All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.2099991 home-field advantage = -1.06 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Lake Braddock (11- 6, 71.7) 7- 9 323 H Hayfield ( 4- 9, 64.7) 17- 5 325 A McLean (10- 4, 71.9) 13-20 406 A Yorktown (14- 3, 87.8) 6-14 408 A Marshall ( 1-13, 62.3) 23- 4 415 A Washington-Liberty ( 4-14, 73.3) 16- 9 420 A Westfield (13- 7, 76.8) 8-10 424 A Oakton ( 9- 7, 83.7) 7-14 428 H James Madison (17- 3, 85.8) 6-16 504 A South Lakes ( 8- 8, 81.0) 10- 5 508 H Centreville ( 2-13, 74.0) 19- 6 513 H South Lakes ( 8- 8, 81.0) 12- 8 515 A James Madison (17- 3, 85.8) 9-22 522 A McLean (10- 4, 71.9) 12-11 529 A Westfield (13- 7, 76.8) 7-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Lake Braddock 7- 9 -2 6 --- -8.54 323 H Hayfield 17- 5 12 13 0.00 325 A McLean 13-20 -7 4 --- -11.22 406 A Yorktown 6-14 -8 -11 0.00 408 A Marshall 23- 4 19 13 0.00 415 A Washington-Liberty 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.16 420 A Westfield 8-10 -2 0 -1.34 424 A Oakton 7-14 -7 -7 0.00 428 H James Madison 6-16 -10 -7 0.00 504 A South Lakes 10- 5 5 -4 +++ 9.81 508 H Centreville 19- 6 13 4 + 2.76 513 H South Lakes 12- 8 4 -2 +++ 6.69 515 A James Madison 9-22 -13 -9 0.00 522 A McLean 12-11 1 4 - -3.22 529 A Westfield 7-11 -4 0 - -3.34UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Lake Braddock 7- 9 -2 6 --- -8.54 325 A McLean 13-20 -7 4 --- -11.22 522 A McLean 12-11 1 4 - -3.22 529 A Westfield 7-11 -4 0 - -3.34OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 A South Lakes 10- 5 5 -4 +++ 9.81 513 H South Lakes 12- 8 4 -2 +++ 6.69 415 A Washington-Liberty 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.16 508 H Centreville 19- 6 13 4 + 2.76
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 77.21 Power Rank................. 10 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 52.18 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6649 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 5 RPI Rating............... .5399 RPI Rank................... 17 Champ. Probability ...... 1.1 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 46 Selection Rank ............ 11 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 0. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 16 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -30. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 24 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.3