---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Cary HS 1
  
Cary HS               
W-L: ( 0-20) PR = 67.5242

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 H Sanderson ( 8- 9, 79.2) 1-15 304 A Athens Drive (10-10, 82.8) 2-19 311 A Panther Creek ( 3-13, 79.8) 3-25 312 A Jack Britt ( 4-16, 69.6) 2- 4 313 H Apex (20- 3, 92.1) 0-19 317 A Green Level ( 3-13, 78.7) 5-16 320 A Middle Creek (10- 9, 86.6) 1-22 327 A Apex Friendship (13- 9, 87.6) 0-21 408 H Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 0-21 410 H Panther Creek ( 3-13, 79.8) 2-21 414 H Wakefield (12- 9, 84.3) 2-20 415 H Apex (20- 3, 92.1) 0-19 416 H Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 2-21 423 H Rolesville ( 3-16, 68.8) 10-12 424 H Middle Creek (10- 9, 86.6) 0-21 428 H Green Level ( 3-13, 78.7) 2-17 429 A Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 0-19 501 H Apex Friendship (13- 9, 87.6) 1-23 506 A Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 3-20 507 A Rolesville ( 3-16, 68.8) 9-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Sanderson               1-15     -14   -11           0.00
   304 A Athens Drive            2-19     -17   -16           0.00
   311 A Panther Creek           3-25     -22   -13           0.00
   312 A Jack Britt              2- 4      -2    -2           0.41
   313 H Apex                    0-19     -19   -24           0.00
   317 A Green Level             5-16     -11   -11           0.00
   320 A Middle Creek            1-22     -21   -19           0.00
   327 A Apex Friendship         0-21     -21   -20           0.00
   408 H Green Hope              0-21     -21   -16           0.00
   410 H Panther Creek           2-21     -19   -12           0.00
   414 H Wakefield               2-20     -18   -16           0.00
   415 H Apex                    0-19     -19   -24           0.00
   416 H Holly Springs           2-21     -19   -26           0.00
   423 H Rolesville             10-12      -2    -1          -1.06
   424 H Middle Creek            0-21     -21   -19           0.00
   428 H Green Level             2-17     -15   -11           0.00
   429 A Holly Springs           0-19     -19   -27           0.00
   501 H Apex Friendship         1-23     -22   -20           0.00
   506 A Green Hope              3-20     -17   -17           0.00
   507 A Rolesville              9-10      -1    -2           0.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Cary HS Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex Apex  
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy   Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive Athens Drive  
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton Broughton   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Butler Butler   Butler
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cape Fear HS
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cary Academy
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton Clayton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Clayton
Cleveland Cleveland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cleveland
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso   Community School Davidso
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Corinth Holders
Croatan Croatan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School   Davidson Day School
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley DH Conley   DH Conley
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Enloe Enloe tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Enloe
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS   Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Fuquay-Varina
Garner Garner insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Garner
Glenn Cary HS   Cary HS
Green Hope Green Hope Green Hope  
Green Level Green Level Green Level  
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School   Greensboro Day School
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Havelock   Havelock
Heritage Heritage Heritage   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Cary HS   Cary HS
Hoggard Hoggard tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs Holly Springs  
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Hunt Hunt   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Independence Cary HS   Cary HS
Jack Britt Jack Britt Jack Britt  
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JH Rose JH Rose insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) JH Rose
Jordan Jordan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road Leesville Road   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek Middle Creek  
Millbrook Millbrook Millbrook   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor   Mount Tabor
Myers Park Myers Park Myers Park   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick North Brunswick insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Brunswick
North Davidson North Davidson   North Davidson
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek Panther Creek  
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Patton   Patton
Pine Forest Cary HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cary HS
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest Pinecrest   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Porter Ridge Porter Ridge   Porter Ridge
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Ragsdale   Ragsdale
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Riverside Durham
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Rolesville Rolesville  
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan   Ronald Reagan
Sanderson Sanderson Sanderson  
Seaforth Seaforth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell South Iredell   South Iredell
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford   Southeast Guilford
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford   Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest Wake Forest   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Wakefield Wakefield Wakefield  
Watauga Cary HS   Cary HS
Weddington Weddington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes West Stokes   West Stokes
White Oak White Oak   White Oak
Willow Spring Willow Spring Willow Spring   3- 2 vs 0- 5

PowerWise = 5


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Sanderson       ( 8- 9, 79.2)     1-15      -20.68      19.13      -0.31         0.84           -17.70
   0 A Athens Drive    (10-10, 82.8)     2-19      -17.11      22.70       0.31         0.84           -14.17
   0 A Panther Creek   ( 3-13, 79.8)     3-25      -20.13      19.67       0.31         0.84           -16.72
   0 A Jack Britt      ( 4-16, 69.6)     2- 4      -30.27       9.54       0.31         0.84           -25.27
   0 H Apex            (20- 3, 92.1)     0-19       -7.84      31.96      -0.31         0.84            -6.87
   0 A Green Level     ( 3-13, 78.7)     5-16      -21.23      18.57       0.31         0.84           -17.65
   0 A Middle Creek    (10- 9, 86.6)     1-22      -13.33      26.47       0.31         0.84           -10.99
   0 A Apex Friendshi  (13- 9, 87.6)     0-21      -12.32      27.49       0.31         0.84           -10.13
   0 H Green Hope      ( 9-12, 84.3)     0-21      -15.63      24.18      -0.31         0.84           -13.44
   0 H Panther Creek   ( 3-13, 79.8)     2-21      -20.13      19.67      -0.31         0.84           -17.23
   0 H Wakefield       (12- 9, 84.3)     2-20      -15.65      24.16      -0.31         0.84           -13.45
   0 H Apex            (20- 3, 92.1)     0-19       -7.84      31.96      -0.31         0.84            -6.87
   0 H Holly Springs   (23- 2, 93.8)     2-21       -6.08      33.72      -0.31         0.84            -5.39
   0 H Rolesville      ( 3-16, 68.8)    10-12      -31.13       8.68      -0.31         0.84           -26.51
   0 H Middle Creek    (10- 9, 86.6)     0-21      -13.33      26.47      -0.31         0.84           -11.50
   0 H Green Level     ( 3-13, 78.7)     2-17      -21.23      18.57      -0.31         0.84           -18.16
   0 A Holly Springs   (23- 2, 93.8)     0-19       -6.08      33.72       0.31         0.84            -4.87
   0 H Apex Friendshi  (13- 9, 87.6)     1-23      -12.32      27.49      -0.31         0.84           -10.65
   0 A Green Hope      ( 9-12, 84.3)     3-20      -15.63      24.18       0.31         0.84           -12.92
   0 A Rolesville      ( 3-16, 68.8)     9-10      -31.13       8.68       0.31         0.84           -25.99
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -286.47

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -286.4735

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------