---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Centennial 1
  
Centennial            
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 85.8227

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 A Grand Rapids-Greenway ( 8- 6, 84.9) 11- 4 414 H Blaine ( 7- 5, 86.7) 5- 8 416 H Spring Lake Park/Coon ( 5-10, 82.6) 7- 1 501 H Simley ( 6- 7, 85.9) 8- 9 503 A Anoka ( 4-10, 82.4) 16- 2 505 H Andover ( 5- 8, 84.9) 6- 4 507 H Champlin Park (12- 3, 91.5) 7-14 512 H Hopkins ( 7- 8, 86.4) 8- 9 514 H Maple Grove (15- 4, 93.2) 3-15 521 H Rogers ( 7- 7, 87.5) 8-11 522 A Elk River/Zimmerman (12- 6, 90.2) 4-15 529 H Forest Lake ( 3-12, 81.5) 12- 2 603 H Duluth Co-Op ( 9- 5, 84.4) 9- 8 605 A Chisago Lakes (14- 4, 90.0) 4-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Grand Rapids-Greenway  11- 4       7     0    ++     4.64
   414 H Blaine                  5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.74
   416 H Spring Lake Park/Coon   7- 1       6     4           1.16
   501 H Simley                  8- 9      -1     0          -1.48
   503 A Anoka                  16- 2      14     3    +      2.16
   505 H Andover                 6- 4       2     2           0.46
   507 H Champlin Park           7-14      -7    -5           0.00
   512 H Hopkins                 8- 9      -1     0          -1.03
   514 H Maple Grove             3-15     -12    -7           0.00
   521 H Rogers                  8-11      -3    -1          -1.92
   522 A Elk River/Zimmerman     4-15     -11    -5          -0.03
   529 H Forest Lake            12- 2      10     5           0.05
   603 H Duluth Co-Op            9- 8       1     2          -1.01
   605 A Chisago Lakes           4-10      -6    -5          -0.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Blaine                  5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Grand Rapids-Greenway  11- 4       7     0    ++     4.64
   503 A Anoka                  16- 2      14     3    +      2.16

Centennial Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Centennial Centennial  
Anoka Centennial Centennial  
Apple Valley Centennial insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Centennial
Becker Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake Centennial insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Centennial
Blaine Blaine Blaine  
Blake School Blake School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Blake School
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson   Bloomington Jefferson
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn Centennial   Centennial
Brainerd Centennial insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Centennial
Breck School Centennial insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Centennial
Buffalo Buffalo insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Buffalo
Champlin Park Champlin Park Champlin Park  
Chanhassen Chanhassen tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chanhassen
Chaska Chaska   Chaska
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Columbia Heights Centennial   Centennial
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford   Delano/Rockford
Duluth Co-Op Centennial Centennial  
Duluth Marshall Centennial Centennial   3- 1 vs 0- 4
East Ridge East Ridge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Ridge
Eastview/Eagan Centennial insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Centennial
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Eden Prairie
Edina Edina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Forest Lake Centennial Centennial  
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Gentry/Mounds Park Acade   Gentry/Mounds Park Acade
Grand Rapids-Greenway Centennial Centennial  
Hastings Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
Hermantown-Proctor Centennial Centennial   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hill-Murray
Holy Angels Academy Holy Angels Academy   Holy Angels Academy
Holy Family Catholic Centennial   Centennial
Hopkins Hopkins Hopkins  
Hutchinson Centennial   Centennial
Irondale Centennial Centennial   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lakeville North Centennial   Centennial
Lakeville South Lakeville South   Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mahtomedi
Mankato Co-Op Centennial   Centennial
Maple Grove Maple Grove Maple Grove  
Minneapolis Co-Op Centennial   Centennial
Minnetonka Minnetonka Minnetonka   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Monticello Centennial tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Centennial
Moorhead Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Moorhead
Mound Westonka Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
Mounds View Centennial tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Centennial
New Prague Centennial   Centennial
Northfield Centennial   Centennial
Orono Orono Orono   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Osseo-Park Center Centennial insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 1- 6) Centennial
Owatonna Centennial   Centennial
Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Prior Lake Prior Lake Prior Lake   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Centennial tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) Centennial
Rochester Century Centennial   Centennial
Rochester JM/Lourdes Centennial   Centennial
Rochester Mayo Centennial   Centennial
Rocori Centennial   Centennial
Rogers Rogers Rogers  
Rosemount Rosemount insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Rosemount
Roseville Roseville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Roseville
Sartell-Sauk Rapids Centennial insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Centennial
Shakopee Shakopee insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Shakopee
Simley Simley Simley  
Southwest Christian Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Centennial Centennial  
St Cloud Area Centennial   Centennial
St Croix Prep St Croix Prep St Croix Prep   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Louis Park Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville   3- 0 vs 0- 3
St Paul Academy Centennial   Centennial
St Paul/Two Rivers Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
Stillwater Stillwater insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Stillwater
Tartan/North St Paul Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
Totino-Grace Centennial tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) Centennial
Visitation Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
Waconia Centennial   Centennial
Wayzata Wayzata Wayzata   3- 0 vs 1- 2
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) White Bear Lake
Woodbury Woodbury tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Woodbury

PowerWise = 45


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Grand Rapids-G  ( 8- 6, 84.9)    11- 4      -15.03      18.03       0.59         1.05            19.53
   0 H Blaine          ( 7- 5, 86.7)     5- 8      -13.22      19.84      -0.59         1.05           -14.49
   0 H Spring Lake Pa  ( 5-10, 82.6)     7- 1      -17.33      15.73      -0.59         1.05            15.88
   0 H Simley          ( 6- 7, 85.9)     8- 9      -13.97      19.09      -0.59         1.05           -15.27
   0 A Anoka           ( 4-10, 82.4)    16- 2      -17.51      15.55       0.59         1.05            16.92
   0 H Andover         ( 5- 8, 84.9)     6- 4      -15.02      18.04      -0.59         1.05            18.30
   0 H Champlin Park   (12- 3, 91.5)     7-14       -8.41      24.65      -0.59         1.05            -9.44
   0 H Hopkins         ( 7- 8, 86.4)     8- 9      -13.51      19.55      -0.59         1.05           -14.79
   0 H Maple Grove     (15- 4, 93.2)     3-15       -6.68      26.38      -0.59         1.05            -7.63
   0 H Rogers          ( 7- 7, 87.5)     8-11      -12.40      20.66      -0.59         1.05           -13.63
   0 A Elk River/Zimm  (12- 6, 90.2)     4-15       -9.70      23.36       0.59         1.05            -9.56
   0 H Forest Lake     ( 3-12, 81.5)    12- 2      -18.44      14.62      -0.59         1.05            14.71
   0 H Duluth Co-Op    ( 9- 5, 84.4)     9- 8      -15.50      17.56      -0.59         1.05            17.80
   0 A Chisago Lakes   (14- 4, 90.0)     4-10       -9.90      23.16       0.59         1.05            -9.76
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         8.58

winning pts = 103.1373 losing points = -94.5619

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------