---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Mountain Crest 1
  
Mountain Crest        
W-L: ( 4-14) PR = 73.7461

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 A Clearfield (13- 7, 80.4) 2-10 308 H Maple Mountain ( 7-13, 80.3) 0-15 308 H Timpanogos (12- 6, 79.5) 0-17 312 H Syracuse (12- 7, 86.1) 4-20 321 H West Field ( 2-17, 70.4) 12-13 326 A Bear River (21- 0, 88.0) 0-25 328 H Sky View (10- 7, 77.0) 3-17 409 A Green Canyon ( 3-13, 73.0) 16-18 411 H Logan ( 8-11, 74.9) 12-11 416 A Ridgeline (10- 7, 77.9) 5-14 423 A West Field ( 2-17, 70.4) 11- 4 425 H Bear River (21- 0, 88.0) 1-27 430 A Sky View (10- 7, 77.0) 6- 8 502 H Green Canyon ( 3-13, 73.0) 13- 6 507 A Logan ( 8-11, 74.9) 8-11 509 H Ridgeline (10- 7, 77.9) 8-11 513 A Logan ( 8-11, 74.9) 12-10 515 H Canyon View (11- 3, 76.6) 8-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Clearfield              2-10      -8    -7           0.00
   308 H Maple Mountain          0-15     -15    -6           0.00
   308 H Timpanogos              0-17     -17    -5           0.00
   312 H Syracuse                4-20     -16   -12           0.00
   321 H West Field             12-13      -1     4    --    -4.85
   326 A Bear River              0-25     -25   -15           0.00
   328 H Sky View                3-17     -14    -3    -     -2.26
   409 A Green Canyon           16-18      -2     0    -     -2.23
   411 H Logan                  12-11       1    -1           1.58
   416 A Ridgeline               5-14      -9    -5          -0.28
   423 A West Field             11- 4       7     3    +      2.25
   425 H Bear River              1-27     -26   -14           0.00
   430 A Sky View                6- 8      -2    -4           1.84
   502 H Green Canyon           13- 6       7     1    +      3.67
   507 A Logan                   8-11      -3    -2          -1.33
   509 H Ridgeline               8-11      -3    -4           0.62
   513 A Logan                  12-10       2    -2    +      3.67
   515 H Canyon View             8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H West Field             12-13      -1     4    --    -4.85
   328 H Sky View                3-17     -14    -3    -     -2.26
   409 A Green Canyon           16-18      -2     0    -     -2.23
   515 H Canyon View             8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A West Field             11- 4       7     3    +      2.25
   502 H Green Canyon           13- 6       7     1    +      3.67
   513 A Logan                  12-10       2    -2    +      3.67

