---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Chisago Lakes 1
  
Chisago Lakes         
W-L: (14- 4) PR = 90.0019

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 H Rogers ( 7- 7, 87.5) 17- 9 412 A Grand Rapids-Greenway ( 8- 6, 84.9) 10- 9 415 H Becker ( 6- 7, 78.0) 18- 1 421 A Big Lake ( 1-13, 73.3) 21- 2 423 H St Croix Prep (10- 5, 89.3) 11-12 429 H Blaine ( 7- 5, 86.7) 8- 7 501 A Champlin Park (12- 3, 91.5) 8- 9 506 A Monticello ( 6- 8, 82.6) 18- 3 509 H Anoka ( 4-10, 82.4) 19- 5 513 A Mound Westonka ( 8- 7, 84.4) 18- 5 514 A Hill-Murray (10- 5, 89.7) 12- 8 521 H Breck School ( 6- 8, 84.4) 17- 4 522 A Forest Lake ( 3-12, 81.5) 15- 5 529 H Spring Lake Park/Coon ( 5-10, 82.6) 17- 6 603 H Grand Rapids-Greenway ( 8- 6, 84.9) 14- 4 605 H Centennial ( 6- 8, 85.8) 10- 4 610 N Prior Lake (19- 0, 99.9) 5-18 612 N Orono (15- 4, 95.3) 11-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Rogers                 17- 9       8     3           1.90
   412 A Grand Rapids-Greenway  10- 9       1     5    -     -3.54
   415 H Becker                 18- 1      17    13           0.00
   421 A Big Lake               21- 2      19    16           0.00
   423 H St Croix Prep          11-12      -1     1    -     -2.29
   429 H Blaine                  8- 7       1     4    -     -2.92
   501 A Champlin Park           8- 9      -1    -2           1.08
   506 A Monticello             18- 3      15     7           0.00
   509 H Anoka                  19- 5      14     8           0.00
   513 A Mound Westonka         18- 5      13     5           0.00
   514 A Hill-Murray            12- 8       4     0    ++     4.30
   521 H Breck School           17- 4      13     6           0.00
   522 A Forest Lake            15- 5      10     8           0.00
   529 H Spring Lake Park/Coon  17- 6      11     8           0.00
   603 H Grand Rapids-Greenway  14- 4      10     6           0.00
   605 H Centennial             10- 4       6     5           0.23
   610 N Prior Lake              5-18     -13   -10           0.00
   612 N Orono                  11-15      -4    -5           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Grand Rapids-Greenway  10- 9       1     5    -     -3.54
   423 H St Croix Prep          11-12      -1     1    -     -2.29
   429 H Blaine                  8- 7       1     4    -     -2.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Hill-Murray            12- 8       4     0    ++     4.30

