---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:45 PDT

safe3step girls Centennial 1
  
Centennial            
W-L: ( 1- 7) PR = 89.3287

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Capital ( 1- 9, 89.1) 12- 5 311 H Rocky Mountain ( 7- 5, 94.5) 2-14 405 H Idaho Falls ( 6- 5, 94.3) 6-14 410 H Owyhee ( 6- 7, 92.7) 4- 8 414 A Timberline ( 7- 5, 94.2) 3-17 417 H Bishop Kelly ( 6- 7, 94.2) 2-11 426 A Teton Valley ( 6- 5, 93.7) 3-15 508 A Vallivue ( 5- 6, 92.6) 5-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Capital                12- 5       7     1    ++     4.17
   311 H Rocky Mountain          2-14     -12    -5          -0.41
   405 H Idaho Falls             6-14      -8    -4          -0.68
   410 H Owyhee                  4- 8      -4    -3          -1.20
   414 A Timberline              3-17     -14    -6           0.00
   417 H Bishop Kelly            2-11      -9    -4          -0.75
   426 A Teton Valley            3-15     -12    -5          -0.01
   508 A Vallivue                5-16     -11    -4          -1.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Capital                12- 5       7     1    ++     4.17

Centennial Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bishop Kelly Bishop Kelly Bishop Kelly  
Boise Boise Boise   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Capital Centennial Centennial  
Eagle Eagle Eagle   6- 1 vs 0- 7
Idaho Falls Idaho Falls Idaho Falls  
Middleton Middleton insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 2- 5) Middleton
Mountain View Mountain View Mountain View   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Owyhee Owyhee Owyhee  
Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain  
Sun Valley Sun Valley tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5) Sun Valley
Teton Valley Teton Valley Teton Valley  
Timberline Timberline Timberline  
Vallivue Vallivue Vallivue  

PowerWise = 1


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.43

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Capital         ( 1- 9, 89.1)    12- 5      -10.79       1.00      -0.61         1.43             0.56
   0 H Rocky Mountain  ( 7- 5, 94.5)     2-14       -5.37       5.90      -0.61         1.43            -8.55
   0 H Idaho Falls     ( 6- 5, 94.3)     6-14       -5.64       5.63      -0.61         1.43            -8.92
   0 H Owyhee          ( 6- 7, 92.7)     4- 8       -7.16       4.11      -0.61         1.43           -11.10
   0 A Timberline      ( 7- 5, 94.2)     3-17       -5.66       5.61       0.61         1.43            -7.22
   0 H Bishop Kelly    ( 6- 7, 94.2)     2-11       -5.71       5.56      -0.61         1.43            -9.03
   0 A Teton Valley    ( 6- 5, 93.7)     3-15       -6.19       5.08       0.61         1.43            -7.97
   0 A Vallivue        ( 5- 6, 92.6)     5-16       -7.31       3.96       0.61         1.43            -9.57
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -61.80

winning pts = 0.5566 losing points = -62.3584

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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