Cherokee Trail
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 83.8741Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 312 H Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 9-18 313 A Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 17-16 326 H Cherry Creek ( 6- 8, 89.1) 7-19 328 H Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 14-15 402 A Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 5-16 407 A Columbine ( 3-12, 85.1) 16-13 409 H Denver East (10- 7, 90.5) 6-12 412 A Ralston Valley ( 8- 8, 89.9) 6-18 415 A Air Academy ( 6-11, 84.3) 12-11 416 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 11-21 424 A Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 13-14 426 H Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 3-21 429 A Arapahoe ( 8- 7, 87.4) 12-24 502 A Grandview ( 4-11, 79.2) 15- 5 503 H Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 9-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
312 H Golden 9-18 -9 -5 0.00
313 A Dakota Ridge 17-16 1 0 0.88
326 H Cherry Creek 7-19 -12 -5 -0.26
328 H Rock Canyon 14-15 -1 -1 0.02
402 A Denver South 5-16 -11 -3 - -2.49
407 A Columbine 16-13 3 -2 ++ 4.70
409 H Denver East 6-12 -6 -6 0.00
412 A Ralston Valley 6-18 -12 -6 0.00
415 A Air Academy 12-11 1 -1 1.85
416 H Northfield 11-21 -10 -4 -0.77
424 A Horizon 13-14 -1 1 - -2.50
426 H Heritage 3-21 -18 -9 0.00
429 A Arapahoe 12-24 -12 -4 -1.05
502 A Grandview 15- 5 10 4 0.79
503 H Palmer Ridge 9-18 -9 -4 -1.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Denver South 5-16 -11 -3 - -2.49 424 A Horizon 13-14 -1 1 - -2.50 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Columbine 16-13 3 -2 ++ 4.70 |
Cherokee Trail Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Aspen | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Battle Mountain | |
| Castle View | Castle View | Castle View 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | Chatfield 6- 2 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Cheyenne Mountain | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Columbine | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Conifer | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East | ||
| Denver North | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Denver South | Denver South | Denver South | ||
| Durango | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Eagle Valley | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Eaglecrest | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Fruita Monument | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Golden | Golden | Golden | ||
| Grand Junction | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Grandview | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | Green Mountain 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Holy Family | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Horizon | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Liberty | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Mead | Mead | Mead 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Montrose | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Mullen | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Palmer | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | ||
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | Pine Creek 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Poudre District | Poudre District | Poudre District 6- 2 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Pueblo West | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | ||
| Rampart | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| St Marys Academy | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Steamboat Springs | |
| Summit | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Telluride | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cherokee Trail | |
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 5- 0 vs 1- 4 |
PowerWise = 21
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 9-18 -10.20 20.52 -0.45 1.03 -10.92
0 A Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 17-16 -16.59 14.13 0.45 1.03 14.95
0 H Cherry Creek ( 6- 8, 89.1) 7-19 -10.83 19.89 -0.45 1.03 -11.57
0 H Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 14-15 -14.56 16.16 -0.45 1.03 -15.39
0 A Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 5-16 -13.97 16.76 0.45 1.03 -13.87
0 A Columbine ( 3-12, 85.1) 16-13 -14.77 15.95 0.45 1.03 16.82
0 H Denver East (10- 7, 90.5) 6-12 -9.40 21.33 -0.45 1.03 -10.10
0 A Ralston Valley ( 8- 8, 89.9) 6-18 -10.03 20.70 0.45 1.03 -9.83
0 A Air Academy ( 6-11, 84.3) 12-11 -15.63 15.10 0.45 1.03 15.94
0 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 11-21 -11.35 19.37 -0.45 1.03 -12.10
0 A Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 13-14 -17.97 12.76 0.45 1.03 -17.97
0 H Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 3-21 -6.78 23.95 -0.45 1.03 -7.41
0 A Arapahoe ( 8- 7, 87.4) 12-24 -12.52 18.20 0.45 1.03 -12.39
0 A Grandview ( 4-11, 79.2) 15- 5 -20.68 10.04 0.45 1.03 10.76
0 H Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 9-18 -11.72 19.00 -0.45 1.03 -12.48
------
-75.55
|
winning pts = 58.4734 losing points = -134.0272
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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