Chisago Lakes Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   6- 1 vs 4- 3
Anoka Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Apple Valley Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Chisago Lakes
Becker Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Blaine Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Blake School Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Chisago Lakes
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bloomington Jefferson
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Brainerd Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Breck School Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Buffalo Buffalo tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Buffalo
Centennial Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Champlin Park Champlin Park Champlin Park  
Chanhassen Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Chisago Lakes
Chaska Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Columbia Heights Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Chisago Lakes tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Chisago Lakes
Duluth Co-Op Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Duluth Marshall Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   3- 0 vs 0- 3
East Ridge East Ridge tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) East Ridge
Eastview/Eagan Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Eden Prairie Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Edina Edina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
Farmington Farmington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Farmington
Forest Lake Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Chisago Lakes tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chisago Lakes
Grand Rapids-Greenway Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Hastings Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hermantown-Proctor Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Hill-Murray Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Holy Angels Academy Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Chisago Lakes
Holy Family Catholic Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hopkins Chisago Lakes tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Chisago Lakes
Hutchinson Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Chisago Lakes
Irondale Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lakeville North Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Lakeville South Lakeville South insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Chisago Lakes tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chisago Lakes
Mankato Co-Op Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Maple Grove Maple Grove insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Maple Grove
Minneapolis Co-Op Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Minnetonka Minnetonka tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Minnetonka
Monticello Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Moorhead Chisago Lakes tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Chisago Lakes
Mound Westonka Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Mounds View Chisago Lakes tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chisago Lakes
New Prague Chisago Lakes tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chisago Lakes
Northfield Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Orono Orono Orono  
Osseo-Park Center Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Owatonna Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Park of Cottage Grove
Prior Lake Prior Lake Prior Lake  
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Chisago Lakes
Rochester Century Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Rochester JM/Lourdes Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Rochester Mayo Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Rocori Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Rogers Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Rosemount Rosemount insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Rosemount
Roseville Roseville insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Roseville
Sartell-Sauk Rapids Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Shakopee Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Simley Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Chisago Lakes
Southwest Christian Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
St Cloud Area Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   3- 0 vs 1- 2
St Croix Prep St Croix Prep St Croix Prep  
St Louis Park Chisago Lakes tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Chisago Lakes
St Michael-Albertville Chisago Lakes tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Chisago Lakes
St Paul Academy Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
St Paul/Two Rivers Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stillwater Stillwater tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Stillwater
Tartan/North St Paul Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Totino-Grace Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Visitation Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Waconia Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Chisago Lakes
Wayzata Wayzata Wayzata   2- 0 vs 0- 2
White Bear Lake Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Chisago Lakes
Woodbury Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Chisago Lakes

PowerWise = 64


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Rogers          ( 7- 7, 87.5)    17- 9      -12.40      20.66      -0.59         0.82            16.37
   0 A Grand Rapids-G  ( 8- 6, 84.9)    10- 9      -15.03      18.03       0.59         0.82            15.19
   0 H Becker          ( 6- 7, 78.0)    18- 1      -21.85      11.21      -0.59         0.82             8.66
   0 A Big Lake        ( 1-13, 73.3)    21- 2      -26.58       6.48       0.59         0.82             5.77
   0 H St Croix Prep   (10- 5, 89.3)    11-12      -10.60      22.46      -0.59         0.82            -9.13
   0 H Blaine          ( 7- 5, 86.7)     8- 7      -13.22      19.84      -0.59         0.82            15.70
   0 A Champlin Park   (12- 3, 91.5)     8- 9       -8.41      24.65       0.59         0.82            -6.37
   0 A Monticello      ( 6- 8, 82.6)    18- 3      -17.26      15.80       0.59         0.82            13.37
   0 H Anoka           ( 4-10, 82.4)    19- 5      -17.51      15.55      -0.59         0.82            12.20
   0 A Mound Westonka  ( 8- 7, 84.4)    18- 5      -15.54      17.52       0.59         0.82            14.78
   0 A Hill-Murray     (10- 5, 89.7)    12- 8      -10.19      22.87       0.59         0.82            19.14
   0 H Breck School    ( 6- 8, 84.4)    17- 4      -15.48      17.58      -0.59         0.82            13.85
   0 A Forest Lake     ( 3-12, 81.5)    15- 5      -18.44      14.62       0.59         0.82            12.41
   0 H Spring Lake Pa  ( 5-10, 82.6)    17- 6      -17.33      15.73      -0.59         0.82            12.35
   0 H Grand Rapids-G  ( 8- 6, 84.9)    14- 4      -15.03      18.03      -0.59         0.82            14.22
   0 H Centennial      ( 6- 8, 85.8)    10- 4      -14.08      18.98      -0.59         0.82            15.00
   0 N Prior Lake      (19- 0, 99.9)     5-18       -0.00      33.06      -0.00         0.82            -0.00
   0 N Orono           (15- 4, 95.3)    11-15       -4.63      28.43      -0.00         0.82            -3.78
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       169.72

winning pts = 188.9958 losing points = -19.2783

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------