Chaparral
W-L: (11- 2) PR = 96.3805
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
304 H Xavier College Prep ( 6- 6, 94.4) 10- 9
306 H Desert Vista (11- 3, 95.3) 14- 7
318 A Cactus Shadows ( 4- 8, 90.9) 20- 4
320 A Notre Dame Prep ( 1-11, 86.9) 16- 2
325 H Cactus Shadows ( 4- 8, 90.9) 18- 8
327 A Higley ( 8- 5, 94.5) 16- 7
331 H Chandler (14- 0, 99.9) 11-15
408 A Xavier College Prep ( 6- 6, 94.4) 10- 5
410 A Corona Del Sol ( 0-12, 86.0) 19- 4
414 A Pinnacle ( 4- 9, 88.9) 20- 5
425 A Salpoint Catholic ( 5- 8, 90.6) 7- 6
430 H Salpoint Catholic ( 5- 8, 90.6) 15-10
506 H Desert Vista (11- 3, 95.3) 12-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Xavier College Prep 10- 9 1 2 -0.99
306 H Desert Vista 14- 7 7 1 + 3.95
318 A Cactus Shadows 20- 4 16 5 0.00
320 A Notre Dame Prep 16- 2 14 9 0.00
325 H Cactus Shadows 18- 8 10 6 0.00
327 A Higley 16- 7 9 2 + 3.17
331 H Chandler 11-15 -4 -4 -0.49
408 A Xavier College Prep 10- 5 5 2 + 3.03
410 A Corona Del Sol 19- 4 15 10 0.00
414 A Pinnacle 20- 5 15 7 0.00
425 A Salpoint Catholic 7- 6 1 6 -- -4.00
430 H Salpoint Catholic 15-10 5 6 0.00
506 H Desert Vista 12-14 -2 1 - -3.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
425 A Salpoint Catholic 7- 6 1 6 -- -4.00
506 H Desert Vista 12-14 -2 1 - -3.05
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Desert Vista 14- 7 7 1 + 3.95
327 A Higley 16- 7 9 2 + 3.17
408 A Xavier College Prep 10- 5 5 2 + 3.03
|
Chaparral Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Cactus Shadows |
Chaparral |
Chaparral |
 
| |
Chandler |
Chandler |
Chandler |
 
| |
Corona Del Sol |
Chaparral |
Chaparral |
 
| |
Desert Vista |
Chaparral |
|
tied - ( 7- 1) ( 7- 1) |
Chaparral |
Higley |
Chaparral |
Chaparral |
 
| |
Notre Dame Prep |
Chaparral |
Chaparral |
 
| |
Pinnacle |
Chaparral |
Chaparral |
 
| |
Salpoint Catholic |
Chaparral |
Chaparral |
 
| |
Xavier College Prep |
Chaparral |
Chaparral |
 
| |
PowerWise = 8

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.80
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Xavier College ( 6- 6, 94.4) 10- 9 -5.50 8.43 -0.01 0.98 8.29
0 H Desert Vista (11- 3, 95.3) 14- 7 -4.56 9.37 -0.01 0.98 9.21
0 A Cactus Shadows ( 4- 8, 90.9) 20- 4 -9.03 4.91 0.01 0.98 4.84
0 A Notre Dame Pre ( 1-11, 86.9) 16- 2 -12.95 1.00 0.01 0.98 0.99
0 H Cactus Shadows ( 4- 8, 90.9) 18- 8 -9.03 4.91 -0.01 0.98 4.82
0 A Higley ( 8- 5, 94.5) 16- 7 -5.36 8.57 0.01 0.98 8.44
0 H Chandler (14- 0, 99.9) 11-15 -0.00 13.93 -0.01 0.98 -0.01
0 A Xavier College ( 6- 6, 94.4) 10- 5 -5.50 8.43 0.01 0.98 8.31
0 A Corona Del Sol ( 0-12, 86.0) 19- 4 -13.93 1.00 0.01 0.98 0.99
0 A Pinnacle ( 4- 9, 88.9) 20- 5 -11.02 2.91 0.01 0.98 2.87
0 A Salpoint Catho ( 5- 8, 90.6) 7- 6 -9.32 4.61 0.01 0.98 4.55
0 H Salpoint Catho ( 5- 8, 90.6) 15-10 -9.32 4.61 -0.01 0.98 4.53
0 H Desert Vista (11- 3, 95.3) 12-14 -4.56 9.37 -0.01 0.98 -4.50
------
53.34
|
winning pts = 57.8549 losing points = -4.5123
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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