Chapel Hill
W-L: (21- 1) PR = 97.2708Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Middle Creek (10- 9, 86.6) 17- 4 310 A Cuthbertson (10- 9, 90.6) 19- 6 312 A Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 20- 7 317 H Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 18- 0 319 H Northwood ( 3-10, 76.1) 16- 0 321 H Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 20- 6 324 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 17- 0 326 A Riverside Durham ( 1-16, 74.7) 1- 0 328 H Weddington (17- 6, 95.6) 14-10 409 A East Chapel Hill (22- 4, 94.1) 10- 6 414 H Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 18- 9 416 H Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 16- 2 421 A Northwood ( 3-10, 76.1) 19- 0 423 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 19- 4 425 A Northwest Guilford (16- 5, 88.2) 22- 6 430 H Pinecrest (17- 5, 90.0) 15- 3 503 H Bishop McGuinness (20- 4, 86.2) 15- 2 505 H East Chapel Hill (22- 4, 94.1) 17-11 508 A Apex Friendship (13- 9, 87.6) 21-10 516 A Apex Friendship (13- 9, 87.6) 16- 3 520 H Apex (20- 3, 92.1) 13-10 523 A Cardinal Gibbons (17- 0, 99.9) 8-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Middle Creek 17- 4 13 11 0.00
310 A Cuthbertson 19- 6 13 6 0.00
312 A Seaforth 20- 7 13 12 0.00
317 H Jordan 18- 0 18 21 0.00
319 H Northwood 16- 0 16 22 0.00
321 H Union Pines 20- 6 14 7 0.00
324 A Carrboro 17- 0 17 17 0.00
328 H Weddington 14-10 4 2 + 2.02
409 A East Chapel Hill 10- 6 4 3 1.16
414 H Seaforth 18- 9 9 13 0.00
416 H Jordan 16- 2 14 21 0.00
421 A Northwood 19- 0 19 21 0.00
423 A Carrboro 19- 4 15 17 0.00
425 A Northwest Guilford 22- 6 16 9 0.00
430 H Pinecrest 15- 3 12 8 0.00
503 H Bishop McGuinness 15- 2 13 11 0.00
505 H East Chapel Hill 17-11 6 3 1.55
508 A Apex Friendship 21-10 11 9 0.00
516 A Apex Friendship 16- 3 13 9 0.00
520 H Apex 13-10 3 6 - -2.00
523 A Cardinal Gibbons 8-21 -13 -3 - -2.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 H Apex 13-10 3 6 - -2.00 523 A Cardinal Gibbons 8-21 -13 -3 - -2.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Weddington 14-10 4 2 + 2.02 |
Chapel Hill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Apex Friendship | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Arendell Parrott Academy | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Asheville HS | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Asheville School | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Ashley | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Athens Drive | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 2) | Chapel Hill | |
| Atkins | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Ballantyne Ridge | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Bishop McGuinness | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Broughton | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Butler | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Cannon School | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Cape Fear Academy | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Cary Academy | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cary HS | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 2) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte CDS | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Christian | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Charlotte Latin School | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Christ the King | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Clayton | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Cleveland | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Community School Davidso | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Corinth Holders | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Croatan | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cuthbertson | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Davidson Day School | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Davie | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| DH Conley | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Durham Academy | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| East Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| East Forsyth | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Enloe | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Fayetteville Academy | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Fike | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| First Flight | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Forsyth CDS | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Fuquay-Varina | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Garner | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Glenn | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Green Hope | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Green Level | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Greensboro Day School | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Grimsley | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Havelock | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Heritage | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Hickory | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| High Point Central | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Hoggard | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Holly Springs | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 6- 0)( 5- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Hopewell | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Hough | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Hunt | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Independence | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Jack Britt | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Jacksonville | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| JH Rose | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Jordan | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Lake Norman HS | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Laney | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Leesville Road | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Chapel Hill | |
| Lincoln Charter | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Middle Creek | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Millbrook | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Mooresville | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Mount Tabor | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Myers Park | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| New Bern | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| New Hanover | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| North Brunswick | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| North Davidson | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| North Lincoln | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Northern Guilford | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Northside | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Northwood | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Page | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Panther Creek | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Parkwood | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Patton | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Pine Forest | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Pinecrest | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Porter Ridge | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Providence | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Providence Day | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Ragsdale | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Ravenscroft School | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Riverside Durham | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| RJ Reynolds | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Rolesville | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Ronald Reagan | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Sanderson | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Seaforth | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| South Brunswick | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| South Iredell | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Southlake Christian | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| St Davids School | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| St Marys | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| St Stephens | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Sun Valley | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Swansboro | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| TC Roberson | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Terry Sanford | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Topsail | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Union Pines | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Wake Forest | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Wakefield | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Chapel Hill | |
| Watauga | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Weddington | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| West Brunswick | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| West Forsyth | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| West Stokes | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| White Oak | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Willow Spring | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Chapel Hill |
PowerWise = 125
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Middle Creek (10- 9, 86.6) 17- 4 -13.33 26.47 -0.31 0.77 20.06
0 A Cuthbertson (10- 9, 90.6) 19- 6 -9.32 30.49 0.31 0.77 23.61
0 A Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 20- 7 -15.13 24.67 0.31 0.77 19.15
0 H Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 18- 0 -22.94 16.87 -0.31 0.77 12.70
0 H Northwood ( 3-10, 76.1) 16- 0 -23.84 15.96 -0.31 0.77 12.00
0 H Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 20- 6 -9.67 30.14 -0.31 0.77 22.87
0 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 17- 0 -20.33 19.47 0.31 0.77 15.16
0 A Riverside Durh ( 1-16, 74.7) 1- 0 -25.23 14.58 0.31 0.77 11.41
0 H Weddington (17- 6, 95.6) 14-10 -4.31 35.50 -0.31 0.77 26.98
0 A East Chapel Hi (22- 4, 94.1) 10- 6 -5.77 34.03 0.31 0.77 26.32
0 H Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 18- 9 -15.13 24.67 -0.31 0.77 18.68
0 H Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 16- 2 -22.94 16.87 -0.31 0.77 12.70
0 A Northwood ( 3-10, 76.1) 19- 0 -23.84 15.96 0.31 0.77 12.47
0 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 19- 4 -20.33 19.47 0.31 0.77 15.16
0 A Northwest Guil (16- 5, 88.2) 22- 6 -11.67 28.14 0.31 0.77 21.81
0 H Pinecrest (17- 5, 90.0) 15- 3 -9.89 29.92 -0.31 0.77 22.70
0 H Bishop McGuinn (20- 4, 86.2) 15- 2 -13.71 26.09 -0.31 0.77 19.77
0 H East Chapel Hi (22- 4, 94.1) 17-11 -5.77 34.03 -0.31 0.77 25.86
0 A Apex Friendshi (13- 9, 87.6) 21-10 -12.32 27.49 0.31 0.77 21.31
0 A Apex Friendshi (13- 9, 87.6) 16- 3 -12.32 27.49 0.31 0.77 21.31
0 H Apex (20- 3, 92.1) 13-10 -7.84 31.96 -0.31 0.77 24.27
0 A Cardinal Gibbo (17- 0, 99.9) 8-21 -0.00 39.80 0.31 0.77 -0.23
------
406.06
|
winning pts = 406.2948 losing points = -0.2340
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------