---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Catholic Central 1
  
Catholic Central      
W-L: (15- 6) PR = 97.0039

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 A Caledonia ( 9- 7, 89.5) 14- 6 328 A Detroit Country Day (17- 0, 99.9) 6-18 331 H East Grand Rapids (15- 2, 98.6) 1- 8 416 A Forest Hills Northern/ ( 6-15, 88.8) 11- 2 417 H Spring Lake ( 8- 9, 93.3) 17- 9 421 H Rockford (14- 5, 95.5) 13- 7 423 H Forest Hills Central ( 8- 7, 92.8) 11- 7 426 A Marian ( 9- 7, 91.9) 9- 3 426 N Detroit Country Day (17- 0, 99.9) 6- 9 426 A Birmingham Unified (11- 9, 91.8) 12- 5 428 A East Grand Rapids (15- 2, 98.6) 4- 6 430 A Spring Lake ( 8- 9, 93.3) 10- 9 505 H Forest Hills Northern/ ( 6-15, 88.8) 14- 0 509 A Brighton (14- 6, 94.9) 8-11 512 A Forest Hills Central ( 8- 7, 92.8) 12- 7 514 A Rockford (14- 5, 95.5) 8- 6 522 H Spring Lake ( 8- 9, 93.3) 15- 3 527 H Byron Center (12- 6, 89.6) 17- 4 530 A East Grand Rapids (15- 2, 98.6) 8- 7 604 N Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 19- 3 607 N Detroit Country Day (17- 0, 99.9) 9-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Caledonia              14- 6       8     7           0.00
   328 A Detroit Country Day     6-18     -12    -4          -1.48
   331 H East Grand Rapids       1- 8      -7    -1    --    -4.05
   416 A Forest Hills Northern/ 11- 2       9     8           0.00
   417 H Spring Lake            17- 9       8     4           0.69
   421 H Rockford               13- 7       6     2    +      2.84
   423 H Forest Hills Central   11- 7       4     5          -0.84
   426 A Marian                  9- 3       6     4           0.57
   426 N Detroit Country Day     6- 9      -3    -3          -0.10
   426 A Birmingham Unified     12- 5       7     5           0.46
   428 A East Grand Rapids       4- 6      -2    -2           0.20
   430 A Spring Lake            10- 9       1     3    -     -2.07
   505 H Forest Hills Northern/ 14- 0      14     9           0.00
   509 A Brighton                8-11      -3     1    --    -4.46
   512 A Forest Hills Central   12- 7       5     4           1.40
   514 A Rockford                8- 6       2     1           1.08
   522 H Spring Lake            15- 3      12     4           0.69
   527 H Byron Center           17- 4      13     8           0.00
   530 A East Grand Rapids       8- 7       1    -2    +      3.20
   604 N Haslett                19- 3      16     6           0.00
   607 N Detroit Country Day     9-10      -1    -3           1.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H East Grand Rapids       1- 8      -7    -1    --    -4.05
   509 A Brighton                8-11      -3     1    --    -4.46
   430 A Spring Lake            10- 9       1     3    -     -2.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Rockford               13- 7       6     2    +      2.84
   530 A East Grand Rapids       8- 7       1    -2    +      3.20