Mountain Crest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alta Alta   Alta
American Fork American Fork   American Fork
Bear River Bear River Bear River  
Bingham Bingham   Bingham
Bonneville Bonneville tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 3) Bonneville
Bountiful Bountiful tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bountiful
Box Elder Box Elder insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 2) Box Elder
Brighton Brighton Brighton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Canyon View Canyon View Canyon View  
Cedar Cedar tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Cedar
Cedar Valley Cedar Valley insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Cedar Valley
Clearfield Clearfield Clearfield  
Copper Hills Copper Hills insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Copper Hills
Corner Canyon Corner Canyon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Corner Canyon
Crimson Cliffs Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   2- 2 vs 0- 2
Davis Davis insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Davis
Desert Hills Mountain Crest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mountain Crest
East Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Mountain Crest
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmington
Fremont Fremont tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fremont
Green Canyon Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   3- 6 vs 1- 5
Herriman Herriman insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Herriman
Highland Highland Highland   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hillcrest Hillcrest tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 1) Hillcrest
Hurricane Hurricane insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hurricane
Jordan Mountain Crest tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Mountain Crest
Juan Diego Catholic Mountain Crest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mountain Crest
Judge Memorial Judge Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Judge Memorial
Layton Layton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Layton
Lehi Lehi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lehi
Logan Mountain Crest Mountain Crest  
Lone Peak Lone Peak insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lone Peak
Maple Mountain Maple Mountain Maple Mountain  
Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mountain Ridge
Mountain View Mountain Crest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mountain Crest
Northridge Northridge tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Northridge
Olympus Olympus   Olympus
Orem Orem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orem
Park City Park City insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Park City
Payson Payson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Payson
Pine View Mountain Crest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mountain Crest
Pleasant Grove Pleasant Grove   Pleasant Grove
Provo Provo Provo   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Ridgeline Ridgeline Ridgeline  
Riverton Riverton   Riverton
Roy Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   4- 5 vs 2- 3
Salem Hills Salem Hills insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Salem Hills
Sky View Sky View Sky View  
Skyline Skyline   Skyline
Skyridge Skyridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Skyridge
Snow Canyon Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) Mountain Crest
Spanish Fork Spanish Fork tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Spanish Fork
Springville Springville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Springville
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse  
Timpanogos Timpanogos Timpanogos  
Timpview Timpview tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Timpview
Uintah Mountain Crest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mountain Crest
Viewmont Viewmont insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 1) Viewmont
Wasatch Wasatch insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wasatch
Waterford Waterford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Waterford
Weber Weber tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weber
West Mountain Crest   Mountain Crest
West Field Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   3- 5 vs 0- 5
West Jordan West Jordan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Jordan
Westlake Westlake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Westlake
Woods Cross Woods Cross insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woods Cross

PowerWise = 14


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.79

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Clearfield      (13- 7, 80.4)     2-10      -19.51      18.44       0.55         0.99           -18.74
   0 H Maple Mountain  ( 7-13, 80.3)     0-15      -19.62      18.33      -0.55         0.99           -19.94
   0 H Timpanogos      (12- 6, 79.5)     0-17      -20.37      17.58      -0.55         0.99           -20.67
   0 H Syracuse        (12- 7, 86.1)     4-20      -13.81      24.14      -0.55         0.99           -14.19
   0 H West Field      ( 2-17, 70.4)    12-13      -29.45       8.49      -0.55         0.99           -29.65
   0 A Bear River      (21- 0, 88.0)     0-25      -11.86      26.08       0.55         0.99           -11.18
   0 H Sky View        (10- 7, 77.0)     3-17      -22.86      15.08      -0.55         0.99           -23.14
   0 A Green Canyon    ( 3-13, 73.0)    16-18      -26.93      11.02       0.55         0.99           -26.08
   0 H Logan           ( 8-11, 74.9)    12-11      -25.03      12.92      -0.55         0.99            12.23
   0 A Ridgeline       (10- 7, 77.9)     5-14      -21.98      15.96       0.55         0.99           -21.19
   0 A West Field      ( 2-17, 70.4)    11- 4      -29.45       8.49       0.55         0.99             8.94
   0 H Bear River      (21- 0, 88.0)     1-27      -11.86      26.08      -0.55         0.99           -12.27
   0 A Sky View        (10- 7, 77.0)     6- 8      -22.86      15.08       0.55         0.99           -22.06
   0 H Green Canyon    ( 3-13, 73.0)    13- 6      -26.93      11.02      -0.55         0.99            10.35
   0 A Logan           ( 8-11, 74.9)     8-11      -25.03      12.92       0.55         0.99           -24.20
   0 H Ridgeline       (10- 7, 77.9)     8-11      -21.98      15.96      -0.55         0.99           -22.27
   0 A Logan           ( 8-11, 74.9)    12-10      -25.03      12.92       0.55         0.99            13.31
   0 H Canyon View     (11- 3, 76.6)     8-13      -23.33      14.62      -0.55         0.99           -23.60
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -244.35

winning pts = 44.8181 losing points = -289.1686

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------