overlea | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Owings Mills | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Oxon Hill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Paint Branch | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Parkdale | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Parkside | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Parkville | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Patapsco | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Patterson Mill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Patuxent | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Perry Hall | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Perryville | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Pikesville | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Poolesville | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Randallstown | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Reservoir | Winston Churchill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Winston Churchill | |
| Richard Montgomery | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Rising Sun | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Seneca Valley | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Severn Run | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern | Southern | Southern | ||
| Sparrows Point | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Springbrook | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| St Charles | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Thomas Stone | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Western Baltimore | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Western STES | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Westlake | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman | ||
| Wicomico | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Wilde Lake | Winston Churchill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Winston Churchill | |
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Wootton | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill |
PowerWise = 138
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Wootton ( 9- 6, 80.4) 8- 5 -19.48 18.44 0.45 0.92 17.38
0 H Walter Johnson ( 9- 4, 84.4) 9-15 -15.52 22.40 -0.45 0.92 -14.70
0 A Whitman (10- 5, 84.7) 10-20 -15.20 22.72 0.45 0.92 -13.57
0 A Quince Orchard (14- 3, 86.4) 11-12 -13.48 24.44 0.45 0.92 -11.99
0 H Bethesda-Chevy ( 9- 5, 83.5) 6- 7 -16.44 21.48 -0.45 0.92 -15.54
0 H Richard Montgo ( 9- 6, 75.7) 10- 6 -24.21 13.71 -0.45 0.92 12.20
0 A Poolesville ( 8- 6, 76.2) 17-12 -23.73 14.19 0.45 0.92 13.47
0 H Sherwood (16- 1, 89.3) 9-18 -10.60 27.32 -0.45 0.92 -10.17
0 H Clarksburg ( 4-10, 71.4) 14- 4 -28.51 9.41 -0.45 0.92 8.25
0 H Gaithersburg ( 0-13, 65.2) 14- 0 -34.72 3.20 -0.45 0.92 2.53
0 A Blair ( 8- 7, 76.9) 10- 7 -23.02 14.90 0.45 0.92 14.12
0 H Springbrook ( 7- 8, 72.1) 21- 8 -27.84 10.08 -0.45 0.92 8.86
0 A Bethesda-Chevy ( 9- 5, 83.5) 5-10 -16.44 21.48 0.45 0.92 -14.72
------
-3.87
|
winning pts = 76.8204 losing points = -80.6946
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------