---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Cheshire HS 1
  
Cheshire HS           
W-L: (16- 4) PR = 90.1671

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Sheehan ( 8-10, 78.3) 15- 2 409 H Foran (10- 7, 81.1) 17- 6 411 A Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 8-11 414 A Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 14- 9 416 A Sacred Heart Academy (10-10, 80.3) 18- 3 421 A Lauralton Hall (14- 7, 82.7) 19- 9 423 H Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 17- 2 428 H Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 13- 2 430 A Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 2-16 502 H Newtown (13- 8, 87.9) 11- 7 505 H Amity Regional (15- 6, 89.2) 17- 8 508 H East Lyme (17- 4, 85.2) 19- 9 512 A Daniel Hand (13- 9, 86.3) 9- 6 515 A Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 14- 9 519 H Lyman Hall (10- 7, 79.3) 18- 3 522 H Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 16- 7 527 H Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 6- 7 606 H Fairfield Warde (13- 6, 85.0) 12- 8 610 N Amity Regional (15- 6, 89.2) 14-11 615 N Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 4-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Sheehan                15- 2      13    11           0.00
   409 H Foran                  17- 6      11    10           0.00
   411 A Conard                  8-11      -3    -3          -0.11
   414 A Branford               14- 9       5     4           1.20
   416 A Sacred Heart Academy   18- 3      15     9           0.00
   421 A Lauralton Hall         19- 9      10     7           0.00
   423 H Farmington             17- 2      15     8           0.00
   428 H Guilford               13- 2      11     8           0.00
   430 A Wilton                  2-16     -14    -6           0.00
   502 H Newtown                11- 7       4     3           1.00
   505 H Amity Regional         17- 8       9     2    +      3.27
   508 H East Lyme              19- 9      10     6           0.00
   512 A Daniel Hand             9- 6       3     3          -0.14
   515 A Staples                14- 9       5     0    ++     5.13
   519 H Lyman Hall             18- 3      15    12           0.00
   522 H Glastonbury            16- 7       9     9           0.00
   527 H Branford                6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.00
   606 H Fairfield Warde        12- 8       4     6          -1.00
   610 N Amity Regional         14-11       3     1           1.99
   615 N Simsbury                4-12      -8    -1    --    -4.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   527 H Branford                6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.00
   615 N Simsbury                4-12      -8    -1    --    -4.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Staples                14- 9       5     0    ++     5.13
   505 H Amity Regional         17- 8       9     2    +      3.27

Cheshire HS Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Avon HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Bacon/East Hampton Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Berlin Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bethel Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Branford Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   8- 1 vs 5- 4
Brien McMahon Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bristol Central Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Bristol Eastern Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Brookfield Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Canton Cheshire HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cheshire HS
Conard Conard Conard  
Cromwell Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Danbury Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Daniel Hand Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Darien Darien insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Darien
East Catholic Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
East Lyme Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Ellington Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Cheshire HS
Enfield Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
EO Smith Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Fairfield Ludlowe Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Fairfield Warde Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Farmington Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Fitch Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Foran Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Glastonbury Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Granby Memorial Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Greenwich HS
Griswold-Norwich Tech Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Guilford Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Haddam-Killingworth Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Hall Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Cheshire HS
Hamden Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Housatonic Regional Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Immaculate Heart Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Joel Barlow Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Jonathan Law Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Killingly Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Lakeview United Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Lauralton Hall Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Ledyard Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Lewis Mills Cheshire HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Lyman Hall Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Masuk Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) Cheshire HS
Mercy Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   6- 1 vs 1- 5
Middletown-Coginchaug Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Montville Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Morgan School Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
New Canaan New Canaan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 0) New Fairfield
New London/St Bernards Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
New Milford Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Newington Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Cheshire HS
Newtown Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
North Branford Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   3- 0 vs 1- 2
North Haven Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   5- 1 vs 0- 5
Northwest Catholic Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Norwalk Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Cheshire HS
Norwich Free Academy Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Cheshire HS
Notre Dame Fairfield Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Old Lyme Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Old Saybrook Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Pomperaug Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   4- 1 vs 0- 4
RHAM Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ridgefield Ridgefield insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Ridgefield
Rockville Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Rocky Hill Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Sacred Heart Academy Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Sheehan Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Shelton Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury  
Somers Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Cheshire HS
South Windsor Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Southington Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   3- 2 vs 1- 4
St Joseph Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   6- 1 vs 2- 4
St Paul Catholic Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Stamford Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Staples Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Stonington Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Stratford-Bunnell Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Suffield HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Tolland Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Cheshire HS
Trumbull Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Cheshire HS
Valley Regional Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Waterford Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   4- 1 vs 1- 3
Watertown Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
West Haven Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   4- 1 vs 0- 4
Westhill Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Weston Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Wethersfield Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Wheeler Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS
Wilton Wilton Wilton  
Windsor Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Wolcott Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Woodstock Academy Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cheshire HS

PowerWise = 88


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Sheehan         ( 8-10, 78.3)    15- 2      -21.60      13.21       0.73         0.88            12.20
   0 H Foran           (10- 7, 81.1)    17- 6      -18.79      16.01      -0.73         0.88            13.38
   0 A Conard          (18- 2, 92.3)     8-11       -7.57      27.24       0.73         0.88            -5.99
   0 A Branford        (14- 8, 85.6)    14- 9      -14.26      20.55       0.73         0.88            18.62
   0 A Sacred Heart A  (10-10, 80.3)    18- 3      -19.62      15.19       0.73         0.88            13.93
   0 A Lauralton Hall  (14- 7, 82.7)    19- 9      -17.23      17.58       0.73         0.88            16.02
   0 H Farmington      (13- 6, 83.3)    17- 2      -16.60      18.20      -0.73         0.88            15.30
   0 H Guilford        ( 8- 9, 82.9)    13- 2      -17.00      17.81      -0.73         0.88            14.95
   0 A Wilton          (13- 3, 95.8)     2-16       -4.11      30.70       0.73         0.88            -2.96
   0 H Newtown         (13- 8, 87.9)    11- 7      -12.01      22.80      -0.73         0.88            19.32
   0 H Amity Regional  (15- 6, 89.2)    17- 8      -10.74      24.07      -0.73         0.88            20.43
   0 H East Lyme       (17- 4, 85.2)    19- 9      -14.70      20.11      -0.73         0.88            16.96
   0 A Daniel Hand     (13- 9, 86.3)     9- 6      -13.60      21.21       0.73         0.88            19.20
   0 A Staples         (11- 8, 89.6)    14- 9      -10.33      24.48       0.73         0.88            22.06
   0 H Lyman Hall      (10- 7, 79.3)    18- 3      -20.64      14.17      -0.73         0.88            11.77
   0 H Glastonbury     ( 9- 9, 81.4)    16- 7      -18.48      16.33      -0.73         0.88            13.66
   0 H Branford        (14- 8, 85.6)     6- 7      -14.26      20.55      -0.73         0.88           -13.12
   0 H Fairfield Ward  (13- 6, 85.0)    12- 8      -14.87      19.94      -0.73         0.88            16.82
   0 N Amity Regional  (15- 6, 89.2)    14-11      -10.74      24.07      -0.00         0.88            21.07
   0 N Simsbury        (17- 2, 91.0)     4-12       -8.92      25.89      -0.00         0.88            -7.81
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       235.81

winning pts = 265.6907 losing points = -29.8762

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------