Chatfield
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 89.0571Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 15- 7 308 H Air Academy ( 6-11, 84.3) 19- 5 313 H Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 19- 6 325 A Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 14-22 327 H Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 11- 9 329 A Poudre District ( 7- 9, 89.5) 9-10 401 H Evergreen (16- 2, 95.3) 8-15 402 A Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 4-17 410 H Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 17- 7 415 A Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 8-10 417 H Ralston Valley ( 8- 8, 89.9) 10-17 422 A Columbine ( 3-12, 85.1) 16-10 426 H Colorado Academy ( 7- 5, 95.2) 5-15 429 A Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 3-15 501 H Valor Christian (17- 0, 99.9) 6-19 507 A Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 2-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Rock Canyon 15- 7 8 3 1.73
308 H Air Academy 19- 5 14 5 0.00
313 H Horizon 19- 6 13 8 0.00
325 A Green Mountain 14-22 -8 -3 -1.85
327 H Golden 11- 9 2 0 + 2.19
329 A Poudre District 9-10 -1 -1 -0.12
401 H Evergreen 8-15 -7 -6 0.00
402 A Heritage 4-17 -13 -5 -0.49
410 H Dakota Ridge 17- 7 10 6 0.00
415 A Kent Denver 8-10 -2 -4 1.68
417 H Ralston Valley 10-17 -7 0 -- -4.63
422 A Columbine 16-10 6 3 1.52
426 H Colorado Academy 5-15 -10 -6 0.00
429 A Fairview 3-15 -12 -7 0.00
501 H Valor Christian 6-19 -13 -10 0.00
507 A Regis Jesuit 2-18 -16 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Ralston Valley 10-17 -7 0 -- -4.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Golden 11- 9 2 0 + 2.19 |
Chatfield Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Arapahoe | Chatfield | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Chatfield | |
| Aspen | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Battle Mountain | |
| Castle View | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 2- 6) | Chatfield | |
| Cherokee Trail | Chatfield | Chatfield 6- 2 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5) | Cherry Creek | |
| Cheyenne Mountain | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Chatfield | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Conifer | Chatfield | Chatfield 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East 3- 4 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Denver North | Chatfield | Chatfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Denver South | Chatfield | tied - ( 1- 6) ( 1- 6) | Chatfield | |
| Durango | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Eagle Valley | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Eaglecrest | Chatfield | Chatfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview | ||
| Fruita Monument | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Golden | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Grand Junction | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Grandview | Chatfield | Chatfield 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | Green Mountain | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Holy Family | Chatfield | Chatfield 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Horizon | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver | ||
| Legend | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Liberty | Chatfield | Chatfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mead | Mead | Mead 5- 2 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Montrose | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Mullen | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Northfield | Chatfield | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Chatfield | |
| Palmer | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Palmer Ridge | Chatfield | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) | Chatfield | |
| Pine Creek | Chatfield | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Chatfield | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Pueblo West | Chatfield | Chatfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | ||
| Rampart | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Chatfield | |
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Roaring Fork | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Rock Canyon | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| St Marys Academy | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Steamboat Springs | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Chatfield | |
| Summit | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Telluride | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 6- 2 vs 1- 7 | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian |
PowerWise = 36
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 15- 7 -14.56 16.16 0.45 0.96 15.97
0 H Air Academy ( 6-11, 84.3) 19- 5 -15.63 15.10 -0.45 0.96 14.09
0 H Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 19- 6 -17.97 12.76 -0.45 0.96 11.83
0 A Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 14-22 -8.14 22.58 0.45 0.96 -7.40
0 H Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 11- 9 -10.20 20.52 -0.45 0.96 19.30
0 A Poudre Distric ( 7- 9, 89.5) 9-10 -10.41 20.31 0.45 0.96 -9.58
0 H Evergreen (16- 2, 95.3) 8-15 -4.59 26.13 -0.45 0.96 -4.84
0 A Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 4-17 -6.78 23.95 0.45 0.96 -6.08
0 H Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 17- 7 -16.59 14.13 -0.45 0.96 13.16
0 A Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 8-10 -7.61 23.11 0.45 0.96 -6.89
0 H Ralston Valley ( 8- 8, 89.9) 10-17 -10.03 20.70 -0.45 0.96 -10.07
0 A Columbine ( 3-12, 85.1) 16-10 -14.77 15.95 0.45 0.96 15.77
0 H Colorado Acade ( 7- 5, 95.2) 5-15 -4.74 25.98 -0.45 0.96 -4.99
0 A Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 3-15 -4.05 26.67 0.45 0.96 -3.47
0 H Valor Christia (17- 0, 99.9) 6-19 -0.00 30.72 -0.45 0.96 -0.43
0 A Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 2-18 -2.83 27.90 0.45 0.96 -2.29
------
34.09
|
winning pts = 90.1240 losing points = -56.0370
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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