Chesapeake AA
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 87.1108Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Southern ( 7- 9, 85.9) 14- 9 325 H Atholton ( 5-10, 76.2) 16- 1 328 H Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 6-18 401 A Wilde Lake ( 3-10, 73.8) 13- 4 404 A Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 14-10 407 A Arundel ( 6- 7, 87.5) 3- 6 408 A Old Mill ( 3-10, 76.2) 12- 1 411 H Glen Burnie ( 4- 9, 75.4) 17- 3 423 H Northeast ( 5- 8, 77.4) 14- 4 425 H Meade ( 0-12, 67.4) 17- 0 502 H South River (10- 4, 92.1) 2-15 512 H Northeast ( 5- 8, 77.4) 14- 5 514 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 11-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Southern 14- 9 5 2 + 3.36
325 H Atholton 16- 1 15 11 0.00
328 H Broadneck 6-18 -12 -6 0.00
401 A Wilde Lake 13- 4 9 13 0.00
404 A Annapolis 14-10 4 3 0.97
407 A Arundel 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.17
408 A Old Mill 12- 1 11 10 0.00
411 H Glen Burnie 17- 3 14 12 0.00
423 H Northeast 14- 4 10 10 0.00
425 H Meade 17- 0 17 20 0.00
502 H South River 2-15 -13 -5 -0.49
512 H Northeast 14- 5 9 10 0.00
514 H CM Wright 11-13 -2 -1 -1.37
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Arundel 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Southern 14- 9 5 2 + 3.36 |
Chesapeake AA Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Brookewood SG | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Concordia Prep | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| DC International | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| FCA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Field School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Friends School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Indian Creek | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Jemicy | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| KIPP College Prep | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Maret School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Park School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| School Without Walls | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| St James School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Marys | |
| St Marys Ryken | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Tome School | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Washington Latin | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Worcester Prep | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Aberdeen | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Annapolis | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bel Air | |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Bladensburg | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Blair | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Blake | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Boonsboro | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Bowie | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Calvert | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Cambridge SD | Chesapeake AA | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Carver A&T | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Catoctin | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Centennial | |
| Central PG | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Chesapeake AA | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Chesapeake BC | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chopticon | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| City College | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Clarksburg | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) | Crofton | |
| Damascus | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Dulaney | |
| Dundalk | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| DuVal | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Eastern Technical | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Einstein | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Elkton | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Fallston | |
| Francis Scott Key | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Franklin | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Frederick | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Chesapeake AA | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Gaithersburg | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Glen Burnie | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Glenelg HS | |
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Great Mills | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Guilford Park | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Gwynn Park | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Hammond | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Harford Tech | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Havre De Grace | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Hereford | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Howard | Howard | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Howard | |
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Kennedy | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Kent County | Chesapeake AA | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| La Plata | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Lackey | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Lansdowne | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Laurel | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Leonardtown | |
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Long Reach | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Magruder | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Manchester Valley | |
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Middletown | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Milford Mill | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| MJ McDonough | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Mount Hebron | |
| New Town | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| North Caroline | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| North County | Chesapeake AA | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 4) | Chesapeake AA | |
| North Dorchester | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| North East Cecil | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| North Hagerstown | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| North Harford | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| North Point | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Northeast | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Northwestern PG | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Northwood | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Oakdale | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Oakland Mills | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Old Mill | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Overlea | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Owings Mills | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Oxon Hill | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Paint Branch | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Parkdale | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Parkside | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Parkville | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Patapsco | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Patterson Mill | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Patuxent | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Perry Hall | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Perryville | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Pikesville | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Poolesville | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Queen Annes County | |
| Quince Orchard | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Randallstown | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Randallstown | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Reservoir | Chesapeake AA | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Richard Montgomery | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Rising Sun | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| River Hill | River Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | River Hill | |
| Rockville | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Seneca Valley | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Severn Run | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | South Carroll | |
| South Hagerstown | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Sparrows Point | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Springbrook | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| St Charles | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Suitland | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Thomas Stone | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Towson | Towson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Towson | |
| Tuscarora | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Walter Johnson | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Watkins Mill | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Western Baltimore | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Western STES | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Westlake | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Whitman | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Wicomico | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Wilde Lake | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Winston Churchill | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Winters Mill | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Woodlawn | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Wootton | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA |
PowerWise = 167
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Southern ( 7- 9, 85.9) 14- 9 -13.98 23.94 -0.45 0.92 21.61
0 H Atholton ( 5-10, 76.2) 16- 1 -23.73 14.19 -0.45 0.92 12.65
0 H Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 6-18 -6.12 31.80 -0.45 0.92 -6.04
0 A Wilde Lake ( 3-10, 73.8) 13- 4 -26.11 11.81 0.45 0.92 11.28
0 A Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 14-10 -16.27 21.65 0.45 0.92 20.34
0 A Arundel ( 6- 7, 87.5) 3- 6 -12.41 25.51 0.45 0.92 -11.00
0 A Old Mill ( 3-10, 76.2) 12- 1 -23.70 14.22 0.45 0.92 13.50
0 H Glen Burnie ( 4- 9, 75.4) 17- 3 -24.46 13.46 -0.45 0.92 11.97
0 H Northeast ( 5- 8, 77.4) 14- 4 -22.49 15.43 -0.45 0.92 13.78
0 H Meade ( 0-12, 67.4) 17- 0 -32.46 5.46 -0.45 0.92 4.61
0 H South River (10- 4, 92.1) 2-15 -7.83 30.09 -0.45 0.92 -7.62
0 H Northeast ( 5- 8, 77.4) 14- 5 -22.49 15.43 -0.45 0.92 13.78
0 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 11-13 -11.71 26.21 -0.45 0.92 -11.19
------
87.68
|
winning pts = 123.5365 losing points = -35.8562
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------