Catholic Central Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Ann Arbor Huron Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Ann Arbor Pioneer Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Ann Arbor Skyline Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Avondale Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Battle Creek Harper Cree Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Bedford Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Birmingham Unified Catholic Central Catholic Central  
Bloomfield Hills Catholic Central Catholic Central   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Brighton Brighton Brighton  
Brighton B Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Byron Center Catholic Central Catholic Central  
Caledonia Catholic Central Catholic Central  
Canton Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Cass Tech Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Clarkston Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Comstock Park Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Cranbrook Kingswood Catholic Central Catholic Central   3- 2 vs 1- 3
Davison Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day  
DeWitt Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Dexter Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Divine Child Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids  
East Lansing Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Catholic Central
Farmington Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Flint Powers Catholic Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Flushing Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Forest Hills Central Catholic Central Catholic Central  
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Catholic Central Catholic Central  
Grand Blanc Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Grand Haven Catholic Central Catholic Central   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Grand Ledge Catholic Central Catholic Central   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Grand Rapids Christian Catholic Central Catholic Central   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Grandville Catholic Central Catholic Central   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Grosse Pointe North Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Grosse Pointe South Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Catholic Central
Hartland Catholic Central Catholic Central   4- 3 vs 2- 3
Haslett Catholic Central Catholic Central  
Henry Ford II Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Holland West Ottawa Catholic Central Catholic Central   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Holt Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Howell Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Hudsonville Catholic Central insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Catholic Central
Jenison Catholic Central Catholic Central   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kalamazoo Central Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Lake Fenton Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Lake Orion Catholic Central insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Catholic Central
Lakeview Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Lapeer Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Livonia United Catholic Central tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Lowell Catholic Central Catholic Central   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Marian Catholic Central Catholic Central  
Mattawan Catholic Central insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) Catholic Central
Mercy Catholic Central tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Catholic Central
Midland Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Mona Shores Catholic Central Catholic Central   5- 0 vs 3- 1
Northview Catholic Central Catholic Central   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Northville Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Catholic Central
Notre Dame Prep Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Catholic Central
Novi Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Catholic Central
Okemos Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Oxford Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Plymouth Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Portage Northern Catholic Central Catholic Central   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Reeths-Puffer Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Rochester Adams Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Rochester HS Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Rochester Stoney Creek Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Catholic Central
Rockford Catholic Central Catholic Central  
Royal Oak Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Sacred Heart Academy Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Saginaw Heritage Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Salem Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Saline Catholic Central tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Catholic Central
South Lyon United South Lyon United insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) South Lyon United
Spring Lake Catholic Central Catholic Central  
St Catherine of Siena Catholic Central   Catholic Central
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Catholic Central Catholic Central   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Swartz Creek Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Tecumseh Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Traverse City Central Catholic Central tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Catholic Central
Troy Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
Troy Athens Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Catholic Central
University Liggett Catholic Central Catholic Central   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Utica Eisenhower Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Walled Lake Northern Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Warren Regina Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Waterford United Catholic Central   Catholic Central
West Bloomfield Catholic Central   Catholic Central
White Lake Lakeland Catholic Central insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Catholic Central
Zeeland East Catholic Central Catholic Central   4- 0 vs 0- 4

PowerWise = 92


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Caledonia       ( 9- 7, 89.5)    14- 6      -10.43      18.76       0.62         0.77            14.85
   0 A Detroit Countr  (17- 0, 99.9)     6-18       -0.00      29.19       0.62         0.77            -0.48
   0 H East Grand Rap  (15- 2, 98.6)     1- 8       -1.32      27.87      -0.62         0.77            -1.49
   0 A Forest Hills N  ( 6-15, 88.8)    11- 2      -11.06      18.13       0.62         0.77            14.36
   0 H Spring Lake     ( 8- 9, 93.3)    17- 9       -6.59      22.60      -0.62         0.77            16.84
   0 H Rockford        (14- 5, 95.5)    13- 7       -4.44      24.76      -0.62         0.77            18.48
   0 H Forest Hills C  ( 8- 7, 92.8)    11- 7       -7.12      22.08      -0.62         0.77            16.43
   0 A Marian          ( 9- 7, 91.9)     9- 3       -7.95      21.24       0.62         0.77            16.74
   0 N Detroit Countr  (17- 0, 99.9)     6- 9       -0.00      29.19      -0.00         0.77            -0.00
   0 A Birmingham Uni  (11- 9, 91.8)    12- 5       -8.05      21.14       0.62         0.77            16.66
   0 A East Grand Rap  (15- 2, 98.6)     4- 6       -1.32      27.87       0.62         0.77            -0.54
   0 A Spring Lake     ( 8- 9, 93.3)    10- 9       -6.59      22.60       0.62         0.77            17.79
   0 H Forest Hills N  ( 6-15, 88.8)    14- 0      -11.06      18.13      -0.62         0.77            13.41
   0 A Brighton        (14- 6, 94.9)     8-11       -4.97      24.22       0.62         0.77            -3.33
   0 A Forest Hills C  ( 8- 7, 92.8)    12- 7       -7.12      22.08       0.62         0.77            17.38
   0 A Rockford        (14- 5, 95.5)     8- 6       -4.44      24.76       0.62         0.77            19.43
   0 H Spring Lake     ( 8- 9, 93.3)    15- 3       -6.59      22.60      -0.62         0.77            16.84
   0 H Byron Center    (12- 6, 89.6)    17- 4      -10.34      18.85      -0.62         0.77            13.96
   0 A East Grand Rap  (15- 2, 98.6)     8- 7       -1.32      27.87       0.62         0.77            21.82
   0 N Haslett         (12- 7, 90.6)    19- 3       -9.33      19.87      -0.00         0.77            15.21
   0 N Detroit Countr  (17- 0, 99.9)     9-10       -0.00      29.19      -0.00         0.77            -0.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       244.38

winning pts = 250.2134 losing points = -5.8325

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------